DirtyBasementKid
31 points
Since you are OOP I agree with you, that you should make your sizing little bit bigger.
In my opinion the hand that makes the most sense from his perspective is Axhh. He might try to blow you off your equity on the flop, and when he hits his A he might try to pot control. Most likely he doesn't have sets, since he checked on the turn, there is no straight combos that would make sense here. He might have occasional 98 on the river, but I doubt that instead of betting on turn, where scare card comes, he would decide to bet on the river. So I would fold on the river.
July 17, 2017 | 7:47 a.m.
I also think that folding here is too weak. Not too many hands beat you: 3 combos of TT and 3 combos of KK. Also I don't think, that he would be open raising J9 from UTG. 69 is even more unlikely, so I won't even consider that hand.
There still are hands that you beat, that would play the way they played. I think, that he could have some straight draws like QJs, flush draws that he would like to scare you off. So calling here on turn is a reasonable option, and then depending on river card and river action you make decision.
March 1, 2017 | 8:20 a.m.
There are some draws that he might be c/raising with, like flush draws (both spades and clubs), straight draws. And you just have to ask yourself, whether this guy would be willing to do what he did with those hands being 130bb deep. Also the question is: are there any worse made hands, that he would be doing it with? To be honest, I don't see him doing that with AK, or 87. IMO he would rather CBet those hands on the turn, and not try to blow up the pot too much.
Feb. 26, 2017 | 8:58 p.m.
I think on the flop calling is fine, but you will have to face a lot of tough decisions on the later streets, though. Because you didn't raise on such a drawy board, where with you would like to protect your stronger holdings he is more likely to barrel you off.
On the turn, betting after he checked is basically the only option here. You don't want to check, and give him free card, because there are so many of them, that will either kill your action, or be very scary. Versus c/r I think that calling once is fine. His line doesn't really make sense, and you want to see, wheter he will do it on the river or not.
On the river, I think that folding is fine. People usually don't do many bluffs on those limits. And what's more, they usually don't do overbet jams on the river with nothing. So overall, you've played this hand fine.
Feb. 25, 2017 | 3:52 p.m.
I agree with the guy above. In my opinion it's hardly ever a bluff, especially because the villain is most likely a fish, and those kinds of people tend to be pretty straightforward in their plays, and minraises like this one, are an indication of very strong hand.
Feb. 25, 2017 | 3:37 p.m.
Hi.
Villain is 33/17 after 26 hands, so I don't think that we can make much reads out of this guy at the moment.
Pre: I think that calling here is fine, especially with a potential fish behind me. But in the SB, you can make an argument for both 3betting and calling.
F: Calling here is IMO the only option. We don't want to blow the pot, so neither donking nor c/r would make sense here.
T: I think calling here also is fine, as well. We get additional equity, so now we have more reason to call, and evaluate on the river.
R: It's a really tricky spot on the river. A lot of draws missed and because of that he might be inclined to bluff here.
What do you think? What would you do here?
Regards.
Feb. 22, 2017 | 5:53 a.m.
Hi.
Villain is unknown: I don't have any stats on him. Pre is standard, especially due to the open sizing.
My first question is: should I be raising the turn, to protect against some random draws? Or the flop is dry enough, so I don't have to worry about those things.
My second question: Is there any way I can get away from there on the turn? There are a bunch of hands, that he can have here that beat me, like 77, 65, A5. Would you do the same thing if you had this hand?
Regards.
Feb. 22, 2017 | 5:34 a.m.
I think that you've played it fine. On the flop, he might be bluffing with some kind of flush draw, especially if you don't have any flush blockers. The T on the turn doesn't change anything, so if you thought that he is weak here, then you definitely need to call here. On the river I don't think you can do anything besides check. If he has set, he is not very likely to fold here, and he might be trapping with made flush. So I think that you've done a good job here, and it's unfortunate, that he ended up with set.
BTW for the future: I would recommend you to check out Weak tight webisite where you will be able to convert your hand histories, and post them here.
Feb. 21, 2017 | 5:49 p.m.
Where would that middle answer be? I guess just toss a coin, and decide on it whether to call or not :)
Feb. 18, 2017 | 12:42 p.m.
Do you have any stats on this guy? Does he have 60/10 stats or something like that? As played, I don't see too much bluffs that he can do it with. You block Ac, so it's less likely that he/she has flush draw here. There are few straight and flush draws, though. Don't get me wrong.
But as I've heard in the latest episode of 2+2 pokercast, people are underestimating the amount of spazzes that the villain might be doing just because, they don't do it themselves.
Feb. 10, 2017 | 11:15 a.m.
I think I would start off by 3betting pre. Villain seems like he is a fish, due to his/her short stack, and 3,5x open raise size. As played, I think that I would just fold it on the river. I don't see many bluffs here on this stakes, and the opponent is most likely a fish, so seeing him pot here all the way, just seems very strong to me.
Feb. 9, 2017 | 9:36 a.m.
Exactly. If you want to 5bet here, just go broke.
Feb. 8, 2017 | 7:32 p.m.
Yeah. I agree with Brokenstar on this one. I think that with Qs you can comfortably check back here, especially on this flop. Here the villain will have a shit ton of hands that are either two pairs, sets, straights (?), flushes etc. Betting here you risk getting the action that you got.
As played...
I think that it's pretty close, but I would lean more towards getting it in as you did. Villain may have some things like Axs, and even if he/she has set here, you still have some outs to improve your hand.
Feb. 8, 2017 | 7:27 p.m.
I don't have any stats on villain. Is stacking off fine here?
Oct. 30, 2016 | 2:45 p.m.
I don't think that villain has too much sets here, since you are only 100bb deep with this guy, and I don't think that a competent player would call small pairs vs 3bets.
Anyway
I think on the flop you kinda have to go all in here. He will have a lot of Axss hands here, and you don't really want to fold out 50%+ of your equity. There aren't that many hands that beat you besides that unlikely sets. So I think you played it fine, despite the fact that it's an ugly spot.
Oct. 25, 2016 | 2:37 p.m.
So the villain is 100/33, so we can assume that he is some kind of fish. Looking back at it I think I made a mistake, by not 3betting more.
On the flop, I didn't want to build the pot in case he has ace. Anyway, I think I need to call at least once on the turn, but I'm not enteriely sure about that. I guess my question is: should I be calling on the river? We get something like 5:1 odds on a call, but are we ever good here?
I appreciate your comments in advance.
Regards.
Oct. 19, 2016 | 5:04 p.m.
Do we really have 88 on the turn? I don't really see the value in calling 3rd pair in a UTG vs BB 3bet type of situation. We have much better hands to defend here.
Anyway.
I guess we want to base our decision, on how much villain is capable of folding on the river: if he is folding like 70% of his range then we want to bluff the hell out of him, and vice versa. The problem is, though that he has a strong range on the river. I don't think that he would want to be doing some kind of weird float, so his most likely holdings are something like: AA, KK, AQ, JJ, TT (?). So the question is: is he willing to fold this hands? If not, then we have a clear answer to what to do on the river.
Oct. 15, 2016 | 6:42 p.m.
I don't think that calling pre is good here, since villain is 3betting you out of BB versus your UTG raise. ATs is just too weak of a hand against his range.
As played.
I think he will have AA, KK a lot of the time in his range once he checks the turn. IMO that would be a reasonable play with those hands, since you wouldn't want to get raised, and things like JJ I think would go into his c/calling range OTF. To be honest, I don't really know whether you should bluff the river, or not. I guess you have to figure out, if he was able to fold over pair here, or not.
About that raising the flop part: you only have 6 value combos here, that you would want to raise, so people would be very suspicious if you did that. Calling is a fine play I think.
Oct. 14, 2016 | 1:21 p.m.
First: you should just call A4s pre BB vs MP. You really aren't doing it for value, because there aren't that many hands that you are way ahead. In the best case scenerio you are like 65% favorite, and because you are OOP you will realise less equity. There is an argument, that you will have a range advantage, but still I would prefer the call. Especially versus 2bb open.
As played
I think flop and turn plays are fine. You might make an argument for betting turn little bit bigger, since 8 will improve villain's range quite a bit, but still, it's not bad.
On the river, I'm torn between c/c and c/f here. He might be value betting some Kx and Qx flushes here, thinking that you have over pair or something. But on the other hand villain has a lot of boats here. I think you should type into the equilab what do you think he has once he bets after you check, and then see what equity do you have.
Sept. 29, 2016 | 6:08 p.m.
The first thing I would do here is puke. Then after puking once more, I think I would fold here.
I don't really think that you are beating here that much. I don't see him c/r with Qx on the river, once a flush card comes on the turn. I think you will see too much full houses here.
Also I don't think he would be doing crazy stuff with 9x flushes. Especially not after the board pairs. It's NL10 and people are generally more honest here, they don't bluff that much.
Sept. 29, 2016 | 2:34 p.m.
Hi.
CO is 24/20 after 65 hands. He has fold to 3bet 100%, but I don't think this stat is relevant, since it is only one hand. SB is 5/0 after 19 hands, so it looks like he is on the tighter side. I decided to cold call AK here, because I wanted to mix up a little my strategy with this hand. I also wanted to give the blinds a chance to squeeze here, although they are quite tight so that logic may be thrown out of the window.
So... On the flop I think it's a standard call. I don't want to scare off any of his bluffs, and also I don't want to isolate against better hands.
On the turn, I think the sizing is fine. I might be wrong, though and I should've bet more.
My question is: should I have shoved the river? Should we be worried about the villain having straights? Or call is the best option here?
Thanks.
Sept. 2, 2016 | 9:03 a.m.
Hello guys
Villain is 25/15 after 102 hands. Squezze I guess is standard. What to do versus such a weird line, though? This kind of sizing usually indicate strong range. Should I be jamming here? Folding? Calling is the worst option I guess.
Thanks for the comments.
Sept. 1, 2016 | 1:54 p.m.
I think you should barrel on the turn, as it was suggested, since ace is one of the best cards to do that. As played, on the river I think I would go with something along 40-55%. This kind of sizing will look like an Qx to the villain so he might fold pocket 66-TT.
Aug. 21, 2016 | 11:55 a.m.
Yeah... I agree with the guys above. I think villain will have a merged 3bet range on the SB so I think he will have quite a lot of Kx in his range. Beside that, he might have some low aces that he decided to pot control with. And also few combos of AA, and AK might also be in this range.
Aug. 21, 2016 | 8:18 a.m.
BTW about that 3betting A3s part. Do you guys think that it would be good to 3bet suited aces, especially versus guys from later positions? Wouldn't it be better to just take the game to the streets? I can see an argument for 3betting against a UTG or MP raiser as a bluff. It might just be an idiotic idea, though and I'm just spewing some shit right now.
Aug. 20, 2016 | 6:55 p.m.
Well, I've got like 88 and 77 for sure, 44-less sure, though. 4 combos of 65s, 3 combos of 78 (I don't think I would be defending BB with the off suit ones.). I've got T9cc, A6cc, A5cc (I'm going now into the semi bluff category. Although I think, that fd+sd has at least 50% vs any of the opponent range... Well maybe not versus sets...
Aug. 20, 2016 | 6:51 p.m.
b?
Aug. 19, 2016 | 11:51 a.m.
Hello folks.
Villain is 31/19 after 26 hands, so it seems like he is on the looser side. I think calling pre is fine, with this kind of hand. Especially versus CO. On the flop I figured, that betting under 50% of pot on such wet board is a sign of weakness, so I decided to raise it with my nut flush draw. The turn didn't really change that much in my opinion, so I decided to keep going with my line. On the river, though... Should I execute my plan the whole way? Or the 7 conects with too much of the opponent range? I would appreciate all your comments.
Regards.
Aug. 19, 2016 | 10:20 a.m.
I guess it depends on how wide the villain 3bets. If his 3bet range is tight we should also tighten up our defending range. And vice versa. But against unknown I think it's a good strategy to call with the hands that you listed in your graphics. I would maybe throw out 54s and 65s but that's just a minor thing.
First of all you need to bet bigger. At least on the turn. J will certainly help him in some way, and because of that he is more likely to call you.
On the river I'm shoving as well. Versus a fish, who could be doing that with Q it's mandatory to do so. The only hands that are beating you are: 3 combos of AA, and 3 combos of AK. Also it's very unlikely that he would have those hands considering the fact, that he only limped/call pre.
July 17, 2017 | 10:16 a.m.