DMightyDuck

Do you think Kassela's 3bet pre could be too loose?

J987 v a probable solid 1 card draw (Lehr) is a slight equity favorite, but when you include Gordo's range, isn't he a pretty big dog 3way? Gordo prob has a badugi 15-20% of the time here and the vast majority of those Badugis should be better than Kassela. And in the other instances where Gordo has a good tri, Kassela is skating on pretty thin ice 3way

more badeucey / badacey pls!

@15:30...Personally I think jerryfci is fine to showdown on 6th

@39min : I think its fine for jerryfci to call 1 small bet on 4th in hopes that blanconegro paired 5s or had split 6s on 3rd and just calls given the size of the pot.

In the same hand blanconegro has a slight equity advantage over Krokodil on 6th and is correct to bet, at least in a cash game.

@16:00 - I think it is definitely a call on 5th with A258T even if we assume we have 0% high equity. We're about 70% to make the low by 7th and are at most risking 280k (we can fold 7th if we miss) to win 1/2 of 413k = 207.5k. We make the low on 6th roughyl 31% of the time where we only have to risk 140k. There are very few situations in stud8 where this is a fold on 5th (exceptions are limped pots pre and checked on both 3rd and 4th).

With the Ace blocker and the bloated size of pot, I do agree with you that it is a standard call down now as played.

I also agree that your equity on 4th HU is ~45% and your equity would be ~32% 3way; however, I am still not 100% convinced that putting in an extra 100k into what will eventually most likely be a 700k pot (in order to increase our own equity by 13%) is definitely correct. For one, there is a small chance that chips55 will call our 4th street raise if he has a stronger high or low hand than he repped by just calling 2bets on 3rd. There is also a small chance he may just muck on 4th anyway if he is a weaker player (which I do not believe to be the case here).

More importantly, knocking him out will increase our playability for the rest of the hand, but if we are trying to increase our equity by 13% here, we also contributing what is most likely 14% (100k/700k) extra into the final size of the pot (I am curious how many more chips you would theoretically be willing to add into the pot in order to knock out chips55's equity). Lastly, if we just call 4th and keep pot smaller, (and assuming chips55 bricks/folds 5th) we can fold and get away from messy situations where we are simply priced into calling down, which, although only based off of my intuition can get very spewy and potentially highly -EV.

45:30 - I don't love raising 4th here. You are fairly certain Adamyid will 3! you and are risking an extra bet when we are not very worried about thechips55 catching up to us for the high. I think if we call and keep pot small, we can escape easier on 5th if AdamyId hits a scare card.

As played, on 5th we are now risking 150k to win 170k most of the time. Overall, I think it is close but in general I lean towards a fold; however, I would call down mostly if the pot was bigger on 3rd. 1) If opponent does bet,bet,bet, I don't think we get half the pot over 45% in this situation. Obviously we can lower that 45% equity number because we can scoop and do not necessarily have to risk 3 bets to win 170k a decent % of the time. Thinking about it out loud here, probably pretty close IMO.

6:40. I personally think calling here is slightly worse than folding. You're not calling 7k to win 54,600. Your're calling to win 1/2 of 47,600 or 23,800 since we can assume we are never scooping here. 238000-7000 is about 23% equity needed to call.

What tools would you recommend are best for equity calculations in 2-7? If you can provide links where to download them that would be much appreciated as well!

Also at 20:00 I do not fully understand your reasoning for SMertin calling 54 in position in a full ring game BVB is worse than calling OOP in a HU game. I know that folds to you will increase your chances of having more low cards but I feel position is more important than knowing your hand will be slightly stronger.

Looking back at the hand from 3:10 I now agree that check-calling is a better play, but I still think it is close against certain opponents who tend to overfold in these spots. Having the 3rd nut-low with 2 blockers to the nut low and 1 blocker to the third nut low vs villain's wide opening range does not put us in that much worse of a spot than having the second nut low (Q753 hand) with 1 nut lo blocker. Villain is also folding a lower percentage of rivers given the range he is repping once we bet in the Q753 hand IMO as well.

I am also curious what you think about having less of a mixed strategy bvb in LO8. When you limp your stronger hands, are you re-raising if the BB raises? (I feel as the BB vs a SB limper we should be raising maybe the top 25-40% of our hands given the importance of position in this spot). I personally would prefer to raise a higher frequency of medium strength hands like Q753 1suit in the SB mostly because you can define your opponents range much better once you get 3!. When our opponent just calls us as the potential equity favorite, we really aren't giving up that much value as well. I feel the equity we lose by raising as opposed to limp-calling does not outweigh our ability to play postflop more profitably as the initial raiser.

Your reasoning for the lead on the river with Q753 the following hand (hoping to fold out better high hands) is similar for me wanting to lead K322 the previous hand.

3:10 - I kind of like a lead with the K322 on river because Villain is rarely raising here. When you check/call you are hoping for half of the pot. It seems unlikely buck21 has a straight or a strong high hand, and he would probably only raise here with his A2xx low hands, if at all. Having 22 in your hand makes it less likely he has A2. By betting, he may fold out pairs of 6-Ts and you are often getting half the pot anyway when he does call.

I tend to agree with Sensei Madrid here that the turn is a fold. I like calling pre but you're basically putting in $16 to win $13 since it seems that you are rarely scooping here. Pot is small as well. If you are going to call down I think you should be betting the turn as a semi-bluff as your opponent can fold AKQJ, heart draws, etc on turn.

I personally like betting A255 on this flop as well

The 30-60 game is a pretty tough game you were in. Boban to your left isn't helping much, I would try to find a better spot.

47:30 - Call AQ on 864K turn

@ 20 min : snap fold KQJT on the btn?

@26:00 checking KQhh seems like the best play
@30:50 I would bet 9T here

defending 23s v HJo seems way too loose for me. I also like calling A9o on 663 flop vs. LJo.

I don't think the AK hi is so much of a bluff as it is the fact that you are going to often check-call the river anyway. I think 22s call a surprising amount of the time here, but again, I prefer a bet here over a check-call.

@ 10:00

I personally am not a huge fan of peeling A8o on KT6 flop vs Chessnok's SB 3!. I actually think even with a 100cbet flop % the only hand you are currently ahead of is QJ, some J9s/98s and some Axs hands

@ 18:45 why do you elect to cbet Q9(one diamond) on the turn on a K42ddTd board? I feel if Yoghii is peeling a K42 flop he has a lot of 4s and some 2s in his range that he will not fold on the turn along with many Ace highs and some delay xr Ks.

Early on in the video when you had A2 and folded bottom pair on the Q259 turn I feel like that is an extremely exploitable fold even if Villain's turn cbet % is very low. Also a few hands later I probably would've value bet the 76 from the BB on the 106578 river rather than x/f.

In game speed vs. a good player I don't think the A should have a high card here

I could be wrong but the 237J in 35:00 in Stud8 seems like a snap fold to me