BIGfloppa

The lower the variance (standard deviation is square root of variance) of your game/results, the fewer hands you need in order to estimate winrate to within x bb of your true expected winrate. You don't get to choose the SD. You estimate it by the observed variance.

If you consider an extreme example of playing a game where you win the same amount every hand (zero variance, zero SD), you would only need one hand to say for certain what your expected winrate is.

Solid video, really enjoying your content overall.

How come in your sims your starting pots and stack sizes don't accurately reflect your starting stack and opening size? This could be significant when actual SPRs with 2.5x open and BB defend (excluding rake) are 97.5/5.5 = ~18 vs your sims 95/7 = 13.5

At the 15 minute mark you say A8/66 etc go for 3 streets of geometric sizing but your PIO inputs do not include the possibility of the same bet size on all streets for IP, can you please explain this discrepancy?

With regards to your response to the Q about your bluffing range at 27 minute mark on AJT5Kr, what Kx do you see yourself getting to the river with to be able to use as a bluff?

Are you check raising river blanks with some frequency with Q9 when you have air?

What's the purpose of this response? If you know there is cheating, why don't you share?

You're a lot more likely to get HH from guys who had a similar experience than from guys who just crushed the whole time. This method of gathering hands wont give you data for meaningful analysis.

I find myself flatting BvB more than I think I should be at nl500 and nl1k. What do you like as a default 3b range for anonymous games facing a 3x open?

What do you consider to be the BBs mandatory 3bet range BvB against you, or against the average pro in the field ?

In hand #1 HJ vs CO 100x deep vs a 3.5x 3bet is it standard for you to be calling with 22-66?

Never mind. I see you've answered this elsewhere.

Haven't played Stars in a while, but I believe you can fold and see the hand play out in zoom by clicking control+fold.

Can you expand a bit on sizing down your 3bets oop as you get deeper? This goes against (what at least used to be the) conventional thinking.

Dont forget to pay your canadian bills

24:50 Mark when you Cold 4b 99, If SB 5b jam are you calling? Seeing that he just called with 77 makes me believe that we will be at a pretty big EQ disadvantage when we get it in.

Great video as always.

I think the tanking in tournaments issue falls under 'Tragedy of the Commons'.

Sauce, the river is Ks, so those hands would have a flush.

Hi Sauce. Excellent video as always. In past videos you've made the case for the >3x sb open. Why the switch to 2.3x?

+1

Echoing what hypage said a few posts above: Can we get some videos with deep NLHE play?

Rider Jonny... So much heart.

wrong thread

Ace jack rip seems bold ? wouldn't he always fold worse and never induce with 99 and 1010

Nice vid. Love the deep ante format. Pity effective stacks aren't deeper.

At 6:30 you overbet 35hh on 764hhhAd. What bluffs might you overbet in this spot?

Nice vid. Glad to see some Bovada content. Your defend with Q7o around 33 mins seems really bad to me. I don't think your all in equity matters all that much here.

Would you defend the BB with A2o vs a UTG open?

Against a pretty reasonable 6m utg opening range of:

55+
A2s-A5s
ATs+
AJ+
78s+
QTs+

you have 36% equity.

Just posted in the 2p2 thread.  Just gonna C&P: 

I'd say villain's range for getting to the river is something like:

KJs, QJs, J9dd, JTs, QTs, KTs, and say half his 9Ts combos. I took out KQ as he may 3bet and may c/r flop. I don't really think most players are flatting hands like A9cc to a highjack open here, but I could be wrong. If you guys think people aren't defending these hands (or defend QJo), let me know.  Again, I don't think 1/2 regs are EVER flatting turn with AT.

If we bet 20, he calls with 6 two pair combos and 9.5 straight combos. So our equity in the pot when we bet 20 is:

9.5/(6+9.5)*67/2+6/(6+9.5)*(67+20) = 54.2

If we shove and villain folds his entire range, our equity is 67.

How big do you think we can make it and still get paid off here? Do you think my ranges are way off?

It's zoom vs. some guy I don't recognize.  Just going for the optimal vacuum play here.  Also, this is a bluff.  I'm trying to get him off Tx, so pretty sure he folds 100% of the time.

It's vs someone with reggish stats.  I don't think regs are EVER flatting AT OTT (maybe with the exception of ATcc, which I block).

If you guys think jamming TT is too thin for value, are you always shoving Tx to get him off AA, KK, AQ, KQ, QJ, QT, 33...?

Really liked your analysis of the KQo hand.  With regard to preflop: if we are continuing the vast majority of our opening range to a 9bb 3bet, what are your thoughts on using this hand to 4bet/fold?