AlbinJ

https://www.weaktight.com/h/5ccd85dfd390431c258b484a
https://www.weaktight.com/h/5ccd86f3d39043f7158b4843

Hello! I've been starting playing poker again after about 1 year break since i lost interest. I played on regular tables and was winning at nl5 over a large sample. Though, the last days I've been playing nl2 zoom and i can't seem to beat it, I have a very low sample of a couple thousand hands but i've lost like 10 BI already. And from what i can tell it's in those 3bet pots, I have a OP and villain raises or shows any sign of aggression I usually lose 95% of the time when called off.

So my question is: Should we consider folding in those situations? And when in those hands showed above?
In the AA hand i personally believe that we can fold OTT because it's unlikely that he goes crazy with a Kx hand. Most of the time i think it will be a set+.
The KK hand i'm not that sure about.

Would really appreciate some help from you guys! :)
Thanks!!

[b]PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players[/b]
[i][url=http://www.pokertracker.com]Hand converted by PokerTracker 4[/url][/i]

[b]Hero (BTN): 103 BB[/b]
SB: 156.6 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
BB: 86.2 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
[b]MP: 116.4 BB[/b] (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 54)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

[b]Pre Flop:[/b] i[/i] [b]Hero[/b] has Q:club: T:club:

[i]fold[/i], [color=red][b]MP[/b] raises to 3 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i], [color=red][b]Hero[/b] raises to 9 BB[/color], [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [b]MP[/b] calls 6 BB

[b]Flop:[/b] i[/i] T:diamond: 6:spade: 7:spade:
[color=red][b]MP[/b] bets 12 BB[/color], [b]Hero[/b] calls 12 BB

[b]Turn:[/b] i[/i] Q:spade:
[color=red][b]MP[/b] bets 20 BB[/color], [b]Hero[/b] calls 20 BB

[b]River:[/b] i[/i] 6:heart:
[color=red][b]MP[/b] bets 62 BB[/color], [b]Hero[/b] calls 62 BB and is all-in

[spoiler][b]MP[/b] shows 9:spade: J:spade: (Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 38%, Flop 55%, Turn 91%)
[b]Hero[/b] shows Q:club: T:club: (Two Pair, Queens and Tens)
(Pre 62%, Flop 45%, Turn 9%)
[b]MP[/b] wins 198.8 BB
Rake paid 8.6 BB
[/spoiler]

Q: Do we call OTR?
A: I don't think we should, I think i made a mistake by calling. Because what worse hands will he have in his range? Maybe AQ with a BDFD if he's really bad, but even that's a stretch.
It doesn't make up for when he has TT, 66, 77, QQ, AsKs, AsJs, AsTs, KsJs, JsTs. He's pretty much an unknown with only 17 hands so I have no idea what his range looks like. At the table I didn't know how to react to the donk bets, I thought folding top 2 pair in a 3bet pot was weak/bad, but It might just have been me tricking myself into calling. Because i couldn't see any worse combos 3 barreling.
Conclusion: We don't beat any value hands & it's hard to find enough bluffs to make up for that. Therefore we should fold OTR.

[b]888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players[/b]
[i][url=http://www.pokertracker.com]Hand converted by PokerTracker 4[/url][/i]

[b]Hero (BB): 110 BB[/b]
CO: 73.2 BB (VPIP: 60.87, PFR: 2.17, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 47)
BTN: 100.6 BB (VPIP: 30.73, PFR: 21.09, 3Bet Preflop: 11.22, Hands: 562)
SB: 126.8 BB (VPIP: 21.67, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 61)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, [b]Hero[/b] posts BB 1 BB

[b]Pre Flop:[/b] i[/i] [b]Hero[/b] has J:heart: J:diamond:

CO calls 1 BB, [i]fold[/i], [i]fold[/i], [color=red][b]Hero[/b] raises to 5 BB[/color], CO calls 4 BB

[b]Flop:[/b] i[/i] 6:spade: T:spade: 9:diamond:
[color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 7.6 BB[/color], CO calls 7.6 BB

[b]Turn:[/b] i[/i] Q:heart:
[color=red][b]Hero[/b] bets 18.4 BB[/color], [color=red]CO raises to 60.6 BB and is all-in[/color], [i]fold[/i]

Q: How do we play turn?
A: I think we want to check/call because our relative hand strenght decreases when the Q hits OTT. Qx beats us (mainly thinking of QJ, QT, Q9, Q8, KQ & FDs with a Qx but who knows what he has). KJ also got there but we still have SDV vs Tx, 9x, 6x and sometimes vs crazy stuff. If he's ahead we still have our OESD which sometimes will make us the winning hand, if we bet/fold we therefore fold out equity.
The downside of checking is that we give him the option to check behind with his FDs or giving him free equity with his 2nd/3rd/4th pairs. I still think check/calling is more favorable for us.

If i give him this range for calling the turn:

UTG 58.06% { TT-99, 66, ATs, KJs-KTs, Q6s+, JTs, T8s+, 87s, AsQs, AsJs, As9s, Ks9s, Js9s, As8s, Ks8s, Js8s, 9s8s, As7s, Ks7s, Js7s, 9s7s, Ks6s, As5s, Ks5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, ATo, KJo-KTo, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o, 87o }
UTG+1 41.94 { JdJh }

Than my conclusion that we should check/call is right. We don't have a value bet but we still have the very good odds to call vs a normal bet size. He's betting vs calling range might look different since he might elect to check back some hands. But for me it seems that we have a call OTT without digging deeper into ranges.

Do you disagree or agree? Can i make my analysis better somehow?
All tips appreciated!

Hey!

My name is Albin, I'm 18 years old and I have a huge interest in poker. My first bigger goal is to make a living of it & eventually make 10k+ euro a month, and later on moving up to the nosebleeds which is my ultimate goal. It's a far road from here but I'm determinerad to make it. I've been playing poker for around 1,5 years but due to not taking it serious at the beginning and later on lack of discipline I haven't got further than where I am today. I've also been switching formats back and forth but I've decided to stick to 6-max and specilize in it.

The reason why I want to become professional is because there's nothing else I want to do for a living, anything else than poker would for me just be a drag. And i reason, if taking a job i don't like I will completly wasting my life. I would than, be doing things i don't like in order to go on doing things i don't like, which is stuiped.

Why i started this poker journal is because that I think tracking my progress will help me achieve my goals easier. As I said earlier, I've been lacking in disciplin and that's a huge leak. I know that i won't reach my goal if I don't fix that, and I believe writing down the hours spent for everyone to see will help me overcome bullshit excueses.

My thought is to write an update once a week on my progress and how it's going, f.e. the hours played each day etc.
I appreciate all tips and help!!

Short term goals:
Follow my routine 100% until I start school again (than I'll create a new one that fits my scheme)
My routine at the moment is 7 hours play, 90-100 min study, 6 days a week. The routine might change, but never in the way of decreasing time spent on improving. Right now I'm practising equity with UHLVAR, which is a program found at bestpokercoaching, doing 15 hands each morning.
I'm reading The Grinders Manual by Peter Clarke and taking notes, trying to make a sort of mind map with rules that i can follow and notes that i can think of while playing. I'm also, ofc, doing hand reviews. I will start to post the RIO from now on. Last but not least, I watch strategy video, It's mainly been on pokerstrategy.com but I'll change my subscription to RIO in about 2 weeks.
Weekly goal:
Learn the pot odds perfectly, knowing how much time we need villain to fold with a certain bet & how often we have to be good facing a bet

I wish you the best of luck at the tables!!

I'm looking for people to start a 6-max study group. I only want to work with you if you are committed to becoming a great poker player and willing to put a lot of effort into it. Playing a MINIMUM of 80K hands per month is a requirement. That you beat NL5 is also needed.

My goal is to make a living of poker and eventually get 10K £ months on regular basis. I also want you to have a big specific goal, whatever makes you work hard!
I'm thinking a team of 6 people at the highest. I want it to be a group where we push each other in hard times, always being positive and help each other out.

I have a lot of things in mind but something I really want is to hire a coach for group coachings. I want you to be able to pay your share of the coachings, and when we're 6 people the coaching it becomes pretty cheap actually.

This is a very short description, but if you are willing to put in a lot of effort and have big goals, this is the group you're looking for.

I'm really looking forward to work with you if you think the description fits for you!

For futher discussion & interests, join this discord link: https://discord.gg/5jNkWwP
When you join i want you to introduce yourself by telling about your goals, what's your poker background etc. To be clear, this channel isn't the actual group because I'm still looking for the most commited people, it's only for disscussion and interests. The group will be made as soon as we have enough of the right people! :)