Do you think we can build any sort of heuristics in 4BP? To me it seems that solver likes to mix with almost all hands on a lot of board, especially when we give solver the option to cbet 10% on the flop and even the turn. What do you think of the 10% cbet size and do you use it in practice?
Also, do you think we can play a call only strategy(No 5bet) when we are IP facing a 4 bet? Obviously solver doesn't like it probably as it doesn't want the OOP to realize extra equity? I am not sure how much EV we are giving away by playing a call only strategy. In my opinion it makes our defense much easier postflop as we have more strong hands (it also helps protecting our weaker hands like 88 to TT and Suited broadways), and it also makes the life of the OOP player more difficult (He can't value bet and bluff comfortably with a lot of hands). Do you think it works well in practice?
Also can you share a bit on 5betting range when we are 200BB+ deep? (Mostly live cash games and sometimes online when we win a few big pots)
Do you think a call only strategy works better in these situation? I feel like we can only 5 bet for value with AA, with KK already being quite marginal. What is your 4/5bet strategy when deep stacked?
So PIO can use basically any sizing and get roughly the same value even if gave jam or check, I'd get a value that was close to the original EV. It'd be less but not by a huge amount. The 10% sizing, I think is trying to take advantage of player who thinks that they can call lots of hands preflop and then play tight passive postflop to realize their EV. At 10% pot, it's not terribly lucrative to outdraw your opponent and you're forced to raise regions that aren't normally raises so it could be a good exploit, but it's not the holy grail of 4-bet pot play or anything.
On the always call idea, it's something that I think PIO uses more effectively than a human can, just because it has perfect information on the opponents strategy, hand ranges and betsizings, so it can leverage small mistakes in range construction into nice EV gains. In practice, I find that as the caller it's easier to make mistakes, because no-limit is mainly about geometric growth (stronger hands = bigger pots), but in a 4-bet pot, the pot is basically the maximum size going into the flop, so it becomes more like a limit game where it's about not overfolding and calling many low equity hands for stacks. It'd be a big mistake to consistently stack a 50% equity hand against hand range with a SPR of 20 (think A8 on 732). In a 4-bet pot these type of calls become mandatory think 80% turn call then another 80% river call.
5-betting always depends on ranges at 200bbs deep, we can develop a 5-bet fold region and he can develop a 5-bet call region (roughly similar to the 4-bet call region against the same range). In general these ranges are going to be tight, because the 4-bet ranges rarely exceed 5% of hands and we can generally 5-bet roughly 50% of original range or 2.5% of hands and of those 2.5% we have to stack roughly 50% (1.2% of hands) so basically most 5-bet/call 6-bet situations are going to be AA + a mix of AKs, KK. The mix is important because of the blocker effects of suited As on the region, so without calling some AKs and KK, any random suited ace becomes a profitable 6-bet. If we always just call KK, but not AKs, we can run across range constructions like (AA, A5s) where KK only has 37% equity (not a profitable call), but AKs has 40% equity (becomes a profitable call). On the same token if we only call AA, AKs, then 88 actually is very close to a profitable 6-bet bluff jam.
I could be way off, there is that yellow font top right that shows BTN vs CO 4BP entire video that is completely throwing off ranges in my head. The RIO title makes sense for MP vs CO in terms of ranges used with the AQo being folded, mixing TT, etc.
Also are you using "Natty" as just a close spot? I don't hear that word very often but used it multiple times with some small EV bluff catchers like KQh on Q652sss facing a double barrel.
2.24 - AKss on AdQ7ssJd
I think PIO likes betting the turn not the river because:
It's for a smaller sizing so easier to get value
We can presumably call a shove given we have a combodraw to go with our top pair. If we get shoved on on the river it's a grim spot that means we probably have to fold and don't get our showdown. We also dominate some turn check-shoves with pair + combodraw.
We can value bet a lot of rivers - any spade or straight.
Less capped on the turn as we only checked once, not twice so can still have more sets, KTs, 2 pairs etc.
I like the sizing idea, but I think more practically ranges are going to be weaker going into the triple check line than the double check line because some value hands from OOP are going to bet river to cover the odd ball bluff. So PIO I think is protecting against putting too much betting volume in on the triple check line, but I don't know if this a reasonable consideration considering how rare this is. I think in practice in happens less than 1% of the time in a 4-bet pot-call spot or I think approximately 1 in every 500,000 hands or so of 6-max for these specific positions
19.32 - 88
I think PIO might call more 88 than TT preflop vs the 4bet as Tx is in the OOP 4bet bluffing region whereas no 8x is? Also I'd imagine the straights you make with 88 are worth more than the straights you make with TT given that they are less dominated and also rarer in terms of the amount of 8x either player should have. Additionally 88 should make more straights and sets as the MP 4betting range is almost exclusively high cards which blocks the cards TT needs to make a straight or set?
Okay so I agree with you completely with one qualification "If I was playing PIO, then this would be true".
The main struggle I have with the argument is TT performs substantially better against any blunder from my opponent. If he 4-bets 99 or A9s or 98s, TT instantly becomes more valuable than 88, so in these situations where we're playing some guy with a 5 o'clock shadow whose been grinding all day -- I'm going to take TT over 88, because any mistake he makes TT is likely to capture more EV.
Great drill video. I always get a lot out of these.
You mentioned in your above comment to KevinK that in 4bet pots with a low spr it plays like a limit game where we cannot overfold and we have to stack off with lower eq hands. It is an interesting way to look at bloated pots. I never thought to look at it that way. However it's a bit confusing because in a 4bet no limit pot rngs have been narrowed quite a bit so it skews eq vs a limit game where rngs will remain wider and lighter call downs vs those rngs are fine to make.
9:30 you said we need to call around 70% however when boards really don't favor us won't pio sometimes not defend mdf?
42:40 do we ever get jams on the turn? If so would our kqs hand go into that rng?
Yeah, it's not really no-limit in the classic sense, because we already put in all the money preflop :).
Yes, you can find range constructions where your opponent simply can't bluff enough so we can fold hands in and below his bluffing range. Sometimes you'll see this against a player who likes to call pocket pairs + suited connectors to 4-bets on like a 953 with an Ace turn.
I've modeled this a couple of different ways and KsQs is jammed between 0% and 70% depending on the betsizing parameters -- My guess is that it fits KsQs here, but no value range really benefits so PIO generally is just avoiding it or trying to fit hands like QQ, AJs (At frequency) into the jam range with KsQs.
Something i have been considering since the rake at 10nl is really high (microstakes), is to create a 4bet or fold approach. When get shoved on I can reevaluate.
That way, it won’t cost so much post flop, my fold to 3 bet gets lower and I might also take it down pre flop which is nice.
OOP it's probably fine -- though as ranges get wider (10-20% 3-bet), flatting will have some value. IP every model, I've ever seen along with my experience/database analysis indicates you have to flat and use your positional advantage.
I think the main reason why you don't see it much is that the value of the mistake 4-bet is going to be far worsen that the value of a mistaken call and 3-betting ranges don't converge terribly quickly -- the difference between 4-bet vs 6%, 8% and 10% is quite large and over most samples these 3-bet numbers are indistinguishable from each over.
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Nice to see a practice video on 4BP!
Do you think we can build any sort of heuristics in 4BP? To me it seems that solver likes to mix with almost all hands on a lot of board, especially when we give solver the option to cbet 10% on the flop and even the turn. What do you think of the 10% cbet size and do you use it in practice?
Also, do you think we can play a call only strategy(No 5bet) when we are IP facing a 4 bet? Obviously solver doesn't like it probably as it doesn't want the OOP to realize extra equity? I am not sure how much EV we are giving away by playing a call only strategy. In my opinion it makes our defense much easier postflop as we have more strong hands (it also helps protecting our weaker hands like 88 to TT and Suited broadways), and it also makes the life of the OOP player more difficult (He can't value bet and bluff comfortably with a lot of hands). Do you think it works well in practice?
Also can you share a bit on 5betting range when we are 200BB+ deep? (Mostly live cash games and sometimes online when we win a few big pots)
Do you think a call only strategy works better in these situation? I feel like we can only 5 bet for value with AA, with KK already being quite marginal. What is your 4/5bet strategy when deep stacked?
Thanks!
So PIO can use basically any sizing and get roughly the same value even if gave jam or check, I'd get a value that was close to the original EV. It'd be less but not by a huge amount. The 10% sizing, I think is trying to take advantage of player who thinks that they can call lots of hands preflop and then play tight passive postflop to realize their EV. At 10% pot, it's not terribly lucrative to outdraw your opponent and you're forced to raise regions that aren't normally raises so it could be a good exploit, but it's not the holy grail of 4-bet pot play or anything.
On the always call idea, it's something that I think PIO uses more effectively than a human can, just because it has perfect information on the opponents strategy, hand ranges and betsizings, so it can leverage small mistakes in range construction into nice EV gains. In practice, I find that as the caller it's easier to make mistakes, because no-limit is mainly about geometric growth (stronger hands = bigger pots), but in a 4-bet pot, the pot is basically the maximum size going into the flop, so it becomes more like a limit game where it's about not overfolding and calling many low equity hands for stacks. It'd be a big mistake to consistently stack a 50% equity hand against hand range with a SPR of 20 (think A8 on 732). In a 4-bet pot these type of calls become mandatory think 80% turn call then another 80% river call.
5-betting always depends on ranges at 200bbs deep, we can develop a 5-bet fold region and he can develop a 5-bet call region (roughly similar to the 4-bet call region against the same range). In general these ranges are going to be tight, because the 4-bet ranges rarely exceed 5% of hands and we can generally 5-bet roughly 50% of original range or 2.5% of hands and of those 2.5% we have to stack roughly 50% (1.2% of hands) so basically most 5-bet/call 6-bet situations are going to be AA + a mix of AKs, KK. The mix is important because of the blocker effects of suited As on the region, so without calling some AKs and KK, any random suited ace becomes a profitable 6-bet. If we always just call KK, but not AKs, we can run across range constructions like (AA, A5s) where KK only has 37% equity (not a profitable call), but AKs has 40% equity (becomes a profitable call). On the same token if we only call AA, AKs, then 88 actually is very close to a profitable 6-bet bluff jam.
This is CO 4bet vs BTN 3bet right? Very curious about continue range vs 4bet because wizard seems to be completely different!

I could be way off, there is that yellow font top right that shows BTN vs CO 4BP entire video that is completely throwing off ranges in my head. The RIO title makes sense for MP vs CO in terms of ranges used with the AQo being folded, mixing TT, etc.
Also are you using "Natty" as just a close spot? I don't hear that word very often but used it multiple times with some small EV bluff catchers like KQh on Q652sss facing a double barrel.
Yeah, I mislabeled the sim. It's MP vs CO. Natty -- is slang for dislikable.
2.24 - AKss on AdQ7ssJd
I think PIO likes betting the turn not the river because:
It's for a smaller sizing so easier to get value
We can presumably call a shove given we have a combodraw to go with our top pair. If we get shoved on on the river it's a grim spot that means we probably have to fold and don't get our showdown. We also dominate some turn check-shoves with pair + combodraw.
We can value bet a lot of rivers - any spade or straight.
Less capped on the turn as we only checked once, not twice so can still have more sets, KTs, 2 pairs etc.
I like the sizing idea, but I think more practically ranges are going to be weaker going into the triple check line than the double check line because some value hands from OOP are going to bet river to cover the odd ball bluff. So PIO I think is protecting against putting too much betting volume in on the triple check line, but I don't know if this a reasonable consideration considering how rare this is. I think in practice in happens less than 1% of the time in a 4-bet pot-call spot or I think approximately 1 in every 500,000 hands or so of 6-max for these specific positions
19.32 - 88
I think PIO might call more 88 than TT preflop vs the 4bet as Tx is in the OOP 4bet bluffing region whereas no 8x is? Also I'd imagine the straights you make with 88 are worth more than the straights you make with TT given that they are less dominated and also rarer in terms of the amount of 8x either player should have. Additionally 88 should make more straights and sets as the MP 4betting range is almost exclusively high cards which blocks the cards TT needs to make a straight or set?
Okay so I agree with you completely with one qualification "If I was playing PIO, then this would be true".
The main struggle I have with the argument is TT performs substantially better against any blunder from my opponent. If he 4-bets 99 or A9s or 98s, TT instantly becomes more valuable than 88, so in these situations where we're playing some guy with a 5 o'clock shadow whose been grinding all day -- I'm going to take TT over 88, because any mistake he makes TT is likely to capture more EV.
Great drill video. I always get a lot out of these.
You mentioned in your above comment to KevinK that in 4bet pots with a low spr it plays like a limit game where we cannot overfold and we have to stack off with lower eq hands. It is an interesting way to look at bloated pots. I never thought to look at it that way. However it's a bit confusing because in a 4bet no limit pot rngs have been narrowed quite a bit so it skews eq vs a limit game where rngs will remain wider and lighter call downs vs those rngs are fine to make.
9:30 you said we need to call around 70% however when boards really don't favor us won't pio sometimes not defend mdf?
42:40 do we ever get jams on the turn? If so would our kqs hand go into that rng?
Thanks!
Yeah, it's not really no-limit in the classic sense, because we already put in all the money preflop :).
Yes, you can find range constructions where your opponent simply can't bluff enough so we can fold hands in and below his bluffing range. Sometimes you'll see this against a player who likes to call pocket pairs + suited connectors to 4-bets on like a 953 with an Ace turn.
I've modeled this a couple of different ways and KsQs is jammed between 0% and 70% depending on the betsizing parameters -- My guess is that it fits KsQs here, but no value range really benefits so PIO generally is just avoiding it or trying to fit hands like QQ, AJs (At frequency) into the jam range with KsQs.
Something i have been considering since the rake at 10nl is really high (microstakes), is to create a 4bet or fold approach. When get shoved on I can reevaluate.
That way, it won’t cost so much post flop, my fold to 3 bet gets lower and I might also take it down pre flop which is nice.
Is that a good idea?
OOP it's probably fine -- though as ranges get wider (10-20% 3-bet), flatting will have some value. IP every model, I've ever seen along with my experience/database analysis indicates you have to flat and use your positional advantage.
I think the main reason why you don't see it much is that the value of the mistake 4-bet is going to be far worsen that the value of a mistaken call and 3-betting ranges don't converge terribly quickly -- the difference between 4-bet vs 6%, 8% and 10% is quite large and over most samples these 3-bet numbers are indistinguishable from each over.
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