Thanks Trips!

Thank you Truepower!

It seems thin but I think most bots/pros will lead a 9 here because the check is catastrophic on value.

It looked reasonably clean, this session. The basic idea has been around forever that a 6-max big blind under defends in a vacuum. I really wanted to take advantage of his mistakes here, because being that wide is can be very large leak with the right exploit.

Thanks Soundspeed!

It's really under-explored. Most of the solvers player 4-bet or fold as the cold 4-better. I suspect the full solution has some flattening, but it's not common in 2025.

On the K8, I couldn't find the hand.

I could have looked harder :).

I would say equity or overcards. I think a recreational on this type of board is going to struggle to get defense frequencies right against small bets, when the straight doesn't come in, because he has so many combos of busted draws.

You also mentioned the solver likes having the Ten of diamonds matching the 9 of diamonds on the river. I thought we would want hearts? Block like T9h or A9h? How does having the Td help?

High level, you want to know how often you are losing with your combo to determine betsize.

With on flush completing turns, you lose between 10-20% of the time with a top pair type hand. On paired boards, it varies based on the number of that pair which called flop. A 2h on Ts9s2d is one of the least likely trip combos, so my opponent only has trips+ around 5.8% of the according to PIO.

Td means less T9o combos and T9s is 3-bet preflop occassionally, so the subtle difference means that we now bet. It is a pretty small effect.

I didn't use custom Ai to solve for this X-75-75 line BvB. Looked like OOp was supposed to use more of a b50 size on the river with 9x and b75 mostly Kx or TT+. B50 for a lot of 9x and cheap bluffs. On the river A3/A4 is calling about half the time. Wiz shows Ax has about 30% equity. AT/AJ are pure folding though. Do we want to unblock the QJ QT JT hands that delay cbet? Raising the river isn't too bad, but wizard is choosing lower Q high through 7 high hands to bluff raise the river.

When I hover over different hands that are raising the river, wizard is still showing -EV or 0EV for raising. I can't really grasp what type of heuristic I would need to bluff raise this river. What suits would I want? What blockers do I want?

Wizard link

I need one more for custom Ai using X-75-75 as the only size, not to split the ranges too much. Wizard link and it appears a lot of the bluffs are coming from 9x and 5x? Seems a bit strange to turn a pair into a bluff here, but I guess we want to block boats and 2 pairs?

So bluff-raising is such a small part of the game tree like 3% or so that the solver isn't great at finding the best combos and tends to leave as mixed across different hands (I think mainly due to solver time limits).

On a bluff-raise, you want a combo that unblocks the bluffs and blocks the value and is 0 EV call. That is pretty much 5x with spades being the best bluff raising combos or 52s type hands where most bluffs do not have a deuce.

The Ac3s is a good candidate bluff-catcher, because the Ac and 3s are rarely bluffed in the sims, so we should maximize the number of bluff-combos.

XR at this spr is good too. I think the general idea is since the flush hit, our goal spr is substantially smaller than before the flush came in.

Yes, the 3-flush or 4-flush are very close to the lowest value turns for 44s. Everybody is going to have the same problem so it isn't something we should worry about.

Tyler Forrester I saw in one of Luke's videos where on the turn some sets actually raise and lower flushes just call because they don't have a redraw if they are behind. Would be cool to see a video on this. Where sets are raising for value and equity denial. At the time when Luke first showed it, I was pretty amazed. I thought only like flushes or semi bluffs with a club would raise. Never really considered raising a set on a flush completing turn.