great video - the situations you saw were really interesting and I appreciated your analysis.
agree with your take on QQ hand. one thought - I think villain's bluffing frequency is higher than usual given stack sizes. after being checked to 3 times bvb and a pot that is roughly 40% of his stack lying there in the middle for the taking, he is betting nearly 100% of the time here.
edit: think the AJos hand that you plugged into ICMIZER goes to show how much assumptions matter for ICM calcs. if you just expanded calling ranges down to 88 from 99 for the smaller stacks you would get a -ev result. The logic continues even further, i.e. if there is 1 person on the table who is calling with 55+ because they either do not know about the ICM implications or just don't care about it your shove becomes -ev. With blockers and how nutted a min raise looks UTG off your stack size, I think raise folding is best (except to the shortest stack), esp since the BB has less than 10BB and is unlikely to defend as wide.
Also, even if the play is breakeven, if you believe you have a skill advantage vs. the table, why increase your variance?
edit2: the one thing though that is a huge plus to taking this spot is that you are about to pass through the blinds and get right at 10BB if you do not shove this hand, which reduces fold equity in future reshove spots.
I just started on RIO. I've started with your older vids as I have the advanced ProPoker HUD. I noticed once in a while you get what looks to be an ICM reminder by your name and other players too. What program gives you that reminder?
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great video - the situations you saw were really interesting and I appreciated your analysis.
agree with your take on QQ hand. one thought - I think villain's bluffing frequency is higher than usual given stack sizes. after being checked to 3 times bvb and a pot that is roughly 40% of his stack lying there in the middle for the taking, he is betting nearly 100% of the time here.
edit: think the AJos hand that you plugged into ICMIZER goes to show how much assumptions matter for ICM calcs. if you just expanded calling ranges down to 88 from 99 for the smaller stacks you would get a -ev result. The logic continues even further, i.e. if there is 1 person on the table who is calling with 55+ because they either do not know about the ICM implications or just don't care about it your shove becomes -ev. With blockers and how nutted a min raise looks UTG off your stack size, I think raise folding is best (except to the shortest stack), esp since the BB has less than 10BB and is unlikely to defend as wide.
Also, even if the play is breakeven, if you believe you have a skill advantage vs. the table, why increase your variance?
edit2: the one thing though that is a huge plus to taking this spot is that you are about to pass through the blinds and get right at 10BB if you do not shove this hand, which reduces fold equity in future reshove spots.
Hi Owen, great video. If we can't raise/call the 99 should be not just be ripping it in?
Hi, yes you could just open shove 99 in that spot if you wanted to. It would certainly be profitable.
I like your videos. I esp like your auto criticism. Hope to see more and GL on the tables ! :-)
Thanks :)
I just started on RIO. I've started with your older vids as I have the advanced ProPoker HUD. I noticed once in a while you get what looks to be an ICM reminder by your name and other players too. What program gives you that reminder?
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