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River Raises as a Bluff: It Can’t Always Work

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River Raises as a Bluff: It Can’t Always Work

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thejericho2

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River Raises as a Bluff: It Can’t Always Work

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thejericho2

POSTED Dec 17, 2024

thejericho2 loads up the next three hands where he decided to raise the river as a bluff. This time the play went wrong in all three instances – but was it still the correct move?

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777TripSevens777 4 months ago

thejericho2,
Some interesting hands. The last hand you analyze, AcJh on Tc5cTd turn Js river 8c, I would have thought as you did that the Ac would be a better blocker than having Jc. Why do you think that is? Seems like having Jh is better because that removes all JTs combos. Does villain not raise A hi flush draws on flop? I guess if villain only raises non nut flush draws then that could make sense. Curious what you think.

Thanks

thejericho2 3 months ago

I think that it's because Ac might be blocking some bluffs like AcQx or Ac9x where as Jc will only be blocking value (he should never be turning TP into a bluff after binking it ott). That would be my explanation.

SoundSpeed 3 months ago

That first hand was interesting. I probably don't float turn, but I would never have bluffed river. I don't see having enough value combos to include a5. I also don't see having enough kx.

7:50 solver shows a preference for calling a5 over a4. Is that because the 5 has some interaction with the 98 for future straights?

Great review. Thanks!

thejericho2 3 months ago

Yeah that hand was v interesting. I believe so yeah; it can hit runner runner w 7x and 6x for the other end of the straight.

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