In Solver We Trust
Posted by thejericho2
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Happy New Year Bro. In the Hud is the 3rd stat aggression factor?
Also I am really finding your style of review helpful in my own game. To review the hand. Write my own questions, come up with my assumptions then run the hand through deep solver. its especially helpful to write my assumptions and then challenge them with the solver.
Thanks for the video!
Happy New Year to you too:)
I think it is, but I'm not 100% sure. This is the default HM2 HUD I believe. I don't use any HUD in-game and aggression factor has never been a stat that I've looked at much/valued.
Thanks for the kind words. I do like this studying style as well. Not too complex, pretty concise.
Happy new year! Hand 2 was quite a surprising sim! (17.20 - K75 4bet pot)
I was expecting perhaps some overfolding on the K high board, but wasn't anticipating so much raising, especially from hands like K9 for example. With these boards where the caller over-folds significantly even with good pocket pairs, is the reason that the 3bettor has a big range advantage and can barrel the caller off pocket pairs too often on turns and rivers given that they can keep value betting and bluffing lots?
In such spots I think a good exploitative adjustment is to barrel turn and river with lots of bluffs as the 3bettor given that most players will call too wide on the flop and will struggle to call down these pocket pairs unimproved. Do you think this would work here too, or do you think people are calling too much KX on flop to make it work?
Happy new year to you too as well!
I like the theory play here, raising a lot and folding a lot as oop w v little calling left. Board sucks for the caller and it's going to be quite hard to realize your equity by calling.
Explo wise, I think that you're right, it' s a great board to bluff as the 4bettor. In practice though, I think people won't raise enough Kx otf, but they will also call too many pps. So it pretty much balances itself out I would think.
Is this why OOP has lots of raises, even unnatural hands like K9? The EV of calling down is low due to facing 2 more polarised barrels often, so raising in comparison has higher or equal EV for lots of not entirely premium hands?
That's how I view it, yeah. Also seems to be easier for your range to play that way.
Yeh that's true, the draws would also have a lower EV of check-calling this flop (compared to other boards) too given the high frequency of turn cbets on KXX boards.
37.20 - 963r CO vs BTN
Found the turn range probe interesting here! I think it's similar to a 3bet pot I asked about a few weeks back in a very similar scenario - IP bets very often and most of it's pairs, so that OOP can probe range on the turn bricks? Is it just low turns that OOP can range bet small? Presumably the higher cards will connect with IPs range a little more and bring them more pairs?
Yeah exactly! Those middling boards that IP checks back as the 3bettor, when turn is a blank, we can probe range in most cases. Higher cards, not so much.
17:10 - Why do you have such a tiny amount of JTs in your sb range on the pio sim? JTs not pure 3bet/call 4bet in sb vs bu?
I use PIO ranges for studying and PIO folds JTs here quite a bit vs a Btn 4bet. Otoh, Monker calls it every time in the exact same situation.
Great review!
6:22 the raise/call of 65 and 76 is so counterintuitive to me. I understand raising to fold out some 77 88 and opponents eq, but to raise then call off a jam seems too thin. Would you apply that in the games you play?
Thanks!
Thanks :)
I would do it in game vs most opponents, expecting some guys to rip AK a decent amount here. It's a high variance play, but it's fine imo.
This is my favorite format of video. I often watch on my phone and live play with multiple poker tables is too small for me to see. One window at a time in the video is perfect.
That's great to hear. I will try and do more one window videos then. Must be much better for people watching on their phones.
isn't 54s always a fold pre?
It's a low % 3bet pre, and once you do 3bet it, you always call the 4bet w it.
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