Super Tuesday Review
Posted by Grayson Ramage
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Do you find yourself unable to defend against 4bets with high enough frequency when you 3b IP with such a wide range of hands? (QTs, AJo, etc). It seems like you have a high 3b frequency while choosing so many different types of hands as 3bets against both EP and LP opens.
at minute 45, you check down K6dd on At547. Villain bets 3/4 pot and you mention he won't be bluffing enough to make this call profitable. Is this a general tendency you have caught on to when OOP checks twice? I've noticed similar tendencies, that 2 checks from OOP and a river rarely are bluffs.
Last question- we got it in with KJ and A4o, and an EP shove with KJcc. Are we not giving up equity ICM wise when we keep tango'ing with profitable but towards the bottom of our range shoves? Despite being the shortest stack, is there not an inherent advantage to out-lasting some other bigger stacks?
The A4o shove is def +EV ICM shove, assuming the opener is opening around 6.8% of nuts (r/c) and 40% of trash which i think he does. indeed u can ship ATC vs that opening range (even with ICM its fine). the KJs is a +$EV nash shove but maybe better off raise/folding (and surprisingly 88 99 are ICM punts). the kjo may be a ICM punt but its hard to icmize it. 3betting hands like AJo QTs seems fine and not too wide. These are two of the nut bluff combos. the K5s QJo 3bets vs EP and MP are really light and clearly not GTO (but prolly pretty profitable since openers have high fold to 3b%)
At the moment, I think my 3betting ranges to be ok, it really just comes down to constantly adjusting to other people's tendencies for dealing with 3bets.
Some players almost never bluff, and some players over bluff in the K6 spot. I am sure there are also players who have a perfectly balanced range on the river when it gets checked twice, but they are probably few and far between. It comes down to knowing your opponent's tendencies and game flow.
In regard to the shove spots, wilsonyeung answered that very well. I wasn't sure on the KJo spot because it is a pretty strange spot, but the KJs shove is good icm-wise, and I expect the chipleader to be raise-folding so much that I think it is definitely a mistake to not shove A4o.
nice video, it would be nice to put the KJs hand in holdemresourcescalculator.. gg
35:00, since we are getting such a good price to call flop and fold turn when we miss, I don't know if it's that obvious that we need to raise flop all in. The main counter argument is definately what you said: we are not getting value easily on the turn when we hit. I wonder if it's a good enough reason to justify the flop shove when, like you said, we wont have much fold equity
Ran some numbers in equilab, 40% equity seems good enough to just gii flop and have some fold equity
36:00 i feel like you called river because you dont have many hands that dont bet turn for value and so you think you might get overbluffed on the river. This might be a spot where checking some Ax on the turn might be a good idea to call down the river bet.
At first sight, I felt like his bet with Tx was bad and your call was even worse (not expecting him to bluff there, since I was expecting you to have Ax still in your range on the river when you checked turn). So if this is the case, I would just use some Tx and Ax as "bluffcatcher" on the river when he decides to lead and fold 88 that blocks his bluff and is not strong enough to bluffcatch in the first palce. thoughts? :)
Checking back Ax some of the time is a good strategy here. I need to call and win about 23% of the time for this to be a profitable call. Against a range of TT+, 77, A2s+, QJs, J9s-J8s, 98s, A2o+, QJo, J9o-J8o, 98o I have almost 24%. This takes out all of his K high hands, assumes he is vbetting everything better than 10x, and also assumes he is calling J8o and J9o on the flop. I do have a pretty poor hand to bluff-catch with, and my call is obviously awful when he is betting 10x on the river. Having 10x as my worst bluff-catching hand is definitely the play when he is betting 10x+ for value on the river
Any particular reason for the K9 suited 4bet jam at 9:00? Is this particular villain likely to be light?
I don't recall at the moment, but I likely had some sort of read or sizing tell.
Hello mate, at 17:20 you elect to cbet AJo on a 9d8s2d vs BB. Why´d rather cbet than checking back that board? I´m intrigued because I see lots of regs checking back a lot those type of boards these days, specially vs BB range. Ty and gl
I'd check back more with Ad, since I can call a turn bet more often. I do have some backdoor straight draws in addition to my overcards, so there are a good amount of turn cards that I can barrel. That being said, I don't think checking back is bad.
hello Grayson. Was watching all your videos recently and after short break this one. May be i'm not only one who will ask for that - but i clearly would like to see more videos with all hands, not only hands which you played. I saw many videos like this, and interesting what you folding in different situations, whats your bottom line for open raise in some positions, etc, etc. Of counce, no need to see how you folding 27o from UTG or how you not calling raise and 3-bet on 98s, but still interesting when you have some kind of playable hands, which probably can be played by some more aggressive (or weak) players, like when you raising or folding 67s from early positions, unsuited Ax from middle positions, some trash from button. Hope we will be able to see something like this in next videos. Thanks
I would also like to see this. I've seen players in vids sometimes snap muck some hands that I would play, and always find it interesting when they're folding certain pps, suited aces, etc.
nice video.
at 9min, why do you opt to shove 4b shove k9s?
at 12min, with KK, on 995hh, are you just checking or shoving? do u ever bet small like 1/4th pot (which u did in previous 3b pot) bc it is tough for his broadway heavy range to defend against it? or do you get priced in with too much of ur range? with ur AK/AQ/bluffs i think u wanna bet small to protect/try to win pot.... tho maybe expliotately checking with KhKx is good regardless
9 - I addressed that in earlier response, I don't recall at the moment, but I likely had some sort of read or sizing tell.
12 - I'm probably never bluffing here against a 14bb stack's open. On the flop there is <1 PSB behind so I can't imagine bet/folding any flops (other than possibly when there are 3 overs to my pocket pair on the board). Betting tiny to induce may be optimal against some players, but I prefer to check back most of the time, and there is no scenario in which I would bet/fold AK/AQ with <1 PSB behind.
Would also love a little more explanation on your decision to 4b shove K9s at the 9m mark. Great video - I love how many hands you get through!
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