Stack Off Hand Review from a Shot at 200 Zoom
Posted by Steve Paul
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1) 630 with A4s I think this is a spot where solver says to call but is under bluffed. When I was trying to mimic solver I burned a lot of money in this spot almost every time hoping they have KJs or J10s maybe turning QJs into a bluff on the Q32AX board. They are not bluffing enough to call as wide as solver does. Was hard for me to accept this first 40k hands I played. Win rate has improved since I accepted I should not always follow solver and just follow pool trends instead. Solver just a guideline and nothing to follow religiously.
2) 15min AA on the 862ss. Mention without a spade you want to put the money in. I think this might be only for Aces! I think over pairs TT-Kk prefer to have a spade. Would be very careful in this spot shoving without a spade. Something I discussed in the comments of Henry Lister last video where ATXcc prefer not to have a club with your AK AQ combos but over pairs on low boards prefer to have redraw equity incase your behind and if you're ahead you block 1 of the outs vs a fd. Double checked this mostly true with JsJx and TsTx. The QQ & KK still pretty much get all combos in and the AsAx will mostly just call and let opponent barrel.
3) 15:30 against small 3bet is a spot I struggle with as well. I am curious how solver is playing this. In my pool I will open 2.5 and face a lot of min 3bets to 4bb or 5bb and I have no idea how often I am supposed to be 4 betting hands like 99 TT AQ KQs against this size. Also not sure if I should be linear or polar when facing these small sizes. I am guessing linear being it is most likely a fish making these sizes.
4) 21min A4d on the 9s-5d-3h board on the river solver is mostly only bluffing with A4 that unblocks the top two suites of the board. Hero doesn't want to bluff A4s or A4d here and prefers A4h or A4c. Completely unblocking the more natural floats that call, call, then fold river. I see this a lot on solvers with unblocking the top two suites when deciding if you want to bluff river or not. I am showing -0.27 EV with A4d here, but I don't have exact pot size / stack sizes. As4s being the worse combo blocking spades for -1.23 EV loss. Where the Hearts and Clubs are 0 EV check / all in. I don't like giving up these spots, but after punting enough rivers eventually we learn the stove is too hot to touch! Then your question in the video about KK+ jamming is correct. JJ+ actually Jams river and TT uses smaller size. Then jamming all the J10s KJs KTs as well as QX hands. Actually checking QTs for some reason...
5) 23min 99 UTG 2.5, hero 3bet sb face cold 4bet from bb. UTG folds and hero calls. Mention 99 only bets some times on the turn, but it is a very high frequency bet. Even on the flop donk betting 25-30% of the time. On the turn it does prefer a more geometric size but block bet 1/3 is used pretty frequently as well.
6) 27min similar to suites above on the Ad-Jh-8c board when you are deciding to call off AQh on AJ8JT board mostly calling AsQs unblocking hands that raise flop with gutter + BDFD. Folding other combos of AQ and even AK. Instincts are right about the spot being very polar.
I think you played really well overall. Just small tweaks to only bluffing river when you unblock bdfd with ace high bluffs i.e the Ad4d hand and the AhQh hand. Heuristic can be applied to both bluff shoving and hero calling.
There is a nice exploit you can do with some of these hands if you don't want to hero call the AhQh hand and that is to block river with a 20% sizing and fold to a raise. Some times it works in your favor and they call with A8s or ATo etc that raised flop to "find out where they are." I wish I used this a bit more rather than trying to bluff catch a polar range against a pool that under bluffs.
Long comment but mostly just confirming a few spots and mostly agreeing with your play overall. Really loved this format of HH review and look them up on solver. This is mostly how I study and try and apply certain heuristics when I learn something. I would like to see this format again, maybe less hands and more talk about certain concepts or heuristics you are using to determine if you are cbetting and if you are cbetting polar / linear and why?
Great job!
Thanks for the in depth comment and I agree with basically all of your thoughts. River blocking bets are something I use a fair bit in small pots but in big pots I just don't seem to consider them. Have done some very preliminary solver work and they are definitely used a fair bit OOP even in very unintuitive spots, so likely a decent play in the AQ hand.
Hey Steve, at 4:00 you 4bet JJ on BTN vs BB squeeze. Im wondering what's your 4bet frequency there with TT-JJ-QQ, and would you 4 bet more if squeezed than just heads up?
Thanks
I would pure 4bet QQ and do some kind of mix with JJ/TT - different solutions are going to give somewhat different frequencies but somewhere in the 25-75% range. As for squeeze vs heads up I feel like I can give a rationale for either way - there's more money in the pot so 4bet more but bb might be a touch tighter so 4bet less but sb is likely a weaker player so then bb might be wider but...and so on. So in practice I think I would just mix with roughly the same frequency.
Hey Steve, A worthwile vid once again. We played a bunch at 100z and I was wondering why you're not moving on to 200z already. Think you're far and away the least clickery reg in the pool. Do you think you have some unusually high risk-aversion or are you just taking it easy wrt poker, focusing on theory/RIO and other "real life" ventures? Asking because I could kind of relate to that. As for suggestions, I'd personally really like to see a vid where you filter for spots where you made adjustments/deviatied consciously from solver because you saw the pool react poorly. For example: Turn probes bb vs btn where population is often exploitable (checking back too much air as well as A highs etc.) or river scenarios just like the AhQh hand at 26:00 where it seems I am just paying people off and being very charitable. Anyways Gl at 200. Hopefully see you there within a couple of months.
Thanks for the kind words. I think a big reason I spent so long at 100 is I tend to have some issues with confidence and am more risk averse than most. Didn't help that I got crushed in my first shot (see this video :) ) which sent me back to 100 for a while. Second shot started great but just hit a big downswing so a little uncertain what I'm doing atm.
I'll keep that in mind for future videos, my next couple will be a review of a RIO user playing 200 at Global
Steve Paul Appreciate the honest response here. Glad to see not all RIO coaches are sun running :-P The last few videos I watched, makes it seem as if RIO coaches win 3-5 buy-in every 45 minutes.
My last few sessions have involved losing 3-5 buyins every 45 minutes which is considerably less fun!
Fwiw I think your lack of confidence is irrational as you are (objectively) v good at poker and you'd def win comfortably at 200z. Just keep at it Steve.
Steve Paul Cruesix Mindset needs to be developed that it is "ok to bust" as long as you are playing well. If you put pressure on yourself to cash out each month or make every month a winning money the stress becomes over whelming! I try and think of it as a video game in terms of BB and not money. It does seem impossible to accept losing days, weeks, or month at times. No matter how many pokerdope variance simulations you look at, the human mind just does not like to lose.
Just have to accept you may only win 55% of your sessions long run. Eliot Roe in A-Game master class talks about MLB players getting paid to FAIL! With their batting average only being .200 to .300 they are "losing" on a personal level 70-80% of the time they are unable to hit the ball and get on base. Each session needs to be QQ vs AK mindset, where you have a small edge, but can expect to lose very often.
My advice is to treat it as a video game where you can't cash out. Your objective is to manage your bankroll and play the end boss at the end of the game (nose bleeds). When you take away the pressure of it being real money or money you need for bills or any monetary short term goals you have regarding your balance, take all that away and you will feel a chip come off your shoulder.
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