Small Edges
Posted by Leszek Badurowicz
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Great to have you back! Congratulations on your life accomplishments! Can't wait for your book in english :D
How wonderful! Thank you for sharing the lovely picture. Best wishes and congratulations on your wedding and publishing your book. Look forward to the English version.
Gratulacje Leszek
Very good video, especially the analysis about wide ranges.
Only thing I want to add is the cbet range on the KJ2dd flop does seem rather wide (78% of the time). But it might not really affect the ratio of made hands to air on the river much.
It's not a cbet range, but a range preflop. I thought 78% might be a little too wide to raise the limper, wonder how did he get that number.
Thanks for congratulations guys!
There is a stat BB raise after SB limp and this player had 4/5 (80%) so 3/4 before that hand. I know the sample is not reliable but we have to stick to some assumptions.
I don't think that cbet 78% is wide on this board texture. My cbet is around 50% but on this board I will be cbetting around 80% as well. Cbet is just an average value, if you 3bet OOP and the board is AA2r, your cbet might be even 100%, at the same time on 347r you can check 100% of the time. However this board texture is very good for PFR and at the same time bad for the player who limp/called and because of that I expect BB to be having very wide cbet range. Imo all regulars will be using their range advantage in that spot and cbetting weaker hands like GS oraz naked second pair.
@Starsailor84
No, the preflop range is 75%. If you key in the flop range (J+,dd,T9+) into PJ you will get BB cbetting 78% of his range on the flop. That is what I meant.
Love the format and pace :)
Awesome video :)
Great vid, especially the PJ analysis:)
With regards to the AK59 hand, if we're in a similar situation, but the river did not complete some draws (like 7s perhaps), Would you be more or less likely to fold to the same river bet?
(assume we have AK79 so still hit 2pair on the river)
My guess would be that he has even more air in his range, but might be less likely to bluff a brick river as it's tough to represent much except 2pair/sets.
On the other hand he may have put us on a draw and actually bluff more in this spot, so I'm not really sure.
Would love to hear your thoughts on this.
Thanks
I have done quick analysis in PJ and call will be even more profitable with assumption that we hold K7. There are couple of reasons for that:
=> He can be bluffing his whole air, he doesnt need to have a Q or T blocker
=> He can be valuebetting worse hands like K2 or K6
=> Our range looks pretty weak, we have very few KJ+
=> This hand is very close to the top of our range in this spot
In this particular case he should have even more bluffs (38.7%) than vbets (28.5%) so folding will be a very big mistake ;-)
Thanks for doing a quick analysis and clearing that up:)
In the video you mention your process for figuring out new strategies and that you haven't found much lately. Is this something you've done deliberately, or have you've just had epiphanies along the way following your daily routine? If it's deliberate, what is your process for going about finding out new things? I think this could be interesting content for a video.
Hey, I am not really sure what do you mean by "new strategies". I think right now it is pretty hard to find something completely new and it is better to focus on improving the weakest parts of your game, e.g. when it come to poker math and working with PokerJuice - you don't really find anything new, you are just getting better with calculations and understading different spots. But this is not new knowledge, but rather an improvement of understanding the math.
By "new strategies", I was just trying to reference what you said in your video about finding out something new. E.g. a recent development was/is that people are way under-defending their blinds preflop. Something like that might not be something you just stumble upon, because it might not be intuitive that some of the weakest hands preflop are profitable to defend without looking deeper into it. Hands that are folded preflop before putting money into the pot are rarely analysed. That could be something one figures out through the deliberate process of looking for things to improve on.
I guess that is something you personally figured out by comparing your stats to the biggest winners and then digging deeper. So that would be one way you figured out something "new".
I guess there are few ways to do it:
1) Watching videos of better players can help you to pay attention to some spots where you make mistakes
2) Another way is cooperating with other players
3) Last but not least is playing focused and paying attention to what's going on at every table. If you play too many tables you will never be able to spot some repeating patterns of your opponents, sizing tells etc. However if you play the right amount of tables, you are focused on the game etc. you will start noticing patterns in your opponent's game.
Imo these are the most important ways for figuring out "new strategies"
Thanks for your response. What are your thoughts on 1-on-1 coaching? Do you think it is necessary? Cooperating could be considered as loosely including coaching, but I know some people are adamant about coaching, others are neutral and others don't think it is necessary as long as you are improving.
I guess there are many ways of improving your game. Many! And coaching is one of them. It is pretty expensive so every person who decides for it should make sure that the coach has reliable results and good coaching skills. It also helps if they play similar style.
I agree with your sentiment, I think when a lot of people think of improving they think about getting coaching without even looking into what other options there are out there first that may often have a higher ROI.
I think your last sentence is interesting. My friends and I were hypothesizing that if you could find a player who wins at a similar rate than you do, but plays a very different style, it could be very beneficial to get coaching from them. I guess I could see an argument against that being that if they are not capable of understanding your approach to the game, they may not be able to give you constructive feedback on your game. However, assuming you have the competency to understand what they are doing and figure out if it complements your game or not, it could be quite valuable.
Great video, enjoyed it.
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