Short Handed $25/$50 PLO w/ Ante (part 1)
Posted by Phil Galfond
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21:30 Table 1 turn x/r on J52ccs Tu Qs.
What would a good river strategy look like as OOP here? There are a variety of river classes: brick, relative brick, weak texture shift, strong texture shift. Do we always want a betting range on all types of rivers @ spr 2-3ish? We could take one approach where we value bet the top 20% or so of our range and bluff the bottom 10ish or best 10% of our air, etc, then check the rest or play a blocking range and some checks. Is there ever a good reason to play auto check range on some texture shifting river like say the Tc/Ts? It seems like OOP's range will struggle to find enough bluffs on those cards so he might not want to / have to bet all of his nutted hands to get his air in on river.
Good and tough question!
I think there are several situations that arise where certain river cards interact with ranges in a way that OOP should play a 100% check strategy.
Given the action and the board in this hand, I don't think there are any obvious ones. Both my range to x/r the turn and his range to bet-call will contain plenty of QJ/Q5/QQ, ss, cc, AK/KT/AT/K9/T9, A3/A4/34/63/64. I will have many more flopped sets and J5 than he will, but otherwise, we each have every category of hand represented in our range quite well.
The potential 100% check situations are more likely to arise when hand ranges are much more defined and incongruent.
On a board like QJ82 with one flush draw (cc), the Tc river would leave both players very low on <2pr hands, but the QJ52ccss board is so dynamic that each player could end up with no pair on every possible river.
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