French Stars $50k Tourney Replay (2 of 3)
Posted by Paul Senter
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Also if these hands aren't in his 3b range I don't think it tightens his range enough to stop a jam from being profitable.
About 5bet shove hand with Q9s - you assumed that opponent 4bets 20% of time, but he has open raising range, which is not 100%. Dont u have to multiply 20% and his openraising range to find his exact 4bet range? And there is 12bb stack behind you. Does it make open raising range and your 3bet range tighter?
Thanks also for spotting my mistake in the maths, as you're right about me not taking his opening range into account. However, to find his 4b range I would assume he opens about 35-40% from that seat with that stack and therefore will maybe 4b 20% of that range so 7-8% of total hands of which only about 3% are induces. I would therefore get about 60% of folds and not 80% if he is balanced. However, I think he could flat AA/KK here some % if he thinks I'm light, making his 4b inducing range even tighter and my jam more profitable if this is the case.
One other point is that feel is important too. It could be that in this given spot he was in the mood to 4b every single hand he opened. The maths justifies the play as profitable, but if you have a good read on your opponents timing/sizing/attitude etc it could be massively profitable. (not saying I did in this hand, but in general =) )
Regarding smaller stacks around me, I think they are a mixed blessing, as in general you may get more credit for a 3b if you are committed to calling shorties, and q9s does have 33% v 88+/AJo+ so it wouldn't be the end of the world if we had to gamble..
on 8 min. with KK i still prefer flat with giving stacks behind, and if you choose to 3bet, i think sizing it smaller betweet 15.8-17k gives more feeling of fold equity to original raiser and blinds.
Don't think the 3b sizing matters too much as long as its 2.5x or less just because some people may be more inclined to jam when there's more out there. Pretty player specific I guess. Vs sum1 good I think they can go 2 ways to a larger sizing, either think im bad and have AK or think i'd make it smaller/inducier with premiums. Definately something to play around with...
I was wondering if the push with 77 (at 43:00) was not too spewy.
By pushing here so deep, you narrow your own range to nearly exactly what you got (66-99), then his calling range is going to be way wider. By running the maths, i can't figure the good move here.
i'm french, playing on stars and winamax, really helpful to have a foreign look on it
we are not all donktards by the way :p
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