Leading the Turn: Equity Nudge
Posted by Sam Grafton
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Love to see a new Grafton video pop up on the homepage! Good eye opening stuff regarding GTO strats that I don't regularly implement. Would be nice to see how PIO responds when IP raises the donk leads, because this prospect tends to put me off donk leading medium strength hands even if I have equity advantage. Looking forward to the next vid already.
Yes didn't cover responses too much. Maybe a second part is in order! Glad you enjoyed it though.
Really happy to see this kind of video!! GTO strats that i missed a lot.
Thanks for the good job
Pleasure. Hard to get content out but try and make it good when i do.
Great vid Sam!! Actually think this is the best one I have seen from u so far. Would be great, if you could just continue with this, i.e turn it into a series. A cherry topping would be some agg reports, although it probably close to undoable as there are too many variables (stacks, positions, turns^^)...
Also have you looked at leading ranges in ICM scenarios? I have seen a few sims, where it is not very intuitive to lead, but it does happen at a somewhat high freq (e.g CL vs mid stack after x/c and neutral-ish Turn card or the other way round, mid-stack vs CL, because we almost do not x/r OTF because of risk premium against us).
Lot's of leading under ICM for sure. It's already coming through at highstakes. IP just doesn't get to raise much, so covering stack can just put in what there hand is worth and fold out equity for a nice price.
Great theory video sam.
At 35:15 our opponent has to dig deep to find hands like j9cx t9cx for bluff raises vs our turn lead but don't use some lower flush draws, gutters and combo draws like 98, 97 or 87 with and without clubs. This seems counter intuitive. Is it just to avoid getting 3bet off that eq?
At 39:35 our opponent likes to raise j8 and j7 pure. My take is it's a value raise as he blocks straights which makes more of our leading rng draw heavy. Is this why?
Hope to see a vpip series in the future. Thanks.
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