Kiwi Continues his Deep Sunday Million Run
Posted by Ryan Henry
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Great video Ryan.
At 23:25 you said opponent should have a small bet size on this turn. What hands does he value bet with here that he can get value with vs your 3bet pre/cc flop line? If you are well balanced in this spot his Qx probably doesn't get much value and he probably doesn't have many Kx that can get value from worse especially now that your QQ improved and JJ TT folds a lot vs a barrel. Wouldn't opponent want to be more polar?
Does 8x or 7x with a flush draw ever chk back here as opponent or does the 7 or 8 just never have the show down value?
Thanks Ryan.
Thanks Soundspeed!
23:25: At this stack to pot ratio villain should just be getting it in with their top pair+, so all of their KQo/KQs-KTs/AA/ 88-77. The reason we want to have a smaller sizing here in villains shoes is so we are able to include some of our very low/no equity type hands (A4s/A9s with no FD's, 66/55 type hands) which would put the BB into a situation where they would be indifferent between calling/folding with their JJ/TT type hands.
In theory is would be fine to occasionally check back some 7/8x with a FD as you will showdown some % of the pot, but VS an unbalanced range, which is heavily weighted towards TT/JJ and the occasional trap betting is going to be the best play IMO.
nice video! enjoyed it as always
about the last hand, I think against this turn size and with this combo which both blocks A5s and 44 and doesn't block any of villans bluff, even if the tendency is to underbluff the turn IP I think we got a profitable continue. especially if we have a turn leading range that leaves us with less 5x combos
A4 worth pretty much the same as A6/7/8/9/10 does, but this one doesn't block any of villans bluffs. I think we can start by overfolding those more
Thanks Lospollos, appreciate the words :).
I do agree that I would prefer calling this hand over A6-A9, but it is difficult to make this call profitable unless villain starts adding in a bunch of KQo/KJo with a heart for example along with a bunch of their flushdraws and I am not convinced that population is doing this. I am also going to have a bunch of AQ/AJ and even some AT, 5x that I can continue with. This hand is certainly going to be a continue vs some opponents and something we could look at is villains river barreling frequency, if it is on the lower side I could be swayed in agreeing with you and call the turn pure and fold river as they are more likely to give up on the river.
Very good, i really like the "pure" range talk in each hand with minimum concerns about actual hands. You are doing a very good work on theory despite being a HH review.
Thanks, glad you enjoyed it!
Nice video Henry. In hand at minute 30, if you have had the 9 of cloves would you have called?
Thanks Pipicucu. If I had 9c it would be closer, but given populations tendencies of under bluffing. If I had TTxc I would call everything though as it blocks much more relevant flushes in villains range.
Thoroughly enjoyed the analysis from villain’s perspective on each occasion, as well as from yours. Cheers!
Thanks for the words mate!
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