$25/$50+ PLO: My Thoughts in Real Time
Posted by Richard Gryko
Video Player is loading.
This is a modal window.
The media could not be loaded, either because the server or network failed or because the format is not supported.
Resume Video
Start from Beginning
Watch Video
10
Loading 9 Comments...
Good solver explanations, as usual
I love solver work!
11:35 Must be extremely close to a stack off with 10 nut outs 3way at SPR 2 for you in the bomb pot? Need ~29% and should have about 30-33% if they're getting in all sets, nfd, Kx+ spades.
SPR2 vs the ranges I expect to see im cautiously confident calling it off is losing some smallish amt - out duplication is very possible, redraw equity is a near certainty. I ran a couple of sims which have me averaging around 27% (obv assumptions and therefore results can vary), looks like I also have roughly the same vs the hands that happened to show up in this instance. I looked at a couple of SPR2 bomb pot sims I have saved and nut wraps with nothing else do seem to mostly fold 3way vs two players betting committing amounts. Fwiw though im def not saying id bet my life on folding this hand in this spot being the right decision, def happy to listen to anyone with data to the contrary, i like gambling at least as much as the next guy :)
17:36 The T72ss solver hand... Since we're choosing a single turn size for this board, is there any incentive to pick a slightly larger one (say 1/2 pot) that allows us to potentially get all in for pot on the river?
It seems strange to me as a human, given we have a lot of flushes in our turn betting range, that'd we'd want to leave ~15bbs behind on the river even when we have a flush (and, exploitatively, I think humans do in fact size up on turn to get stacks in on river with their strong flushes), but perhaps this is simply what wins the most for our range on this type of board? Curious about the overall EV difference of leveraging entire stacks vs not: if we can executive a perfectly balanced turn/river strategy for 1/3 as well as 1/2, do we win more of less with those extra 15bbs in play?
Vision, for whatever it's worth, is only programmed with the half pot size for this turn.
i think b50/b100 is a reasonable sizing strategy, and id assume solverland EVs are gonna run extremely close together. Agree with the explo read.
(edit, just ran it, EVs literally identical, basically we trade sizing for frequency and get to bet a lot less often with range, so we win more with flushes but win similar amt less with other sections of our range / IP realises more eq with certain regions of his range.
I prefer the after session analysis as you can go a bit deeper on the analysis. Having siad that, it was nice to see your raw, in the moment thought process.
11:35 table 3 9864 if bb had not jammed but folded instead, can you call this wrap vs psb on a 2 tone board?
Thanks!
yeah id guess full wrap is winning some smallish amt to peel, unexciting spot though.
Great video, thanks!
15:45 That KK63 lead on 754 seemed very counter intuitive to me. I would have def. used that hand to absorb aggression. In fact, I would have thought this exact hand (without Kd blocker perhaps) to be the archetypical x/c hand in this spot so if Im wrong Im very wrong! You have a strong opinion on this one?
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.