How Much Big Mistakes Impact Our Winrate
Posted by Pedro Fernandes
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Very good explanation! I had thought about it but when you showed those numbers is way more clear that a part of my approach should be minimizing big errors rather than trying to make fancy plays.
Yeah I think actually seeing the numbers raises a lot more awareness in game to those type of situations.
And 100% agree, minimizing those big errors (which can often come from those ''fancy plays'' as well) is completely essential to crush the games at a good winrate
Pedro,
This video brings up something in an indirect way that a lot of players do when analyzing a spot they played. A lot of times you can run a hand through a solver and see that your hand is a pure call (or maybe a mix that mostly calls) and say to yourself you played correctly, when in fact your opponent is not playing the way the solver is playing that spot and you are making a significant error calling. You do a nice job showing just how much this adds up if you are making these mistakes.
Thanks
Hey 777TripSevens777 , happy to hear you enjoyed the analysis.
And indeed it can be quite a big trap to quickly browse through a bunch of hands on the solver, and as long as your hand is a mix assume that your play was fine
Pedro,
Very nice video. Really enjoyed the topic of this one and you explained it very well.
Thanks Pedro
This video came along at a good time for me. I've been making some loose calls and questionable check raises lately and this quantifies how much i may actually be costing myself. The final takeaway slide really sunmed up things i have been struggling with lately. Thank you.
Hey Pedro, very nice explanation, you break down this complex concept in a straightforward manner. Good job! :D
Hey Pedro, nice video! As I get more into studying bluffing frequencies in Hand2Note, do you have any tips for how to group scenarios together in the most efficient way, given that there are so many different potential scenarios to study?
I think starting from the Macro and adding more and more details with time is the way to go.
So starting by creating a popup for each of the 12 spots possible (SRP, 3BP, 4BP, IP and OOP for all of those + PFR and PFC for all of those). After that creating the most common lines (BBB, XBB, BXB, etc...) and studying bluffing % OTR for each of those would be a solid start.
There are obviously plenty more that you can/should do with time (filtering specific positions, specific flop/turn betsizes, player profile, etc...).
For sure not an easy task, but 100% worth it I'd say
In a way this video is (at least for me) as much about the importance of emotional control and a disciplined playing environment. Tilt is so real as well as factors like playing tired, or after a couple of beers, or with a distraction in the room. These simple things can cause the rate of these big mistakes to easily increase and ruin a good week or month. Thanks for the remind to above all make sure I'm always in the correct headspace when I am playing.
100% agree mate. After a certain point in your development, those big mistakes happen more often due to a emotional leak rather than a techinical one in my opinion
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