Indeed, Poker doesn't seem like an easy game nowadays, especially in NLHE.
Do you feel like you still have an edge on the 3-handed tables ? Or you know it's pretty close to ev0 but you need to start from there anyway to get action vs recreational players later ?
That's a good question. I will say that I think much of my value from playing 3 handed comes from the possibility that a fish will sit (since I don't have a script) and also from playing more hands against tougher regulars which will ultimately improve me as a poker player.
In some spots you chose a very large riverbet for thin value (AK and at least 1 more) which i do not like, as he has to defend much less vs a bigger bet and pushes your hand very close (or even below) the 50% mark vs his callingrange. I suspect you chose the size because that's the size you want to bluff with, but i think it is much better to bluff with the size you want to value bet thinly with and use that size for all betting hands for two reasons:
- Your range is already quite strong/few bluffs compared to different river cards
- the ev-change of your thin value bets when choosing different bet sizes times the likelyhood you have those hands far outweights the ev-change of your bluffs times the likelyhood of bluffbets.
I can't prove it, it's just my opinion that betting 90-110 into 160 in that situation is superior to betting 144 for those reasons.
Edit:
Actually i think i can at least prove that a smaller bet is better with this exact hand in a vacuum but i want to know your opinion first.
Really great analysis here and part of the reason I like making videos. The point you raise is a good one and as I kinda mentioned in the video I was somewhat uneasy about my river bet to begin with. Your explanation and plan for this runout looks to be superior than what I did and I like your reasoning. Thanks much for the input!
Agree with Tom, you have a ton of valuehands on this river and not all that much bluffs so it would make sense to bet a little smaller. Loved the vid, keep up the good work :)
I find it interesting that seeing him flat AK IP vs. your 3bet made you unsure how to play other potential 3bet spots against him (would have for me too). If he's losing EV from the vacuum decision there, he may make up for it in causing his opponents to second guess even some of their more basic decisions.
And yeah I think that's a really good point. There is certainly some meta-game value that villain gains by showing up with AK in that spot, as it will certainly affect the way I approach certain board run-outs against him in future 3b pots.
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really good content with tough lineups. i like it
Thanks!
Hi Sean,
Indeed, Poker doesn't seem like an easy game nowadays, especially in NLHE.
Do you feel like you still have an edge on the 3-handed tables ? Or you know it's pretty close to ev0 but you need to start from there anyway to get action vs recreational players later ?
That's a good question. I will say that I think much of my value from playing 3 handed comes from the possibility that a fish will sit (since I don't have a script) and also from playing more hands against tougher regulars which will ultimately improve me as a poker player.
In some spots you chose a very large riverbet for thin value (AK and at least 1 more) which i do not like, as he has to defend much less vs a bigger bet and pushes your hand very close (or even below) the 50% mark vs his callingrange. I suspect you chose the size because that's the size you want to bluff with, but i think it is much better to bluff with the size you want to value bet thinly with and use that size for all betting hands for two reasons:
- Your range is already quite strong/few bluffs compared to different river cards
- the ev-change of your thin value bets when choosing different bet sizes times the likelyhood you have those hands far outweights the ev-change of your bluffs times the likelyhood of bluffbets.
I can't prove it, it's just my opinion that betting 90-110 into 160 in that situation is superior to betting 144 for those reasons.
Edit:
Actually i think i can at least prove that a smaller bet is better with this exact hand in a vacuum but i want to know your opinion first.
Hey Tom,
Really great analysis here and part of the reason I like making videos. The point you raise is a good one and as I kinda mentioned in the video I was somewhat uneasy about my river bet to begin with. Your explanation and plan for this runout looks to be superior than what I did and I like your reasoning. Thanks much for the input!
Agree with Tom, you have a ton of valuehands on this river and not all that much bluffs so it would make sense to bet a little smaller. Loved the vid, keep up the good work :)
good content! :D
Thanks guys.
Good video, Parker.
I find it interesting that seeing him flat AK IP vs. your 3bet made you unsure how to play other potential 3bet spots against him (would have for me too). If he's losing EV from the vacuum decision there, he may make up for it in causing his opponents to second guess even some of their more basic decisions.
Thanks.
And yeah I think that's a really good point. There is certainly some meta-game value that villain gains by showing up with AK in that spot, as it will certainly affect the way I approach certain board run-outs against him in future 3b pots.
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