Mid Stakes NLHE Hand Selection Review
Posted by Parker Muir
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Hi,
Nice Vid as usual.
About the A9 hand at 19 min, i don't really get your overbet instead of a classic 2/3 pot.
I guess the main goal of the river bet is to get called by any AsX that doesn't want to be pushed around from a chop, and his range consists mainly of AsX and some missed broadways like K10/KJ/J10.
So, by overbetting you represent a narrow range of hands that you actually very often have like A5s/AQ/A9/99 (not really balanced enough by your bluffs i think) so Vilain might get suspicious and fold any Ace that we want him to call with. In addition, he won't go crazy with some C/R bluff.
I feel like in this hand, villain made terrible decisions that led to a nice profit for you, but overall do you really feel it's the best play or it's just result oriented ?
Thanks Rachiid.
I specified in the video that I think that either bet size can be applied here. I prefer the 2/3s size when villain is known to be somewhat frisky and capable of check raise bluffing me off a "chop" though.
Also, I am repping an even thinner value range here than you suggest, as I don't have AQ/A5 on the river. In addition there is often a leveling game where I could be overbetting any Ax here to try and get him to fold a "chop." Also, as I mentioned I will give up turn with lots of air hands that could be perceived to be bluffing the river.
Nice video, I really enjoy your analysis.
You AA hand when you ran into set of deuces. Now, how often would you say you lay it down in that spot on the river, given similar type of a hand? I am asking this because in similar situation, I more often end up calling half pot valuish bet, even though I realize that I can not be good there 25% of the time. Logically, I realize I would see bluff there at most maybe 5% of the time, however in the heat of the game, it is not easy to make that right decision. So, in similar situation, what would be your frequency of calling there on average? 50% of the time? 25%? I think I end up calling in similar spot close to 70% of the time. It's one of the leaks in my game that I am trying to work on.
Thanks for the kind words Vladimir.
I think that if I am playing my A-game and really thinking through every decision that I will always be able to make folds similar to this.
However the reality is that it is hard to be that sharp 100% of the time. As I discussed in the video, at the time of this hand I didn't think through and analyze critically all of the information available to me. So essentially my mistake here was not necessarily calling when I know I shouldn't, but more so not fully analyzing all of the details and therefore making a somewhat autopiloty/default decision.
If you find that this is also the case for you, I would suggest doing extra curricular stuff to help ensure you are playing your A game more consistently. Stuff like getting enough sleep, eating right, not allowing any distractions at the table and exercising enough. If not, then it's probably a very good idea to go through the affected hands and try to teach yourself or discuss with someone all of the details that make them good folds.
hey Parker , v nice video like always !
can you do a live zoom video in the future ?
Thanks! I have a few upcoming videos planned already, but a live zoom video is definitely on my radar.
In the last hand (QJ): were you planning at folding to the short stack at any point after you 4B? It sounds like you were from the way you presented the hand, although you didn't state your plan outright. Preflop you need 33% which it seems you easily have, and postflop if he jams you need even less.
If you weren't planning on folding on the flop, do you think there is merit to just jamming, or betting a larger amount that looks stronger than jamming but is more clear you aren't folding (like 110, 120)?
Hmm, I was planning on folding at both of those decision points because he was so passive (71/3). I agree that if we are not folding, there is a lot more merit to jamming the flop.
solid vid, thanks!
No problem. Glad you enjoyed.
J4hh - Given your analysis of Villain's range, is it fair to say your value range for this overbet is A7+?
In a vacuum, I barely want to include any value :). As I explained, I feel like he folds just way too much to my overbet without any history and such a weak range.
However, as part of my standard balanced strategy, yes I think my value range would look something like AT+.
Awesome video as usual. I really like the selected HH format.
29:30 - the 108cc hand where you got nit rolled- I guess idk what your standard sizing is and how you like to balance that but this looks like a decent spot to bomb it closer to full potish or possibly an overbet imo. The smaller bet gets KQ KJ Q10 J10 109 to fold out but I think you get looked up by AK and A10 a lot and almost always A6 AJ. You will play most of your flush draws like this and he can't really have a flush, K10 , or AQ almost ever. I'd also assume villain would give you credit for being able to v-bet hands worse than a flush since he so rarely has a flush so you can also v-bet AQ or AJ biggish which lets you can bluff a lot more hands here as well.
Maybe I'm being results oriented because he tanked with the AJ but I think throwing an extra 10-20bbs on the river bet gets AK, A10, and A6 (and I guess vs nits AJ)to fold a lot more which would be awesome for 10 high. I guess this all kinda depends on how often you full pot/overbet and if it would look weird to the villain.
These hand review videos are the nutz!
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