Always love your commentary Nuno Alvarez I have another video request that might be a bit more entertaining as the cards are up, but still heads up between Linus and Berri Hopefully you can do a future video on this as its all the big pots.
36:00 Table 2: Initially I agreed with your assessment of bluffing range, but looking at the solution it appears that an inordinate amount of bluffs come from 2x given that 2x consitutes a large percentage of turn bluffs and because A2 (both the suited and offsuit variety) is the best hand in OOPs range, especially against shove.
Thanks for taking up the suggestion to review some footage with Stefan in! Interesting to see a different style of play from a top player.
Seemed like he loves to overbet, and most of them worked out well for him in this video.
When we see a lot of different and unexpected sizings from Stefan, and in particular different sizings to those we have previously seen on very similar boards, how do you interpret that? For example he overbet in 3bet pot on 642r but then bet 2/3 on 732r. Do you put it down to:
Playing a 2 (or more) cbet sizing strategy on the flop/turn
Inaccuracy in his execution
Picking a bet size for his exact hand strength and then building a strategy around that (i.e. adding appropriate number of bluffs)?
Is actually very hard to say since I haven't played enough against him but my guess is that he is most likely picking a bet size for his exact hand strength and building a strategy around that. This can be extremely difficult to do properly and can create unbalances that could be exploited but he seems to do it very well.
That's cool, that's what I suspect he is doing also but I haven't watched a great deal of him playing. I have always imagined that this is the highest possible EV way to play poker - with a large number of bet sizes for exact hand strengths, each balanced appropriately. Extremely hard for a human to pull off but seems like he is doing it well/avoiding being exploited (if indeed that is what he's attempting).
In some scenarios you are playing 3 sizings on the river, block, 2/3 and pot. Would it not make more sense to swap pot for an overbet? Seems like 2/3 and pot are too close, and adding something bigger would add to the EV of your strategy?
I used to play a split between 25%, 67% and 137% but after doing some extensive testing I found out that a PSB seems to outperform the overbet sizing since it allows you to valuebet a tad thinner in this line in which IP is not totally capped. That said, overbet is still the prefered big sizing choice in this line in spots in which IP is much more capped.
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Always love your commentary Nuno Alvarez I have another video request that might be a bit more entertaining as the cards are up, but still heads up between Linus and Berri Hopefully you can do a future video on this as its all the big pots.
Thank you for the kind words RunItTw1ce!
Nice suggestion, I like the idea a lot, consider it done :)
Looking forward to part 2, mostly for the hand at 26min-31min mark Table #2. Then 34:45 curious to see the bluffing range as well.
Stay tuned :)
36:00 Table 2: Initially I agreed with your assessment of bluffing range, but looking at the solution it appears that an inordinate amount of bluffs come from 2x given that 2x consitutes a large percentage of turn bluffs and because A2 (both the suited and offsuit variety) is the best hand in OOPs range, especially against shove.
Thank you for the insightful comment postwar18!
I did review this hand on a video that will be released next. I found out the same as you and I loved it since it is not a common pattern at all.
Thanks for taking up the suggestion to review some footage with Stefan in! Interesting to see a different style of play from a top player.
Seemed like he loves to overbet, and most of them worked out well for him in this video.
When we see a lot of different and unexpected sizings from Stefan, and in particular different sizings to those we have previously seen on very similar boards, how do you interpret that? For example he overbet in 3bet pot on 642r but then bet 2/3 on 732r. Do you put it down to:
Playing a 2 (or more) cbet sizing strategy on the flop/turn
Inaccuracy in his execution
Picking a bet size for his exact hand strength and then building a strategy around that (i.e. adding appropriate number of bluffs)?
Very good question matlittle
Is actually very hard to say since I haven't played enough against him but my guess is that he is most likely picking a bet size for his exact hand strength and building a strategy around that. This can be extremely difficult to do properly and can create unbalances that could be exploited but he seems to do it very well.
That's cool, that's what I suspect he is doing also but I haven't watched a great deal of him playing. I have always imagined that this is the highest possible EV way to play poker - with a large number of bet sizes for exact hand strengths, each balanced appropriately. Extremely hard for a human to pull off but seems like he is doing it well/avoiding being exploited (if indeed that is what he's attempting).
In some scenarios you are playing 3 sizings on the river, block, 2/3 and pot. Would it not make more sense to swap pot for an overbet? Seems like 2/3 and pot are too close, and adding something bigger would add to the EV of your strategy?
I used to play a split between 25%, 67% and 137% but after doing some extensive testing I found out that a PSB seems to outperform the overbet sizing since it allows you to valuebet a tad thinner in this line in which IP is not totally capped. That said, overbet is still the prefered big sizing choice in this line in spots in which IP is much more capped.
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