$10k HUNL: buttonclickr vs DavyJones
Posted by Nuno Alvarez
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what is the tool called that shows you the bet sizing in percentage?
It’s a feature of StarsCaption.
Nice one as usual Nuno!
Thanks mx! Glad you liked it :)
Always enjoy hearing your analysis of these matchups!
Was interesting to see a small raise here:
When I put these parameters into GTOWizard it only has a 0.5% raise frequency. Seems like a spot to just play call/fold and not have a raising range. So my question is whether you think Davy is:
1. Attempting to play a 0.5% frequency small raising range
2. Overestimating the raise frequency/need for a raising range
3. Attempting to achieve something else here with this strategy?
Hey mat, glad you enjoyed it.
I think he's clearly overestimating the raise frequency here. To be honest, on most of these textures there is a decent amount of raising going on for the IP player, it's just that it doesn't happen on this particular board so hard to blame him for that!
Ran this hand in the solver. Like you said, buttonclickr does not need to call much of his range to stop Davy's bluffs from gaining EV. But interestingly, if buttonclicker only calls straights here then Davy gains ~2BB with a huge number of bluff raises and can bluff raise at a huge frequency. So at face value it looks like a pretty silly play, but on further inspection it was in fact a very creative play which can add a large amount of EV to Davy if buttonclicker doesn't make a hero call every now and then.
Thanks a lot for the insights!
These spots are always interesting because they are very hard to read. I think that a huge % of the field would just fold here pretty much everyhing besides straights so Davy might be trying to exploit that in this way.
Yes I think most people would do that, so it seems like it could be a creative way to bluff. I would only ever consider calling less than a straight here vs the best or worst players in the world. Additionally most players would bet flop or turn with more straight draws (especially 65 with no SDV) than the solver would I am guessing, so then it becomes an even better spot for a bluff.
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