Railbirding $50/$100: DavyJones vs FourSixFour
Posted by Nuno Alvarez
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For the KJ883 hand, you went through a few variations of how to split your range on the river based on the runout and our corresponding value regions, with one bet size assigned to each value region. I find the right bet size fairly easy to establish with value hands. The part that is way more complicated though is arranging my bluffs across 3 bet sizes.
I remember that you taught me that hands with better blockers more often go into the large bet sizes, so that is clear to me too. It's very difficult to work out our overall bluff allowance for the river across 3 sizes, finding the cutoff point for which hands can be bluffed, and then sorting the hands into the 3 betsizes.
Do you have any tips on how to execute this in game? What sort of accuracy do you aim for as compared to a solver? Do you bucket hands into bet sizes rather than split them like a solver would?
Hey mat! Sorry for the delay.
My advice is that you shouldn't try to aim for super high accuracy in general. You should use logic and think what's going to work better vs your opponent on each and every situation you encounter.
I think a lot of players get lost trying to replicate the exact frequencies and combo choices that the solver suggests while the real value is not really there.
So you would advocate for using exploitative reasoning to pick which bet size to use for each hand on the river in most scenarios?
In general, yes. At the end of the day, poker is about exploiting and counter-exploiting your opponents and the river is the street in which you should try to exploit them the most.
This hand was pretty wild! My sim has it at around a 0.3BB mistake to 3bet the turn here, so it seems like a fairly large deviation here. Do you think it was an attempt to exploit Davy based on some HUD stats or something like that? Or do you think that FourSixFour is just going a bit overboard with continuing draws here that can't call and need to raise in order to continue?
This one was indeed pretty wild. My guess is that FourSixFour was just trying to exploit Davy in some way.
Min 31 the AQ hand vs 42s. Why do you say jamming AQ on the river as a bluff is good? I might be result oriented but villian is never folding a hand that is better. If AQ beats all the bluffs but can't fold anything better it seems like a pretty horrible allin IMO. I know in theory it should be fine, but players dont like folding big hands HU.
If villain is never folding a better hand then villain is playing this spot really poorly. Even if AQ beats all the bluffs, you need to use these hands to bluffraise ocassionally or else your opponent has no incentive to call you with his bluffcatchers when you do.
This seems like very result-oriented type thinking to me. We are talking about two of the very top players playing HU vs each other. Of course they will be able to fold big hands when the spot requires them to do so.
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