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Mid Stakes PLO Hand History Review (part 2)

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Mid Stakes PLO Hand History Review (part 2)

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Jack Mitchell

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Mid Stakes PLO Hand History Review (part 2)

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Jack Mitchell

POSTED Nov 08, 2014

Jack continues to shed light on a selection of intriguing PLO hands and discusses how to utilize his opponents perceptions to his own advantage.

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YouHuffAndPuff 10 years, 4 months ago

On the last hand, where you had QTJ3 on the board 24T3, are there any rivers you are folding? I'm thinking we could find a fold if he jams on a 2 or a 4? You make it sound like you would be hard pressed to fold really any river here. What about an A, K, Q?

Jack Mitchell 10 years, 4 months ago

Hey, sorry for the very late response, had a really busy few weeks outside of poker!
- I think on relative blanks- 7 through to Q, I would be hard pressed to fold (especially as J and Q would give me top 2). Obviously on 2 and 4 rivers, our hand is significantly weakened, there is even a decent possibibly our opponent is bluffing with the best hand; alot of value in our two pair is that it's deceptive. As he led the 3 turn and then jammed when it paired on the river, it makes more sense him repping trips+ moreso than on 2 and 4's. As I said about the play, it actually makes his bluff more credible him firing at a run out that isn't super scary for my percieved range, he would want to get max value with his straights and just got unlucky running into essetially the top of our range. On 2 or 4 rivers if he did empty the clip, I would certainly find it more difficult making a call given how strong his line is, our marginal hand and the pressure of the dollar amounts (a reason why I feel he may have made this play). Super close spot, I think I would be folding more than calling (around 70/30).
- A and K's get very tricky, we're beat by alot more combos and we don't block any/I expected his UTG opening range to be tight due to my analysis of the gameflow/dynamics I discussed. However, we were being percieved as playing pretty tight also, so it's a question of whether he'd go for value or check/evaluate and try to showdown. If he checked river on these cards, I would be checking back almost always. If he jammed, I would have to make a soul read, being more inclined to call off on a K (around 90%) than an A (less than 20%...all pretty rough estimates but hopefully you get the idea!).
- On a 6 river, despite the board looking very scary, I think I would have called it off, given that I wouldn't expect him to have too many combos that make a straight; again due to tight UTG opening and the run out looking very bad for my range, but breaking it down, not being great for his either. I believe he was targeting a range that consisted mainly of one pair and it's a great run out for him to do so-feel less likely to run into him bluffing with the best hand in this scenario.
Calls and plays like this I wouldn't neccessarily recommend at lower stakes where oppnents are often going to be more straight forward, certainly interesting to think about developing donking ranges in your game though.
Didn't have a ton of hands on this opponent, but the unorthodox line made me suspicious. My reasonings may be a mistake against his overall strategy and at times seem contradictory, but given my analysis in the vid I think my thought process is ok (nice to be right as well!)
Just thought it was a good example of the ability to apply pressure even when shallow, and how taking non-standard lines is often a good route to go with.

Hope all that essay makes sense!

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