$1/$2 Rush: Shaking off the Rust
Posted by EluSiVeMark
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Are these games beatable after the rake? How much does the win rate need to be to make a profit or break even?
Whatever your winrate is elsewhere, subtract 4-5bb/100. You have to play the leaderboards and hope to run well in the BBJ to have long term success. I know guys playing 200 rush and cash making 5 figures a month with 1bb/100 winrates.
Rake is around 10bb/100. But this includes a part of the bad beat jackpot. If you look the latest post of Patrick Howard on Twitter(X) you see the majority of players losing before rakeback over significant samples. So, for the average reg, I do not think these games are beatable before rakeback.
@18:48 AKo in the SB vs ep raise and mp 3bet 100bb effective stacks. Do you have a cold calling range here? What is the worst hand you 4bet call with?
I do not have a cold calling range vs 2 regs. Minimum hand i stack off is probably KK.
1:00 T#4 3 betting CO KJo vs HJ preflop seems a bit too light?
31:30 K5s btn call vs 3bet. If player 3bets smaller around 8bb are you calling or folding? I know you misclicked called vs 11bb 3bet, but is there is a threshold where you call these marginal holdings? Earlier in the video you folded QQ to a short stacker who made a small cold 4bet, so I am wondering if folding these marginal hands vs small 3bets is also the way to go, assuming the 3bet range is tight 8%? You said you have been playing more live poker, so in a 2/5 game, if you open $15 BTN, and SB makes it $45, what is the bottom of your continue range given 100bb deep vs a tight recreational 3bet range?
The highest EV hands for 1.00+ EV on wizard is 77+ AQ+ and suited broadways. Would you go wider than this vs small 3bets, but they have a 6-8% 3bet range?
1:00 Yes vs a decent reg it is. Vs a weaker reg or rec you can get away 3betting lighter, especially at zoom formats.
31:30 When we get greater odds, we call wider. How much wider depends on various things.
Close to being in order of importance:
- Potodds
- His range
- How deep we are
- Positions
- How does our hand perform (playability vs his range)
- Skill vs skill (do we have an edge)
- Reads on our opponent (is he honest, does he give up with fe AK etc)
I do not have an exact answer or range. It is more feelings/ experience based.
In a 2/5 live game, presumably with high rake and tight 3bet ranges i would be careful calling many 3bets.
14:28 table 2: I think villian might 4-bet a reasonable amount more AK (both suited and offsuite) preflop here than solver. It seems that SB players, both good and bad, will call a ton of QQ-TT from SB facing 4-bet. Thereby, SB preflop range will be more closely aligned with GTO than UTG; and against many villians QQ-TT type hands would turn into flop leads on boards such as 872r. Nevertheless, in my calculations, I still assumed a range check from the SB player.
Facing a range check UTG seems likely to bet more AA-KK relative to what the solver might do. Still, even accounting for these extra value hands, one need only include a small amount of AK flop bets to turn TT from a mix flop/call/raise into a pure jam on this flop facing 50% flop sizing by IP (who by using this sizing indicates that he's a rec). Do you agree that villians likely over 4-bet AK (both varieties) pre, and make preflop adjustments to account for it? Assuming UTG has too many preflop AK 4-bets in his range, don't you think he likely bets too many of these on the flop, especially for the more approrpiate 25% sizing? Do you have a read on recs that even thought they might 4-bet too many AK pre, that they rarely size up on flops such as these with that hand?
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