$500 Fast Levels: Final Table and I Win
Posted by Lucas Greenwood
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@14:44 I think we both know this is a minus ev call with AQo according to ICM programs, I did a quick run on it and it came up -0.23% with FI;s range being:
88-22,ATs-A2s,AJo-A2o,K9s+,KTo+,Q9s+,QJo,J9s+,T9s (21.57%).
What are your thoughts on this and what kind of strategty/meta game are most HS players implementing atm? ICM is overvalued?
Basically I wanna know if I should make this call you did or if you would fold next time after seing the ICM output.
I think its very close, ICM generally overfolds most of these spots IMO. I also think some of the very loose ICM shoves if people are shoving 80% are losing. ICM is not a bad model but its overly simplistic, the main mistake being at many nodes it turns the gametree into AI/fold spots when I think with a lot of hands raise folding is clearly superior.
I think its quite close here with AQo, I would fold AJo and snap call AQs.
This was an AWESOME series! You are great!
Lucas, thank you for your content. At 18:30, how much does you being 70ish bbb and the overwhelming chip leader play a role in that call? If you were 20-30-40bbb, or not the chip leader, would it still have been a call?
I think its closer but it also depends on stacks for all the other players. In this situation I think all the short stacks are so similar that they can't really be passing up that many plus chip ev spots. I think its a hard question to answer without having exact stacks, but I think if I were one of the shorter stacks I would not be calling off most of my chips with k5s.
Makes sense. Thank you
Lucas Greenwood Around 36 minute mark, hand with 64o. What do you think about blocking river? Isn't that a play we would consider with 1 or 2 pair hands so the bottom straight could fit in there nicely, to make him unable to xb with one pair hand himself?
I think block is fine but it should be pretty low frequency, BU should bluff the turn with 4x pretty often and the only straights I can rly have are 64 and 54, considering im x/c turn with any 7 and quite a few 6x hands I'm close to pure check with range.
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