Just wanted to note that in hand 4, when i talk about flopp and cb, when i say i cb this board close to a 100% with the time in this particular spot. I dont mean everytime i have a nutboat, i mean i cb in this spot with my entire range :) Enjoy the vid guys! //Isildroon
Maybe it is a bit late to comment on the video, but have just seen it now, and I felt like your math of the KKJ9ds was a little strange, so I decided to do it on my own, and I find your call to be a losing play by quite a margin.
As you stated, you will need 27.28 % eq otf to stack otf. That you will have 58.05 % of the time, and on average you will have 50.08 % when stacking off. This is true if we believe that villian has AA and will always shove the flop.
This means that 58.05% of the time you will stack off and have 50.08% eq of the 10820 pot on avg., and 41.95 of the time you will fold and lose 2432-794 = 1638 which you payed to call the 5bet.
Your EV is then: (The 4591 are your money invested after your 4b)
With the KKQ3 don't we need to be folding more than 21% of the time? Because you're comparing the EV of 4 betting to folding, but we need to compare EV of 4 betting to flatting. He needs to forgo the EV of flatting in position, with you having a defined range, to 4 bet, so I reckon he needs a lot more fold equity.
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Just wanted to note that in hand 4, when i talk about flopp and cb, when i say i cb this board close to a 100% with the time in this particular spot. I dont mean everytime i have a nutboat, i mean i cb in this spot with my entire range :) Enjoy the vid guys! //Isildroon
I think in the kkj9ds hand your calculation is off as you include the 1600 you pay after he raises in the amount to be won.
Thanks for noticing! It's a bit confusing. :)
0.58(7862x-2952*(1-x)) = 1638
or your way(same thing)
0.58(-1638+7862x-2952*(1-x)) - 1638*0.42 =0
x= 53%
Please correct me if I'm wrong here?
Found out from pql runner @ propokertools that our average equity on those good flops is 55%
Cool video Leo! Keep it up!
Nice video.. Sounds like ur English has improved a lot too :)
Maybe it is a bit late to comment on the video, but have just seen it now, and I felt like your math of the KKJ9ds was a little strange, so I decided to do it on my own, and I find your call to be a losing play by quite a margin.
As you stated, you will need 27.28 % eq otf to stack otf. That you will have 58.05 % of the time, and on average you will have 50.08 % when stacking off. This is true if we believe that villian has AA and will always shove the flop.
This means that 58.05% of the time you will stack off and have 50.08% eq of the 10820 pot on avg., and 41.95 of the time you will fold and lose 2432-794 = 1638 which you payed to call the 5bet.
Your EV is then: (The 4591 are your money invested after your 4b)
(50.08%*10820-4591)*58.05%-1638*41.95%= -206,7$
With the KKQ3 don't we need to be folding more than 21% of the time? Because you're comparing the EV of 4 betting to folding, but we need to compare EV of 4 betting to flatting. He needs to forgo the EV of flatting in position, with you having a defined range, to 4 bet, so I reckon he needs a lot more fold equity.
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