awesome analysis! could you post what each stat number represents or the just video where you explain them? thanks

For the 82o hand, given your reads, what would be the bottom of your calling range?

James, i have a mental game question: how susceptible are you to hindsight bias?

Really good vid. Thanks. 

yup lovely tu~

Nice video, had a very similar thought process in most of the hands. 
The 85s- do you think this PF call is making money? Would you fold without the 60/20 guy in the pot? Like yeah odds are great but we wont hit much most of the time and they are also going to have a lot of dominating draws. Postflop I think the check/raise is kinda wierd/bad as you said-I dont think its a good spot to have a raising range. When splashy players raise here I often think they are just trying to use some kind of logic like-this must look very strong.

The AcJc hand, I would be just calling river for sure unless I think hes rly terrible. Our percieved range cant have many bluffs in it as you said and i just dont think we are getting called by 50% worse hands when we shove.

The last AJo hand- I 100% agree that his instashove makes me wanna think he just stupidly wants to rep a card he cant rly rep that well. But from a GTO perspective I think a fold is better, if we are calling AJ, we most certainly dont have a folding range on this river.

But from a GTO perspective I think a fold is better, if we are calling AJ, we most certainly dont have a folding range on this river.

So why exactly do you think that you have to have always a folding range from a GTO perspective? I never did read in game theory books that you always need to have different strategies so I am curious where u got this from.

Well in an equilibrium strategy we would want to defend at least 53,3% of our range vs his betsizing. AJ is probably the absolute worst hand we ever have in this spot. So we def. dont need to defend this hand to be unexploitable.

im not saying that you need to have a range for everything(raise/call/fold) in every spot for any game you can imagine(u can certainly think of games where nash will say call 100% and never fold-its not hard to come up with emamples).

First hand, 85dd. you make the comment that if you bet $80 instead and   he jams over your turn bet "you have to call it off" with a backdoor flush draw and a gutshot. I don't understand your logic here. If villain jammed over your turn bet of $80 we can assume he's  never doing this with a hand like KQ AK, AA or any single pair hand simply because of the flop action. He bet-called into 5 people and you check raised a flop of 5 people. Your ranges are both super strong here or should be perceived to be super strong. For him to jam over your turn bet with a Kx hand  would be beyond terrible and to assume he would do this with any decent frequency is very ambitious thinking on your end, is it not?

If we give him a jamming range of KK/77/44 only you have 22% equity vs that range and you need somewhere around 37-38% equity. I think your forgetting that 2 of your flush outs are counterfeited  almost all the time and you go from having 12 clean outs to 10 clean outs. Even with 12 clean outs it's not a "have to call" spot. 

Even if we expand his range to include Kx hands (KTo+KTs+) & AA you still only have 27% equity vs that range.

I think it's a  terrible spot to call and if you think it's close I would like to understand your reasoning as to why? I see a lot of mid/high stakes pro's make comments in videos about having to call in spots where they clearly don't have the equity to call but they make it sound standard with BD flush draws and gut shot type hands. If it's "standard" I'd like to understand what I am missing in these spots because I clearly don't see the equity advantage in doing so and I've seen a  few of your videos and other pro's on other sites make comments like the one you made in this hand where you make it sound like it's an easy call or if not easy very close and it's clearly not according to my math. Am I doing the math wrong, am I misapplying something somewhere? I'm genuinely interested in an explanation simply because I see it all the time and I'm thinking "OMG that would be horrible to call it off there" but I see it/hear it  so often from mid-high stakes pros  I can't help thinking I'm wrong in my thought process  somewhere. 

JTo hand. I like how you've shredded a decision that at first view could seems very difficult, but when you start to analyze his possible value combos ends becoming a clear easy call. What are the worst hands that you are valuebetting that river ? Would you call anyways with something like A7 ? 

When i have this type of spots, and I suspect that might be being exploited by villain. I try to take a look to my own range, probably i don´t fold TJ and any flush, but even if i suspect that he could bluffing maybe i end folding the worst part of my value range, don´t wanna be wrong and cost me a lot of money calling to light. At least in a starting dinamic. Im not sure if im doing the right thing. Same could apply to your last AJ spot, maybe i end folding AJ, and calls with a hand like 85s or 2x.

Any thought about this ?

And another.. Would you call anyways if u are a little deep with villain (i still talking about JTo hand) ? I ask this because i generally think that this kind of play that villain made are the nuts if you are close to 120bb+.. Very very effective. And you definetly wanna have some bluffs hands against good regs in this kind of spots where good villains could try to rep a lot of stuffs to make us fold our Ax hands.

Min. 17.55 - K7o:

you think he should bet OTR hands like KhTh-KhQh for instance?

And i also wonder if he has a val.bet OTR w ace-high as how the hand went down, such as w AhXh...?

thx!

min 25. QQ - what bout betting OTT vs the fish an absurd small amount, such as 25$?

hy man nice vid.. can you expain the second line of the hud? i know is cbet fold cbet .. and 4b fold4b just curious about other numbers.. gl