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Solving the Mystery: Juan's HUD

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Solving the Mystery: Juan's HUD

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Juan Pastor

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Solving the Mystery: Juan's HUD

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Juan Pastor

POSTED Mar 03, 2019

Juan Pastor aka xPastorcitox might be the Run It Once coach with the biggest HUD at the tables. In this video, he resolves the mystery of what all those numbers mean but more importantly walks you through the process of how he leverages different stats in common situations to find successful exploits.

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G G 6 years, 1 month ago

Hey Juan, what is “fold to river min bet”? What is min bet refering here? Anything less than pot size? Thx.

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

Hi G G, no. That stat shows how much he folds on the river when the pot is less than 6bbs or something like that. It is to know how much he battles the small pots.

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

G G oh no, sorry. The one I said is the Fold to river MinPot. The one you asked is how much he folds when he face a 35% or less sizing on the river!

Darki 6 years, 1 month ago

sup Juan , why don't you use the 2bet&fold stat ? , i know that hud and i use it too and i was wondering why you don't have that stat , also do you mind sharing the BXB pop up :)

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

I had that stat, but I don’t find it very useful, people 3bet flops with low frequencies, so is a stat that doesn’t tell me too much. I prefer to combine the c/r stat with the WWSF/W$SD to see against which profile I’m against. If its a guy with 43 wwsf I expect a very straight forward and polarized range, and as it goes up I expect more merged ranges.
About the popup, sure, but I’m on vacation now so you will have to wait a week hehe.

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

Hi zekonja , as I said, people with low WWSF is going to play very straightforward and polarized, so I'm usually going to hero fold a lot on the turn hands like TPTK given they are usually going to have bluffs with very low freq and their value smashes us. Tougher players (higher wwsf) are going to include bluffs more often, and they might include top pairs, middle pairs and bottom pairs in their c/r range depeding on boards, so you have to call them much more often with weaker hands. For example, against this type of players you are usually calling even as weak as a 3rd pair against a c/r+turn bet if the bord has enough potential draws. Hope this answer your question!

galgalta 6 years, 1 month ago

hey juan, great vid as usual :)
in 30:00 w/ the AQo you said that you don't like to 3bet this hand as a bluff. but why this hand
is a bluff?
AQo have 54% equity vs his remaining 18% and you block alot of his 4bet range, so he probably 4bet less then 10% in this spot because of the blockers for value and bluffs.
please help me understand this spot better. thanks!

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

Hi galgalta, thank you!
I didn’t want to say that it was a 3b bluff, that was a bad expression. What wanted to say is that I don’t think AQo is a mandatory 100% 3b, and against profiles like this one, I like to mix some Calls. Another situation like this one where I like to call AQo BBvsBU is when I’m deeper, like 130bbs+, I think as deeper you are, less offsuit hands and more suited hands you want to have in your range!
P.d: 3b 100% of AQo is perfectly fine.

ItsPokaBruv 6 years, 1 month ago

I really liked this format, its very interesting to hear how you interpret HUD stats. I havent seen any other coaches cover the subject in a video, nice idea. Is your HUD available for purchase or did you make it yourself?

zache86 6 years, 1 month ago

Hi Juan,
i think it was by far your best video considering it's not a common format for rio's coaches in general and i appreciate it a lot !
Although i have to say that unless you are battling 3 handed reg games a lot your hud may become blurry on some spots imo

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

Thank you!!
What are you trying ti say that the hud become blurry? Not getting it hehe.
It is very important to know when and how to use the stats. Usually I just use the hud as a radiography of my oponent, and figure how he understands poker, so that can helps me to take small deviations to get a bigger EV. I’m not a big fan of take huge exploits unless I have a huge sample on my oponent and he has a very big leak.

zache86 6 years, 1 month ago

I mean that some of the stats won't be meaningful even having 5k hands on villain and may lead to mistakes or overadjusting to our opponent...but you answered very well .

I think that is educa poker's hud, correct me if i'm wrong, but i believe it leans towards the explotative play.

Juan Pastor 6 years, 1 month ago

zache86 it is mostly Educa's hud, yep, but I don't have Mestre's approach haha. Even if you don't have a max exploit strat, the hud might be very useful. I think the best way to go is to have a mix between balance and exploitation.

LoveUknow 6 years, 1 month ago

24:32 don´t think a solver raises this hand but not sure

LoveUknow 6 years ago

AQo no matter the combo is a pure call in the simualation I did.

BTN: Dark meaning 50% freq.
BB: Dark meaning 10% freq.

Ranges might not be what is used but probably will do the job for what we are trying to figure out.
99, 88 100% call seems weird but villain was very nitty with his 3b freqs anyway. It´s a mistake I did when creating the sim but it shouldn´t matter too much I guess.

Given the action on the flop and the 6c as a specific turn club and BB following up with a small bet (I used 33%), the BTN´s optimal strategy looks like this:

As we can see AQ gets called 100%.
The EV difference between raising and calling is not negligible:

I nodelocked BTN strategy a bit on the turn: Raising his strong Q on the turn:

I haven´t looked deeper into how the BB can exactly play vs this but what I spotted is that BB betting freq. on river goes up on the river if you just call turn (thinner value bets and more bluffs).

What´s the most interesting one is that BB now starts to 3b you a ton once you raise:
Left is optimal // right is nodelocked
Hm it´s tough to see details:
Optimal 7.51%r // 43%c // 49.5%f
Nodelocked: 29.0%r // 19.0%c // 51.9%f

Juan Pastor 6 years ago

Nice!
If solver says its close between call and raise, its good enough for me. I think many many people is not going to balance their bet sizings well in this kind of spots, its like naturaly they bet big with the strong part of the range and small with the medium-weak part of the range, also it's very difficult too see people bluff 3betting here. If we take this things in consideration I think de EV of raising AQ here is going to be much higher than in a sim, and I still like raising here against most weak regs!

LoveUknow 6 years ago

sure. Just felt like giving back a bit. Maybe it helps you:D
Obviously I can´t teach you shit in poker:D but maybe you still gain something from this.

Lowstejkfish 6 years ago

Did you have a link for that HUD? It was kinda cool even though it looks kind of ridiculous at first glance.

And nice vid, enjoyed it!

daniel dril 5 years, 11 months ago

Hi, thanks for a great video señor Pastor.

Your HUD actually convinced me to change to PT4 after a lifetime of HM2 use, impressive!

I have a few questions about PT4 terminology. After extensive googling I'm still a bit confused.

Is it how often one 5bets+ after 3beting an EP open?

You also have a stat called "Steal Turn" on your fourth row, is that a combination of river probe and turn float? (that is what google translate told me after reading a spanish forum xD)

Looking forward to your next video!

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