50 Cubed Final Table
Posted by Sam Grafton
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10 min - With the KJ hand where you float the flop and turn. As played would you be bluffing the river if he checked to you? And if so, the flush cards would be best as that would be easiest to rep or maybe slow played set?
28min - re jam 66 over firfox btn open. How many bigs do you need before your not shoving over his open i.e 27bb? and are you then 3b calling it off / flatting?
Played with you live a few times early in MTT and would be good to see a vid of early stages of an mtt as you seem to play tons of hands! be good to see how your building big stacks.
Benny
Regarding KJ hand I dont think a good reg has much of a check-call range so a small bet will get him to fold all his air that beats us like KQ and small pairs so would certainly be profitable.
With 66 I feel certain that rejamming up to 30bbs is profitable, but depending on opponent a flat-call can be the most profitable option and certainly reduces variance. Against an opponent who doesn't have a high barrelling frequency post-flop you can peel and call the flop on most boards. Against a tougher opponent you just have to rejam.
This might be a bit basic, but bear with me, I'm new to MTTs...
At around 35:00, when FireFaux 3bets and we cold shove AKs.
From FireFaux's perspective, getting nearly 2:1, isn't he commited with his hole 3betting range here, even the light section? How do ICM considerations kick in here?
21:57 3bet/calling 77+/AJ+/ATs?
24:42 Say the iso/calling ranges for the 3 guys behind you are 88+/AQ+/AJs, 77+/AJ+/ATs and 44+/AT+/A8s+ for FireFaux then shoving shows and expectation of +1343 chips. I fear that risking 73k to win 1343 is just too marginal in this spot. I understand you are the smaller stack by far and that ICM factors are minimal but the risk/reward is just not good enough in my view. If you raise I doubt you'll get play back at much since they probably expect you to r/c the great majority of the time with 18bbs. By min raising you are risking 6k to win 7.6k so even if the open works half the time (which seems like a conservative estimate), the EV of r/f and shoving are going to be pretty close.
25:03 If FireFaux opens 80% of hands and calls a jam from you with 44+/A7o+/A5s+/KJo+ then shoving is going to show an expectation of +7400 chips...that's 5x better than the QJo jam!
9:28 Thoughts on making it 19k/folding to a shove? Risking 15k to win 13.6k are pretty good odds considering the range he's opening with. Yes he might 4b jam T8s or something but overall I think 3bet/folding and ace blocker will show and immediate profit in this spot. Jamming 25bbs has to be +EV but I feel it's a bit of an overkill and like you said you have terrible equity vs his r/c range.
39:58 brillant bluff raise with the Q9!
44:52 loved your reasoning for under bluffing river with the J8cc.
Why are you min raising your premium hands (QQ), yet min plusing everything else? Surely good reg's will pick up on this?
Definitely agree w/ you about missing a few re-steal spots vs Firefaux's relentless button opens.
Look forward to the next Video.
Only time I think a jam of like 18bb is optimal is when the other players have wide get it in ranges vs an 18bb open
Also, the chart says a hand like A2s in the same spot would be a jam here too but again I think it's even more optimal to r/f than open ship 18bb. The Ace blocker takes even more combos out of the wider shipping ranges so more chance of them folding.
Would you just often ship the hands in the chart that you can't raise / call with?
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