$500 Zoom: Back on Stars w/ Plenty of Regs
Posted by Gary Chappell
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5:20 Table #2 with AJ on the AKJhh-4x-2x run out. I don't think I can fold here unless I had a heart. I think villain can value bet worse as well right? KJ might be thin, but may also have hands like A4h A2h that decides to jam instead of XC. I agree with your logic of being a good board for IP, so BB will have less bluffs here, but before I even consider bluffs I would ask myself if he can value bet a worse hand? The bluffs I do see coming from Th9x, Qh9x, and KxTh at some frequency. Almost feels disrespectful to fold this hand to Jarretman.
46:15 Table #1 with QT on the QT668 board. I think if we are considering folding this river, then we have to consider 3betting the flop right? There are so many straight draws that A, K, J, 9, 8, 7, 6, are all some what bad cards that two wants some protection to least narrow the range down to open ended and get rid of some of the gut shots right?
AJ - happy with my fold. A4-A2 don't play like this flop and turn, and its too thin on the river imo. I don't want to have a J as there may be some bluffs drawn from JT/JQ. Possibly could call vs Jarretman, but vs population I think its a fine fold.
QT - Tbh I don't think I was ever going to fold, I just think I was going through all possibilities out loud. 3betting the flop is definitely fine, yes.
Gary Chappell I used some basic ranges for BB vs BTN they might be a little off compared to GTO ranges but think they are close. AJ is folding a small frequency of the time in the solve I ran so I was little surprised there.
Flop vs XR
Turn vs 100% PSB
River vs all in 102% pot
Tree I used. If it doesn't look right please let me know.
Villains shoving range - looks like bluffs are coming from the QhXh and ThX hands.
BTN's EV on the river facing jam.
yeah looks fine. i know i was deviating from solver by folding, but as i said i just think its underbluffed so i'd happily just call AK+.
46:15 Table 1 - I don't think your QsTh block any value hands (as the 6s and 6h are already on the board, and villain unlikely to defend Q6o T6o). Probably still a call, but more because it unblocks bluffs. Maybe a hand like AcQd would be a better call?
Obviously I block some value - I block QT & TT. So it's far better than AQ.
You are right that QT is still a better call than AQ, but BB doesn't have TT in his range (pure 3-bet pre) and unlikely to shove 1.5x pot with QT on the river (too thin, block value targets).
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