Solver Explorations: Check-Raising Low, Paired Boards
Posted by Francesco Lacriola
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Hey Francesco,
I like your theory dives. Maybe you could do a drill video next where you go through entire hands to see how things change on different turn and river cards after we xr flop. This would help identify good xr spots as well as how to proceed after.
Thanks!
Some combination of theory + drill videos is definitely coming, although the topic is going to be different.
Francesco,
I enjoy the theory heavy videos like this one. When you are comparing frequency solver bets verses c-bet range on flop, I feel that a lot of opponents who make this mistake will not continue the way the solver does against more aggressive check raises (over fold?). This would make the calling players range a little stronger moving forward correct? This in turn would have us bluff more aggressive on flop and a little less on turn/rivers?
If they cbet too much is very likely they're going to end up overfolding the flop, maybe even folding more theoretical floats than equilibrium, or overcalling the Ace high region.
If we assume an overfold, the continuing range is stronger, but more condensed on overpair, it's not a nutted range by all means, so how we're going to proceed is based on how sticky we think they're going to be with their mid value region. We know for sure that flop x/r is going to print EV compared to equilibrium, but how to proceed after that depends on their tendencies: are they calling too many OPs for stacks? Are they floating and stabbing too much/too thinly for multiple streets? Are they playing very straightforwardly?
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