Ranging Opponents: What the Hell Do They Have?

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Ranging Opponents: What the Hell Do They Have?

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Francesco Lacriola

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Ranging Opponents: What the Hell Do They Have?

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Francesco Lacriola

POSTED Apr 02, 2022

Francesco Lacriola explores how to range an opponent based on a variety of metrics and then discusses how to act once we've established our range for them.

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SoundSpeed 2 years, 9 months ago

Great review video! I like the fact you include a few sims but you don't sim every hand so we get through more hands.

7:02 it shows we xr some ajhh and ajdd. Why those 2 combos when most of the other combos we xr have flush draws or backdoor flush draws?

23:15 I can see this as a continue in a hu game. Do you continue here on the flop in 6 max? Two of our outs are potentially dead due to the flush draw. It seems a marginal continue.

32:00 you said our flush chks and that betting this flush still gets called by hands that will outdraw us anyway. Don't we want to bet and get called by sets and A high flush draws? We gain value from those hands which may often chk back the turn. We can't xr the turn as it's too thin but don't we want to include some flushes in a betting rng? Or is this a pure rng chk on the flush turn?

Thanks!

Francesco Lacriola 2 years, 9 months ago

1) Also ATs does the same, because these hands are sort of indifferent to continue against that size and they have a mix of raise/call/fold. AJ tends to almost never fold, if you check ATs and A9s you will see a more relevant picture of this pattern. It's not a mistake to miss these raises by any means: imagine if villain bets more often than equilibrium, they end up with more weaker Ax hands such as A7 A6 A8 which are frequency plays preflop, that we can dominate when we turn or river a top pair.

2) You can't fold an 8 out straight draw to the nuts on the flop even in 6-max, unless the raise size is really massive. It's not a great scenario, but you're still priced in to call, have some implied against sets if you hit.

3) We have to think about our range and their range: on the flop by leading we already fold some non club hands in villain's range, therefore their range becomes stronger. Flushes and very dynamic boards tend to favor position and equity realization and once a flush gets there on the turn the board pair advantage becomes almost meaningless. Our global betting frequency is very low, and considering our hand blocks also a set (66) and we unblock bluffs and block nuts, we can check very often to protect our checking range, as villain is incentivized to push some equity and try to bluff us off some weaker pair. I wouldn't pure check this combo, but I think we mostly want to check, we're betting some flushes, mainly the ones that unblock pairs and double club broadways. Keep in mind that our range doesn't want to bet a lot, I think we want to check more than 66% of our range there, and when we check a lot flushes of course will bet a bit more often than global, but still it doesn't become it's an high frequency bet.

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