Advanced Hand Review: Maximizing the EV of Our Range

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Advanced Hand Review: Maximizing the EV of Our Range

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Francesco Lacriola

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Advanced Hand Review: Maximizing the EV of Our Range

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Francesco Lacriola

POSTED Aug 12, 2023

Francesco Lacriola discusses a selection of hands that saw him take exotic actions to maximize his EV based on assumptions he makes about how his opponents might react.

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BlankyLion 1 year, 6 months ago
  1. 7:35
    I agree with what you said about the hand category the opponent will fold vs shove OTR, and I think it's a very good play to bluff 65o here. If we decide to check on river, I think if the opponent XB and we Showdown, there will be few hands that we win, do you agree? Because I think there's almost 0 holding weaker than 65o after the opponent does 3B OTF and calls barrel OTT.
    Sometimes there's a hand like 8c7c, but that combo doesn't hold it as pure because villain should 3b on pre at least in theory.

  2. 34s love it

  3. 13:26
    so PIO never checks here but as you said if opponent is aggro , we can deviate to induce something . It's kinda eye-opening to me. nice1
    It looks fine to me lead small or big here vs average agrression regs
    Becuase they will XB more often than aggros

  4. 20:01
    So you mean we don't want to have heart because then we block 2combo of A5s
    which is BB's river folding range right? And it's good that we have 5d so we block the opponent's folding range less. But Is A5s pure fold on BB's perspective?
    of course lots of draws got there OTR like 89 , JT so AT AJ is better candidate to bluff catch than A5s in his perspective, But I think AT and AJ would have done more flat on pre against rfi of CO, so the amount of combination is not that much, and A5s also block some of 56s, so I don't think it's a very bad bluff catch candidate from the opponent's side, how do you think?
Francesco Lacriola 1 year, 6 months ago

1) I don't think you can ever get to showdown and win with that holding. The question you need to ask yourself is: does shoving and turning my hand into a bluff win more or less than check-folding (0)?

3) I like jamming vs regs there, vs fish all options can work according to their tendencies. It would have been more interesting to see what he would have done if he didn't hit a strong hand.

4) A5s is pure folding on the river, so it's better not to block it fully from our perspective. 65s is not that relevant, as we don't fully defend it pre and we can check reasonably often on the turn as well; the core of our value range is 99 77 JTs, 55 becomes one of our main bluffs on that runout, so the 5 is not the best card to bluffcatch as it blocks way more bluffs than valuebets.

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