Profiling Fish and Making Adjustments
Posted by Francesco Lacriola
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Great video! I think a lot of this definitely applies to live poker where most opponents are nowhere near gto.
27:15 I think this spot is interesting in that we can jam as you did but I have found that small bets work well too. So many times I have seen opponents make stabs on the turn with mediocre made hands then when a scary card hits the river they end up folding to a big bet but will call much smaller bets.
31:50 is turn block a size we can use here?
Thanks!
9x is not really a scary river and it's a card which allows you also to go for very thin valuebets with overbets, as you have so few strong hands in your perceived range and recs are very likely to put you on trips (which you almost never have) or a bluff. Small thin values against recs are ok with second pair / pp between top and second pair.
With KK we also have hands that want to play for stacks and we don't want to bet the turn very aggressively, I think half pot is the size that maximizes the EV of our range and puts the weakest combos in our opponent's range to the test; the defense against small bet is pretty easy, as they don't really have low equity floats on the flop and basically they can continue with their whole range.
How do you determine your iso size vs rec limps? 3.25x is on the smaller side of what I see many regs doing. Do you always go with this size IP? If not, what are the most important factors to consider when changing our size? Thanks for the video!
In general I iso 2.25x (my usual opening size) + 1BB per limper in position, but it's perfectly fine to go for 4x iso. The smaller Iso allows me to play with a wider range against a rec, although it allows regs to 3bet me more aggressively as my range is weaker than a 4x iso range. I think bigger iso sizes work better in games with ante or in live poker and can work against super loose passive recs.
To determine what iso size is best in the game you play you need to consider the tendencies of the recreational players pool (how wide they are, how they play against isos, are they going to limp/3bet, etc) and of the regulars (coldcalling and 3betting tendencies). In the end it doesn't change much in terms of bb/100, so you're probably better off just playing the strategy that feels more comfortable to you.
Thank you for the video!
23:45 do you think the blocking OTT will induce some random bluff from the recs? Because from my experience some fishes having this “when he bets small - he’s weak” type of mindset, and I’ve seen them shoving total 0 equity hand vs my block on nuts changing turn. Of course we still have Ax, sets to call with. But we don’t need any type of balance facing fish right? Curious to see how you think about it!
It depends on the rec, some call almost ATC against small bets, other might sense weakness and start to attack small sizes.
We don't want to be balanced, we want to play our hand against their range and their tendencies. If I know a rec likes to raise very very thin against small bets (f. ex any decent top pair, even if there's a flush or the board is super connected), then I like to block/3bet nutted hand that unblock their thin raises and I avoid blockbetting often with medium strength hands.
33:05 b50 OTT leaves us around 0.75SPR OTR, if the turn bet get called and river is a total blank, will you block, xcall, or jam yourself? I think the pool (I played midstake) might jam most of their sets OTT since they do not want a diamond to roll out. So if we get called OTT we have the best hand most of the time. But river play feel tricky to me since when we check he checks back 100% Tx and even some AXdd. And 98s is likely to bluff but not sure if he will have full freq of those hands. Would love to hear your thoughts on this one! Cheers
This one is really really opponent dependent. I don't think most good regs would fastplay sets, the main concern is to understand what % of the range those sets consists of and how often they can have top/second pair type hands/draws.
Unblocking the main draw (FD), our combo becomes a potential x/call, shove or even check/Fold according to how we think villain's range is constructed and to their tendencies to hero-call/ bluff missed draws against a check.
The last AK hand it's very frequent spot to face 1/2 donk OTR.
eye opening explanation. thanks.
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