SCOOP Main Event Low (Part 1)

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SCOOP Main Event Low (Part 1)

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Linc

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SCOOP Main Event Low (Part 1)

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Linc

POSTED Aug 17, 2018

In his debut video for Run It Once, Mathias Maasberg aka Cashcid Linc goes over hands from his 2018 Scoop "Low" Main Event win. He discusses adjustments that should be made in big field tournaments and uses Holdem Resources Calculator to check on big hands from the final table.

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Linc 6 years, 7 months ago

The review of this tournament starts at the final two tables with 18 players left. I wasnt clear enough about this in the intro so figured ill post here

Darrenrose32 6 years, 6 months ago

Good work. I really enjoyed the format. I think there was some strong analysis. I’d like to hear more about the hands that you think are raise folds vs push; and some other related things such as 3bet or calls.

Daroxxx 6 years, 6 months ago

It`s kinda ironic to watch somebody first pulling up a PIO preflop solution followed by a 3B BUvUTG+2 15BB eff with T2o in the first 10min of a video. #Doyle

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

The key to success in a low buy in big field event is not in balanced play, there are absolutely spots where you can make an any two cards play. those spots exist in higher buy ins too just in more rare situations

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

That particular hand btw wasn't a great spot though I'm not saying that was a great play, it was very speculative based on a small sample. However the 3bet was cheap and the play didn't affect me in any way, it's good to test out opponents from time to time and set a tone of aggression. It has positive side effects such that players fold more to you, you get to steal more etc.

Daroxxx 6 years, 6 months ago

Even if you had a substantial sample that supported the fact that our opponent raises 'too wide' usually it isnt a good strategy choice to take an approach were we literally take one of the single worst hands to 'go after him'. Blockereffects play a huge role in shortstack NL so having a '2' is just bad. Even a hand like A2-A9o 'isnt supposed to VPIP' in this spot so why not start to expand with these sort of hands?
Trying to 'max exploit' a strategy of your villain without any evidence that there is anything to exploit to begin with (samplesize issue) is imo very dangerous and is more likely to backfire than anything else. So my advice would be to wait for clear evidence before going for a max exploit and while you are just assuming sth going for the softer exploit and expand your VPIP rather linear + in these spots having big cards tend to help your FE/playability post.

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

a spot like bb defense Deep in the game is going to be very frequent and here I find the "Theory" choice meaning going according to pio, much Closer to actually correct and more often than us going wider than pio suggests to exploit, we rather want to go even tighter being out of Position and not being able to Play as nicely as pio postlfop. Thats why here i find the ranges from pio very helpful. There is simply a higher average Degree of uncertainty, ranges postflop are much wider, we dont know how often our Opponent cbets and Barrels and how he constructs his range exactly, we will be out of position etc. This will have the biggest Impact on certain lower effective stacksizes.
A spot where I decide to become aggressive with a completely random Hand like in this case, happens very infrequenty. Again stacksize implications are very important as well as Risk reward Ratio. When the Risk is so low that a certain Play literally doesnt affect us at all if it goes wrong (like here there would have been very few boards on which id have gone all in at any Point and even if we did, the Damage would not have been very dramatical). When the Risk is extremely low and the frequency of which we take the spot is very low as well, the Plays can become more and more speculative .
As far as your Analysis About what Hands to 3bet with on shortstacks goes, of Course you are absolutely Right there, im Always stretching that Point that blocker type Hands become more and more important on shortstacks, whether for opens or 3bets. We def want to expand our bluffing range in the blocker area first. But im sorry this just does not apply to any possible given Scenario in nlh tournaments...and some spots are just such potential marginal mistakes, that it doesnt really matter to take one misstep or not, and im Always rather the one to make a mistake and look stupid, find out more About how my opponents react in certain spots and find out more About myself, than to Always stay in line.
Again, the Hand itself is still absolutely debatable, def true low sample, def true good Chance we are making a mistake there. But tbh it's just not that important in this unique Situation and Comes with some side future ev benefits.
Ive been playing tournaments for a very Long time and thats just the way i Approach them, I will never stick to any strategy i go from Hand to Hand. I guess I am the wrong Person to watch Videos from for you but good News is there are many others. You are not the only one, there are many regs who have issues with how im playing and that is fine with me. Im not telling anyone how to Play and i dont let anyone tell me how to Play, to me all that matters is how i feel i played at the end of the day and the Long term success.

In the future though I will Focus more on presentation type Videos and mostly on mindset. My demo Video for runitonce was actually such a Video and i put alot of Energy into it, for some reason i thought this would be posted as well. Then i did this one Right away after and have to say here i was lacking a bit of Energy, i could have explained some of my General Outlook on the game a bit more first to introduce myself so think i didnt do as great a Job here for my first Video. The next Video ill first do something else before i finish this hh and in the future it will be less hh review types. My Point of view is that every Player has to become good by himself and not through others anyways, i rather want to inpsire that than telling Players how to Play strategies.

Ben J 6 years, 6 months ago

on the Ks8h hand (bb vs btn limp, around 19min) you mention villain is more likely to call your bet on the turn with T*h, which obviously is true if its Txhh, but if it's not wouldn't villain rather hero have that heart than himself? can you elaborate why he would call more with T*h instead of a Tx that doesn't block hero's (potential) bluffs as much? thank you. and great video! looking forward to more

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

thanks man, yes I meant Txhh indeed and not pure Th you are right about that, single heart tx he does not want to have in his calling range, in fact he shouldnt call any ten anymore on the turn other than maybe QT, i dont think he should even call T8 or maybe here T8 without a heart as you say is better and then fold T8 with a heart. But I have to say im not certain even, its a multi way pot that also includes icm so its not a spot we can just put into a solver. But we have a very short stack there in sb, if we put this into the solver pretending its heads up it can give some good guideline. I just put it in will let it run and post the results here. That is with icm. Sizings for flop and turn i just used one sizing and thats the sizings i used here to simplify, on such a drawy board with us having more nuts than opponent in our range (i didnt assume opponent limps a hand like 87o much here or Q9o, KQo i gave him just a tiny bit etc) the solver i can imagine also or even predominantly wants to have a big sizing on flop. But to get the results for as played i keep it like that

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

also when i nodelocked for opponent folding small pairs and Ax offsuit up to A7o vs the donklead on the flop, we are then donkleading 95% of the time on flop

Linc 6 years, 6 months ago

here is how i set up betting options. Again, not perfect id also like to see the tree with many sizing options but for this case i kept it simple to see results for as played. Also to clarify again, this of course is assuming we are heads up, the ranges will be further off because of that compared to real balanced play in this spot given sizings (dont like to say GTO since its not GTO if we dont include every sizing possible every street and every raise sizing possible every street and we would have need to start wtih that preflop already etc...).

thats the limping range i gave opponent. I see i left AJ 100% in there which i dont think is true but this should not make a huge difference

our checkback range. I didnt give myself bluffs in this spot, reason being i just dont think its necessary here

our donkleading range given sizings and situation (17 players left) on flop

opponents calling range on flop

our turn ranges

so here now the calling range of our opponent vs our turn bet. I was wrong T8 is always a continue here, even T7s and partially weaker tx, thats not something id have figured here. Its a function of the very wide ranges, button also called many pocketpairs on flop which in reality most players will not call, as well as the Ace high they end up folding, so in reality this spot on turn looks different, but given starting ranges we do indeed continue with lots of Tx here on turn in button's shoes. I would not recommend doing this in game, lots of players will be way too value heavy. Especially vs weaker players we should be way overfolding here.

One extra look at the river, our hand is a jam like 20% of the time and we prefer jamming over betting small, however its a check more than 50% of the time. Again realistically I think this hand is just very good to always bluff here though. Its hard to balance frequencies in this spot, i rather always bluff it than never bluff it.

betgo 6 years, 4 months ago

You really got pwned by the donk in the T2o hand. He obviously plays his playable hands regardless of position or whatever. He isn't polarized. He just doesn't know he is supposed to push most hands he plays with that stack size. Of course player like that will call the tiny 3-bet and tiny c-bet. You just wind up playing a junk hand against a top 20% hand and making weak bluffs. You should play a $10 MTT occasionally to get an idea of donk thinking.Doyle discussed it in his book from 1970, don't make a fancy play against a fish.

Linc 6 years, 3 months ago

def possible, I was thinking though with the ICM pressure/big money up top even the players as you describe them will become money scared and make more folds. Also I do think my 3bet really was a bit TOO small here indeed. As I said before though I dont have a strong opinion on my play here anyways, totally possible I just spewed a bit of ev there, but with my stack and chip position it isnt that big a deal.
I am aware of low buy in mtt play though, actually most of my career volume still comes from those games, its only last few years where i didnt play them as much anymore.

thelooper 5 years, 9 months ago

35 min if vilain jams on the turn , you call? you can call? even considering if he have very few bluffs in this spot

Linc 5 years, 9 months ago

that would indeed be an annoying spot, I think we should actually even fold then. However im still fine with betting because its a spot in which our opponent super seldomly will jam esp with us having the ace of diamonds. Because of the icm situation opponent is in, i think its more important that we keep betting there to maximize foldequity, as opposed to being worried about some low frequency scenarios that will be bad for us.

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