Calling 4-Bets OOP

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Calling 4-Bets OOP

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Parker Muir

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Calling 4-Bets OOP

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Parker Muir

POSTED May 23, 2014

Responding to a member request, Parker delves in to the math and theory behind calling 4-bets out of position.

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BritneySpears 10 years, 10 months ago

very nice vid, interesting topic for me because I was always wondering why calling 4bets OOP and how to play those situations.

One question, If we start calling 4bets with AJs, and say hands like KQs JTs if we think the R minimum is okay, then i guess we should start calling with some AA/KK combos sometimes as well to protect our range right? and with which frequency? (our jamming range should not be too weakened!)  and then what about hands like 99/TT , i think those hands are really tough to play in 4bet pot OOP.

I would love to see some hands example where you call 4bets OOP and see how it develops in practise! Maybe for a next vid, or post some hands here would be very nice!


Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Thanks, glad you enjoyed.

If you want to protect the flatting range I would just start with just 20% of your AA combos and see how that works. 

Sounds good, I will try to make some sort of follow up video with HHs related to these concepts.

steven 10 years, 10 months ago

Dear Parker,

Thanks for an interesting video. I have a question concerning R and perhaps the answer is simply to watch the Lefort videos - something I plan on doing at some point anyway.

You asserted that our R goes up as stacks get deeper but in general I would expect the opposite to hold for OOP, unless we are accounting for changes to opponent's range, the potential of certain hand types, or skill.

What am I missing?

Steven

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Dear Parker,

Thanks :)

You asserted that our R goes up as stacks get deeper but in general I would expect the opposite to hold for OOP, unless we are accounting for changes to opponent's range, the potential of certain hand types, or skill. What am I missing?

My assertion that our R will increase as stacks get deeper, is due to having more maneuverability, as the postflop SPR increases. There are certain situations where we will have to fold at a shallower depth (and thus have an R of 0), but at a greater SPR we could have possibly continued to realize our equity. 

An extreme example of this might be if we had KQs on a flop of Jd9h4c. Say we are shallow to start the hand, and only arrive at the flop with an SPR of ~1, we would have to check fold to villains bet, which often will just be a shove of the remaining effective stack for a PSB. However if we were extremely deep to start the hand and see the same flop with a much greater SPR, we would have the option to continue in the form of a call or raise. Thus, because of our ability to win the pot later via fold equity, we can achieve an R which is much greater than 0 as we will get to see turns and rivers allowing us to realize much more of our raw equity in the hand.

There are other unrelated scenarios as well where villain becomes a bit more handcuffed and can't make certain turn bets due to the threat of a check raise and thus has to let us see a river (allowing full realization of our equity).

Segura Salas 10 years, 10 months ago

Having more maneuverability doesn't seems to be a good reason for the R to go up because villian is deep too so he will also have more maneuverability and more R, as you can imagine, both R cant go up at the same time. Intuitively it looks like having more maneuverability favours ip player because he also have initiative.

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Hernan,

I'm not saying that the OOP player will have a higher R than the IP player when deep (or ever for that matter). What I am saying is that OOP's R @ 100bb < OOP's R @ 500bb.

Do you disagree with that statement?

tehduper 10 years, 10 months ago

"What I am saying is that OOP's R @ 100bb < OOP's R @ 500bb."


That implies that IP's R @ 100bb > IP's R @ 500bb, which is almost certainly false.

Segura Salas 10 years, 10 months ago

Parker,

my comment was trying to make a point about that R is going to be higher for ip playing deep than playing with 100bb, sorry if i cant explain myself well. What im trying to say is this: lets suppose that X is ip equity realization and Y is oop's, first of all X+Y=200. You are saying  that "Y@ 100bb < OOP's Y@ 500bb" because oop has more maneuverability in the 500bb scenario, but this statement is also truth for ip so X has to increase too (ip is deep and have more maneuverability too) and that can't happen because then X+Y>200. IP's R @ 100bb < IP's R @ 500bb because he has initiative and position so more playability even playing deep, for example he can make more overbets and put oop in more tough spots than being with 100bb.


Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Hernan - you mention initiative and position as the reasons that IPs R will go up but he also has those when he is shallow, so I'm a bit confused. You also mention overbets which could help his R, but sometimes a smaller bet serves to get us a greater R. This is the case if we are very shallow and we find ourselves on the flop for whatever reason with something like <.5 SPR. In this case the small amount of stack left usually means that IP will jam the flop a lot and thus keep his R very close to 100 by ensuring he sees all 5 cards. Whereas, if he were deeper he would have the threat of getting check raised and having to fold some of the time and thus a slightly reduced R.

Segura Salas 10 years, 10 months ago

Parker,

In games where stacks are really shallow oop's R should be higher than deep because in general the players will go all in on earlier streets and there is no room for overbets, multiple barrels or whatever. You are right in that if oop c/r ip will  fold sometimes, but that argument also applies to overbets (if ip has room to overbet oop wil have to fold more and thus R goes down, or ip will barrel more and oop will have to fold a part of his range on turn and river and thus his R will go down). In a really shallow game where spr is really low on the flop oop's R should be higher than deep because all the hands that calls a bet on flop sees the river. If you dont believe me you can watch the last Oxota's video where he says in the first 3 minutes that in CAP games in big blind you should defend about 100% vs a bn steal because "playability doesn't matter as much when the pot is 4.5bb and you have 18bb to go", what that means is that oop's R is high because they are playing shallow. Also in your last comment you say "This is the case if we are very shallow and we find ourselves on the flop for whatever reason with something like <.5 SPR. In this case the small amount of stack left usually means that IP will jam the flop a lot and thus keep his R very close to 100 by ensuring he sees all 5 cards." (basically same argument as mine, didn't read well your last comment), with this you are contradicting yourself and saying that im right, because ip's R with 100bb is higher than 100 so you are saying that ip's R goes up as stacks gets deeper.


ThinkingPokerAndrew 10 years, 10 months ago

I think Herni et al are clearly correct here, though it may be a bit hand dependent. It's possible that some hands do actually improve their R OOP as stacks get deeper (I'd think big suited cards would be the most likely candidates) while others do dramatically worse (hands like AJo that rarely make better than one pair, which pair is easily dominated). On balance, though, the positive of influence of position on R must be larger as stacks get deeper, unless there's a huge skill disparity between the players, as I'd think that the influence of skill on R would also be greater with deeper stacks.

gbtl 10 years, 9 months ago
Hmm I don't see how R will go down with lower SPR.
Most extreme example: The 4-bet is an all-in, R rises all the way to 1.


doncamatic 10 years, 10 months ago

Interesting video. I would like to see some hand examples of you applying these concepts in game.

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Sounds good - this video was already a bit long to add on any HHs, but I will see if I can gather some interesting ones that include these concepts for a follow up vid at some point. Or possibly use some user submitted hand histories.


plg 10 years, 10 months ago

Great video

I would be interested in looking at the spreadsheet you mention if you are willing to share

As Britney and Donc mentioned it would be cool to have a follow up of the concepts in action with some selected hands, particularly hands like 99/TT


nma 10 years, 10 months ago

Dear Parker,

Shouldn't R always be over 60% since we always see 3 out of 5 cards on the flop?  

tehduper 10 years, 10 months ago

No, you don't realize any equity until showdown.  Even when you see all 5 cards, if the opponent successfully bluffs you on the river, you have realized 0% of your equity for that hand.

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

tehduper is right, we can't technically realize our equity until we see all 5 cards and a showdown.

For example a hand like 23s against of a range of overpairs will derive most of it's equity puerly from making a flush. There is only a .84% chance of flopping a flush, but still a 6.25% chance of making one once all 5 cards are shown. You can see how that does not correlate to the idea of a certain equity share per community card shown. 


Bhtopspin 10 years, 10 months ago

Dear Parker, 

I believe in order to convert 4b % into 4b range, you need to take your PFR from certain position and multiple by your 4b % from that position. So, for example, if your PFR from button is 30% and your 4b % is 12, then your 4b range is 30*0.12 = 3.6

Anyone, please correct me if I am wrong on this. 


atton 10 years, 10 months ago

Around 36:00: you show a chart with 3 different 4betting strategy.
The first I think is too valueheavy. And AQo>99?

A8o
is better than A5o in this situation? A8o doesnt have better
equity since villain won't 3b/flat 4b 55-77. A8o advantages: block 88(this is huge),
if villain 3b/flat 4b A5s,A4s etc we have better eq (it is more likely
to 5bet push or fold those). A5o advantages: if called, it has little
bit better equity, little bit better nut potential(small spr so thats not a big factor), and we can flop more
gs which is not that bad, furthermore  blocks A5s,55(sounds kind of a
silly idea, it depends on the villain whether he 5bet those or not). So
which one is best? A5o or A8o really?

The second one is way too
bluffheavy therefore a very bad and easy to exploit 'default' strategy,
like 40value:60bluff, that means when opponent 5b pushes he needs around
25-28% equity to be break even with common sizes.

What do you think?


Good video, great content to think about! Can you post the spreadheet please?


Thanks,

Atton

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Thanks  for the feedback atton and I posted the spreadsheet above for you.

The idea behind that slide was not to present good or even viable 4betting strategies for ourselves, as that is outside the scope of this video. I was just showing some different types of possible 4betting strategies that we may run into - often from weaker regs.

Anyways to respond to your queries:

The first range is pretty standard and solid ~ 60/40 ratio of value to bluffs.

The second range has way too many bluffs as you have identified. That is the problem with creating a range that is too polarized at a 7.5% freq.

The third range is also not ideal at all as we waste many hands that we could put in our range that calls the 3b.

As far as A8o vs A5o, it's close as they are very similar hands, but I do prefer A8o due to the 8 blocker and slightly better kicker.

atton 10 years, 10 months ago

Do you think it is correct to have a 60/40 ratio? Why? I'm rebuilding my preflop strategy, and I try to figure out which strategy is the "best". I now have 52/48 from BU. Is it too bluffheavy?

Sorry, I am slightly offtopic here

Thanks for your response and the spreadsheet!

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

Yes I think 60/40 is a good place to start, but the one that you have now can work as well. It's a complex thing that depends on a lot of assumptions but for a default range, somewhere from 55-65% value will be good.

Victor V 10 years, 10 months ago

Hey Parker. Nice vid, but I am little bit confused. 

@25:00 you say you are using 4bet % and not 4bet range. Shouldnt the charts represent villain's 4bet range?

Parker Muir 10 years, 10 months ago

The chart represents both. 4bet range is confusing because it means the actual hands that make up a range, but there is also a numerical statistic in PT and HEM that is called "4b range." When I said I wasn't using 4b range, I was only referring to not using that specific statistic.

ThinkingPokerAndrew 10 years, 10 months ago

Interesting stuff, thanks.

I wonder how applicable minimum defense frequency really is here. That formula is derived from the point at which Villain would be indifferent to bluffing with 0% equity. Considering that even Villain's worst hands will have significant equity against Hero's flatting range, I'd think the minimum defense frequency formula used here would only work if Hero were shoving that entire range such that Villain didn't get to realize any equity with his bluffs. If Villain knows that you'll defend exactly 44% against his 16BB 4-bet, but that some of those defenses will be calls, I don't think he'd be indifferent to 4-betting 72o. 

Not that you'd have time to get into it in this video, but with deeper stacks Hero could end up 5-betting more often considering that he can have a 5bet-fold range and thus risk less than 100BB with his 5-bets. Also, while it's probably empirically true that many players get more polarized with their 4-betting range as stacks get deeper, your findings suggest this may be incorrect. If Hero starts calling more often with deeper stacks, then Villain has incentive to 5-bet more linearly.

Parker Muir 10 years, 9 months ago

I wonder how applicable minimum defense frequency really is here. That formula is derived from the point at which Villain would be indifferent to bluffing with 0% equity. Considering that even Villain's worst hands will have significant equity against Hero's flatting range, I'd think the minimum defense frequency formula used here would only work if Hero were shoving that entire range such that Villain didn't get to realize any equity with his bluffs. If Villain knows that you'll defend exactly 44% against his 16BB 4-bet, but that some of those defenses will be calls, I don't think he'd be indifferent to 4-betting 72o. 

MDF is very applicable here. My goal isn't to make him indifferent to 4-betting 72o,  rather I want to make my own ranges such that they are not easily exploitable. If I fall below my MDF to his 4bets, then he can 4bet 72o and auto profit, regardless of what happens postflop (he can just check it down/fold or only bet the nuts).

Not that you'd have time to get into it in this video, but with deeper stacks Hero could end up 5-betting more often considering that he can have a 5bet-fold range and thus risk less than 100BB with his 5-bets. Also, while it's probably empirically true that many players get more polarized with their 4-betting range as stacks get deeper, your findings suggest this may be incorrect. If Hero starts calling more often with deeper stacks, then Villain has incentive to 5-bet more linearly.

5 bets certainly do come into play as we get deep enough, which will change things a decent amount.

And yes, that is a very astute point (and good adjustment) that villain can/should become more linear as we get deeper and he expects to see more flats from us. 


Shakaflaka 10 years ago

I also think that stack depth favours the player IP, especially if he has a polarized range and we have a capped range. For example, I think it is much easier to defend a miniraise BBvsBU when we are 40bb deep than if we are 500bb deep.

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