WSOP Prep: Deep Hand Analysis
Posted by Brian Hastings
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Hi Brian,
strong vid again. In the first hand I would agree with you that pop usually does not find these x/r bluffs w KJo, AJo etc, but I would imagine they x/r quite a bit more than PIO does in this sim w 89, 56, J9... Humans tend to x/r these obv high EQ semibluffs and I would think that an actual villain might x/r more than PIO on this board, esp since A5-A6s & A8-A9s are highly prevalent in the SB range and are quite intuitive x/r as well.
Also I would think that the x/r range has a bit more of the very strong combos, especially on such a dynamic board.
Good luck for the WSOP!
Thanks! I think you make good points here. I think I agree that the population is probably checkraising more than Pio with the straight draws and strong hands (notably Pio pure calls 77). I think I disagree about the A9-A5s stuff, but I could easily be wrong there. Appreciate the feedback!
Nice deep analysis and questions!
Only one think to note (i believe). In the second hand you run pio for ICM and ChipEV with the same preflop ranges, but i think that it`s not the same. I think that in this case the preflop ranges dont change drastically because you dont have a really short stack in the table, but if you have it will change a lot.
Gl for the wsop
Thanks! Good point re: preflop ranges. I actually think the ICM effect is pretty strong here with us in the same range as 3 others and BTN way ahead. For chipEV button should be opening considerably less and we get to be looser all around, both defending more and jamming more. I appreciate you pointing this out.
amazing video , in the first hand . What hands are you beating with QT when the turn is a 4?
The obvious hands we'd hope to be against would be OESDs (98, 86, 65). Against a human opponent I think our decision is quite close with QT. Pio doesn't use the shove for SB basically at all, and it's unclear in practice what SB's range when shoving will look like. I do think it's unlikely that 77 or 44 will shove given that they have our range nearly drawing dead. Actual hand (AT) is the most likely value hand IMO. Tough spot for us with QT, and notably one that Pio avoids somewhat by just checking back flop a lot.
Do you use your watch to randomize when playing live or how do you do it?
Yes, I use my watch
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