Awesome video Nick... I really enjoyed your analysis of how our perceptions and assumptions can be analyzed and once understood can help us exploit our opponents... I think videos like this are some of the most valuable types, we can all read a Pio output, but it's a lot tougher to understand what's behind Pio and GTO play and how our assumptions about how are opponents are playing versus GTO can be used to exploit them...
On the mental side I completely agree with you... I think taking a week or two off to work on and digest new insights into the game can be huge, or just to get a much needed break... but I also think that really doing serious work with Jared Tendler's books on Mental Filter, and really analyzing and working on all of the different ways each of us can tilt can pay huge dividends in allowing us to plow through without tilting when we would do better to keep playing... I think a fear of tilting is not the right reason to be taking long breaks, unless it is to work on what is mentally causing us to tilt...or because we've recently learned a whole lot of new stuff and aren't sure how to fit it into our game...
"That's how you get run over by dumb aggressive players" so true.
Love your videos, I think people don't talk enough about the mental part of poker, when that part is as important as being good in poker to be a good winning player.
thanks a lot! Welcome back!
I think this kind of goes without saying but, this is one thing i should have said at some point around 16min mark:
"if you don't have high confidence in how you're opponent is deviating
from optimal, that's when you revert toward a well balanced strategy".
You can be certain that you have no clue how he's exploitable. And then you can operate from that line of certainty by honoring your readlessness, and reverting to your best attempt at an inexploitable response. Point being that by taking the path of validation, your readlessness doesn't funnel itself into confusion and self sabotage. When you allow yourself to be certain that you don't have high confidence reads, you can always find the right answer. A lot of players are just not ok with declaring certainty around their current uncertainty, and that's when they begin to make choices out of a distorted sense of benefit:
"I don't know how i'm gonna play the river vs him with my bluffcatcher! What if he plays this way .. or that way?! AHHH i can't subject myself to this uncertainty! FUCK!" --> mind explodes --> folds +EV hand
^This happens b/c he invalidates his initial (well-balanced) uncertainty in how villain would play future streets. See uncertainty as a strength and not a weakness.
Awesome. One of the videos that actually make you reflect on yourself and can push you into the right direction. I dont think i've ever taken time off just to implement new strategies in my game. I just hope to learn enough through new videos when they come out but that way i'm always behind the curve i guess.
Phenomenal video Nick, I love your choice of words, was able to add a few new words to my list.
Was wondering if you could touch on (@ 20:05) :
System I use to calibrate the control of my frequencies
What kind of system are you using generally? and how can we build our confidence in these systems and improve this process?
I can defiantly relate to this and feel when I start losing confidence in stuff like this I put my self into a protective shell (nit shell). Anyway I feel the only thing that is affected by this sort of protection is my win-rate.
Thanks for great content! ( video and blog) have really enjoyed both!!!
Also am look forward to digging thru some of your past videos etc.
generally i think i have a pretty good sense of mixed strategy hands on the turn and tend to peel to wide, like in the video example. I favor that approach bc i like how it puts the burden on my opponents to use optimal river aggression in order to prevent me from realizing too much EV. A lot of them have problems pulling triggers often enough otr.
When i do face river barrels, i try to just be honest with myself about how much info i have. i use everything from player notes, to texture, to bet sizing tells, to timing tells, to overall environmental trends to try and make exploitative bluffcatching decisions. If all of those factors dont converge into a confidence interval that i think warrants a hard exploit, thats when i just throw my hands up and try to call at decent frequencies, gearing toward good blocker hands first. I've looked at enough PIO grids to be decent at that in most spots. The effort i make to simplify my strategic options on earlier streets also helps to give me better control over my ranges otr, just bc i can visualize my range more easily.
Also very interested in your approach to PIO solver, any plans for future videos in this area.
Also like others, would love to see more stuff like this!!!
i totally agree and resonate with your comments about being less assumptive / over-insistent about how things need to look for me to improve.
When looking at the best, noticing the high-volume they put in, I had wrongly assumed this is the only way to get to the top, playing more hands. I guess this holds some truth, but by doing that was getting unbalanced with other areas of life and I actually saw that my best results came in time of low volume, high study, short integration period and high life balance.
Brilliant video ;). It got my call on the turn up.I still don't know what is the best response to different strategies with draws .How do You approach play with mixxed strategy draws in similiar situations?
9:48. It's clear to me if villain is betting more than optimally on river we should call river. What if my thoughts are "I don't know if villain is betting turn or river over or under optimally"? Should revert to gto? If yes, would you use your RNG in that spot? How would you select your frequencies?
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Awesome video Nick... I really enjoyed your analysis of how our perceptions and assumptions can be analyzed and once understood can help us exploit our opponents... I think videos like this are some of the most valuable types, we can all read a Pio output, but it's a lot tougher to understand what's behind Pio and GTO play and how our assumptions about how are opponents are playing versus GTO can be used to exploit them...
On the mental side I completely agree with you... I think taking a week or two off to work on and digest new insights into the game can be huge, or just to get a much needed break... but I also think that really doing serious work with Jared Tendler's books on Mental Filter, and really analyzing and working on all of the different ways each of us can tilt can pay huge dividends in allowing us to plow through without tilting when we would do better to keep playing... I think a fear of tilting is not the right reason to be taking long breaks, unless it is to work on what is mentally causing us to tilt...or because we've recently learned a whole lot of new stuff and aren't sure how to fit it into our game...
"That's how you get run over by dumb aggressive players" so true.
Love your videos, I think people don't talk enough about the mental part of poker, when that part is as important as being good in poker to be a good winning player.
thanks a lot! Welcome back!
Great to see you making quality content again. It would be cool to have more of it
+1 I really like your approach and would also like to see more videos!
I think this kind of goes without saying but, this is one thing i should have said at some point around 16min mark:
You can be certain that you have no clue how he's exploitable. And then you can operate from that line of certainty by honoring your readlessness, and reverting to your best attempt at an inexploitable response. Point being that by taking the path of validation, your readlessness doesn't funnel itself into confusion and self sabotage. When you allow yourself to be certain that you don't have high confidence reads, you can always find the right answer. A lot of players are just not ok with declaring certainty around their current uncertainty, and that's when they begin to make choices out of a distorted sense of benefit:
"I don't know how i'm gonna play the river vs him with my bluffcatcher! What if he plays this way .. or that way?! AHHH i can't subject myself to this uncertainty! FUCK!" --> mind explodes --> folds +EV hand
^This happens b/c he invalidates his initial (well-balanced) uncertainty in how villain would play future streets. See uncertainty as a strength and not a weakness.
MOAR
Loved this, Plo player but I think a lot of what you said is relevant to all variants
Brilliant video. Please do more.
sweet vid, keep it up
Awesome. One of the videos that actually make you reflect on yourself and can push you into the right direction. I dont think i've ever taken time off just to implement new strategies in my game. I just hope to learn enough through new videos when they come out but that way i'm always behind the curve i guess.
Phenomenal video Nick, I love your choice of words, was able to add a few new words to my list.
Was wondering if you could touch on (@ 20:05) :
What kind of system are you using generally? and how can we build our confidence in these systems and improve this process?
I can defiantly relate to this and feel when I start losing confidence in stuff like this I put my self into a protective shell (nit shell). Anyway I feel the only thing that is affected by this sort of protection is my win-rate.
Thanks for great content! ( video and blog) have really enjoyed both!!!
Also am look forward to digging thru some of your past videos etc.
FWIW
Love this^^!!
Cheers
dddog
generally i think i have a pretty good sense of mixed strategy hands on the turn and tend to peel to wide, like in the video example. I favor that approach bc i like how it puts the burden on my opponents to use optimal river aggression in order to prevent me from realizing too much EV. A lot of them have problems pulling triggers often enough otr.
When i do face river barrels, i try to just be honest with myself about how much info i have. i use everything from player notes, to texture, to bet sizing tells, to timing tells, to overall environmental trends to try and make exploitative bluffcatching decisions. If all of those factors dont converge into a confidence interval that i think warrants a hard exploit, thats when i just throw my hands up and try to call at decent frequencies, gearing toward good blocker hands first. I've looked at enough PIO grids to be decent at that in most spots. The effort i make to simplify my strategic options on earlier streets also helps to give me better control over my ranges otr, just bc i can visualize my range more easily.
Also very interested in your approach to PIO solver, any plans for future videos in this area.
Also like others, would love to see more stuff like this!!!
I can't even find words to describe how good this video is.
Do more.
Please.
he gon kill the game tho
Loved the vid, the mock conversation with the student on the turn was great.
Watched this again, so so so good!
excellent video nick 10/10
i totally agree and resonate with your comments about being less assumptive / over-insistent about how things need to look for me to improve.
When looking at the best, noticing the high-volume they put in, I had wrongly assumed this is the only way to get to the top, playing more hands. I guess this holds some truth, but by doing that was getting unbalanced with other areas of life and I actually saw that my best results came in time of low volume, high study, short integration period and high life balance.
Thanks a lot for triggering those thoughts in me
Don't exploit your life, exploit poker <3
Brilliant video ;). It got my call on the turn up.I still don't know what is the best response to different strategies with draws .How do You approach play with mixxed strategy draws in similiar situations?
9:48. It's clear to me if villain is betting more than optimally on river we should call river. What if my thoughts are "I don't know if villain is betting turn or river over or under optimally"? Should revert to gto? If yes, would you use your RNG in that spot? How would you select your frequencies?
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