Hi Parker. On the top right table when you iso-ed KJo from the sb and decided to give up 3 ways on Q94cc, is there merit to betting very small (maybe 1/5th pot) instead? My idea is to utilize our relative position and leverage the full stacked villain into folding Ax or even something like 33. We will still have to fold if the shorty jams, but there is also some chance he will just fold his air too and if he calls we will get to realize some of our equity and probably play pretty well on turns.
Also what kind of winrates do you think are possible in these games? I'm currently winning 8bb/100 in both 400nl and 600nl, but feel like that is actually quite low given how soft the games are.
I don't bet 1/5th pot with the KJo for a few reasons. The first is that I don't have any value hands in this spot that I want to put into my 1/5th pot range. As a purely exploitative bet, I still don't think it sees enough folds on this flop. Sure we can play turns well, but the overwhelming majority of the time that just means check folding our equity and surrendering a decently large pot.
Winrates are a tricky subject. How many hands is your sample? I think, like most midstakes games on the internet, these games are beatable. There are also considerations where the table limit and the slowness of the bovada software might cause a good winrate to turn into a surprisngly lower $/hr.
@ibey33 yeah I'm not sure how I would calculate a winrate on bodog. I guess just the old fashioned way - using the cashier and the total # of hands at each stake.
When I used to play on Bovada, I used pokeit software which downloads your bovada hands and then you can analyze your winrate, redline, review hands, etc. It is something like 5 dollars a month or so but it worked well.
Definitely not a brag, I have two friends who are winning 50% more so I actually feel like a massive fish. You are right that hands seem to slip through the cracks, but I figured that as long as there is no bias in in how hands are being omitted, your winrate would still be accurate. Your overall winnings would definitely be wrong though.
I'm pretty happy to fold it. His bet is very big and our implied odds are quite reduced due to his small stack. Also our outs are not clean at all and can very easily get us coolered.
I would call that QQ hand on a 6QJAK runout. Reason is he doesn't have many tens there. His TT, he would probably check on flop. Same with JTs. He has some AQ, AK, JJ. Some of those, he would shove river and given your good odds, I think I would call and blame luck if he has AAA. :)
What makes you think he would ever shove AQ or AK on the river?
You eliminated some Tx but there is still T9s, T8s, KTs, ATs.
Also if we are going to call here, it can't be profitable against a range of purely value hands. So what do you think he could have for bluffs that play this way?
Great video- I like how clear you are in communicating your thought processes in each hand. Very glad to have you back on the Runitonce team! Keep up the good content!
The QQ hand when you flop a set and the board runs out 6QJAK. Why are you not check raising the flop or the turn? I feel like you miss tons of value there
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Nice video... very clean, concise thought processes. I'm curious what you use for a HUD? Didn't know bodog/bovada software was compatible with HUD's.
i believe he's using Holdem Indicator. Afaik it's the only HUD that works on Bovada
Thanks for the positive feedback.
The HUD is through a bovada card catcher program. The stats and importing are not totally accurate though.
Hi Parker. On the top right table when you iso-ed KJo from the sb and decided to give up 3 ways on Q94cc, is there merit to betting very small (maybe 1/5th pot) instead? My idea is to utilize our relative position and leverage the full stacked villain into folding Ax or even something like 33. We will still have to fold if the shorty jams, but there is also some chance he will just fold his air too and if he calls we will get to realize some of our equity and probably play pretty well on turns.
Also what kind of winrates do you think are possible in these games? I'm currently winning 8bb/100 in both 400nl and 600nl, but feel like that is actually quite low given how soft the games are.
Sick brag.how are youtracking it tho cuz card catcher
Misses like 1/5 hands you play and I end up prty much disregarding my results from ptr at least
I don't bet 1/5th pot with the KJo for a few reasons. The first is that I don't have any value hands in this spot that I want to put into my 1/5th pot range. As a purely exploitative bet, I still don't think it sees enough folds on this flop. Sure we can play turns well, but the overwhelming majority of the time that just means check folding our equity and surrendering a decently large pot.
Winrates are a tricky subject. How many hands is your sample? I think, like most midstakes games on the internet, these games are beatable. There are also considerations where the table limit and the slowness of the bovada software might cause a good winrate to turn into a surprisngly lower $/hr.
@ibey33 yeah I'm not sure how I would calculate a winrate on bodog. I guess just the old fashioned way - using the cashier and the total # of hands at each stake.
When I used to play on Bovada, I used pokeit software which downloads your bovada hands and then you can analyze your winrate, redline, review hands, etc. It is something like 5 dollars a month or so but it worked well.
Definitely not a brag, I have two friends who are winning 50% more so I actually feel like a massive fish. You are right that hands seem to slip through the cracks, but I figured that as long as there is no bias in in how hands are being omitted, your winrate would still be accurate. Your overall winnings would definitely be wrong though.
:) sure we've played some. Just giving you a hard time with sick brag Comment tho. Not to derail! Nice vid Parker looking forward to more bov content
Goodvid brawsep. 2:00 I would consider checking that AQ 20-30% of the time on the flop..
Thanks broski.
Re: AQ - that sounds good. I also check it myself with some weaker Ax.
Are you check calling down all three streets when you check a small suited Ace on A77 in a rr pot?
For the most part, probably not. It will of course depend on the runout and player.
maybe this is a leak of mine but just x/folding the 97cc hand at 29:17 on T98hhc against a button bet seems too tight to me.
I'm pretty happy to fold it. His bet is very big and our implied odds are quite reduced due to his small stack. Also our outs are not clean at all and can very easily get us coolered.
I'm glad you're back, good job.
I would call that QQ hand on a 6QJAK runout. Reason is he doesn't have many tens there. His TT, he would probably check on flop. Same with JTs. He has some AQ, AK, JJ. Some of those, he would shove river and given your good odds, I think I would call and blame luck if he has AAA. :)
What makes you think he would ever shove AQ or AK on the river?
You eliminated some Tx but there is still T9s, T8s, KTs, ATs.
Also if we are going to call here, it can't be profitable against a range of purely value hands. So what do you think he could have for bluffs that play this way?
Great video- I like how clear you are in communicating your thought processes in each hand. Very glad to have you back on the Runitonce team! Keep up the good content!
Thanks for the kind words. Happy to do it!
The QQ hand when you flop a set and the board runs out 6QJAK. Why are you not check raising the flop or the turn? I feel like you miss tons of value there
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