An Accidental Session at $200NL: More Action & Solver Analysis

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An Accidental Session at $200NL: More Action & Solver Analysis

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Alexandra Fagaras

Essential Pro

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An Accidental Session at $200NL: More Action & Solver Analysis

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Alexandra Fagaras

POSTED Dec 12, 2024

Alexandra Fagaras wraps up the review of her recent $200NL session before turning to the solver for a deeper dive into the most interesting hands.

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matlittle 4 months ago

Hey Alexandra, nice video!
In this 4bet pot, you mentioned that even if this weren't a range bet, you might opt to range bet anyway because of how people respond. Is this based on MDA research? Do you expect people to over-fold, under-raise, or both?

Alexandra Fagaras 3 months ago

Glad you liked it !

It is MDA based to some extent - Meaning it's obvious people under xR and overfold in 4bet pots OOP, now I'm not a "MDA pro" and I don't have tens or hundreds of millions of hands which I imagine is what you need to see what population does in this exact texture. But they do under-raise overall, and just intuitively speaking it's very rare to see lower stakes players shove enough low PPs and mid pairs in these configurations, and those hands should be close to pure jam.

As for this hand, we can range bet even in theory, although the solver mostly prefers an all-in as a cbet size which makes sense.

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