$420,000 Victory: Post Bubble ICM

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$420,000 Victory: Post Bubble ICM

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Alex Theologis

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$420,000 Victory: Post Bubble ICM

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Alex Theologis

POSTED Oct 27, 2023

Alex Theologis picks up the action just after the bubble has burst in this second installment of his $420k victory series where he puts a high focus on discussing how ICM impacts upcoming decisions.

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nogamblenofuture 1 year, 4 months ago

Hi Alex big fan

Min 18:30 I don’t think I’d find this bluff in game. I would feel like we have too many worse gutters and QJ might have showdown?

Alex Theologis 1 year, 4 months ago

Hey, thank you! I think your point is correct and in a cEV situation checking this down is fine but I thought in a spot with some RP choosing a hand with good blockers made sense and also, I do think it is uncommon for people to just give up and try to showdown J/Q high here in my experience.

SoundSpeed 1 year, 4 months ago

Hi Alex,

6:30 the button calling range for suited and offsuit ax seems wide in practice. Do you find all of these calls?

20:15 it doesn't look like our jam range is very big to begin with vs a 24bb stack. Do you think it is a huge mistake to eliminate the jam range in this spot?

24:30 with aqs would you iso jam?

Thanks!

Alex Theologis 1 year, 4 months ago

Hello!

6:30 : Indeed, it seems wide, intuitively I would have gone slightly tighter.

20:15 : Huge mistake, definitely not. However I do think some of these jams are fairly intuitive like 77/88/AQo so implementing these jams seems fine to me.

24:30 : I think building a calling range makes sense here and AQs would go into that range. Even if the opener occasionally jams JJ, our outs are very often affected by the shorter stack so against a range of JJ+ AK+ I don't believe we get the odds to call. We also don't really fold out almost any of those hands by jamming ourselves.

Laban 1 year, 4 months ago

Hi alex, thank you.

3.30, KQcc. What do you think is our worse hands we wanna start calling vs this turn overbet?

Alex Theologis 1 year, 4 months ago

Hey, thank you for your comment! We basically want to avoid calling hands that are drawing dead vs 8x. AK is the worst hand we get to call with, as all the other ones have a pretty bad blocker (AQ for example blocks QT/QJ which are very reasonable bluffs for the BB)

AndreaCardinaliPoker 1 year, 3 months ago

Hi Alex,
08.59: How did you set up HRC to study the risk premium in that situation? Fantastic spot and amazing focus! Thank you so much.

Alex Theologis 1 year, 3 months ago

Hi, sorry for the delayed response, a bit busy with live poker this period. For setting up HRC, I would recommend looking up a tutorial on google/youtube. I think Gareth James has made some good videos on that.

crazzzyberry 5 months ago

Really love your content Alex

37:45 A4hh, While you do talk about not much weaker calling, however what stronger hand you expect to c/c and donk turn and check river?

Wondering if it spot where we not get much weaker to call, but there is close 0 better hands in range of line taken by opponent so it not matter much that we not get called by worse very much as we get called by better even less often.

Alex Theologis 5 months ago

I think there can be a non 0% of traps from our opponent (some 8x, maybe A8, 44, AJ etc) and especially blocking the 4, it's just really really hard to get called by worse here as our opponent doesn't really have much Jx (KJs/QJs prob jam preflop, no other Jx calls flop besides maybe j4s which is literally 1 combo)

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