$420,000 Victory: Bubble ICM

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$420,000 Victory: Bubble ICM

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Alex Theologis

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$420,000 Victory: Bubble ICM

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Alex Theologis

POSTED Oct 13, 2023

Alex Theologis utilizes his recent victory for $420,000 on ACR as the backdrop to teach the importance of preflop situations with ICM implications on the bubble.

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SoundSpeed 1 year, 5 months ago

Great to see a new video from you!

6:00 without a diamond in our hand wouldn't folding be a bit better? Seems like turn and river will be hard to play and increases our variance.

21:30 if you were deep compared to the table do you expand your open range to include non blocker hands like lower suited connectors and pairs?

Thanks!

Alex Theologis 1 year, 5 months ago

Thank you for your comment!

6:00 I agree it feels very close, I will run the sim in the next couple of days and post the results here.

21:30 : Yeah, for sure. Basically, the deeper we are, the more we go postflop so the significance of having a hand that can flop well increases. When stacks become shallow, we care more about having blockers to 3bets/jams than hands that can flop well because post flop action is very limited. That being said, opening low suited connectors or small pocket pairs here would generally not be optimal.

Pierce McKellar 1 year, 5 months ago

Alex makes the best videos on run it once. His Pko course was superb.

Alex Theologis 1 year, 5 months ago

Thank you, I very much appreciate these comments. Feedback, whether positive or negative helps a lot for future content. Happy you liked the course! Feel free to message me with any questions/concerns/feedback or post on the dedicated discord server.

Cydonia 1 year, 5 months ago

Hi Alex!
About QJs hand at 8;00, can we consider limping? Seems that it is often an option when it is close between jamming and raising. Also not sure what the response to a limp should be but it can perhaps generate more mistakes from opponents. What do you think?

Alex Theologis 1 year, 5 months ago

Hey! Overall we don't really limp much under ICM (besides the sb), mainly because our value range really benefits from putting money in the pot and we aren't incentivized to vpip a wide range anyway (which is the purpose limping serves). Against weaker opponents, limping could exploitatively become better here but it is not the default option.

Cassoulet 1 year, 4 months ago

Hello , amazing video, loved it.

I found the 3bet sizes in your sims quite high : IP (23bb) 3bet x2,75 (5,5bb) and OOP(22bb) 3bet x3,5 (7bb).
Any particular reason ?

Thanks again for the great content.

Alex Theologis 1 year, 4 months ago

Hey, thank you! The optimal sizings differ a bit from spot to spot based on varying risk premium levels, opening ranges, opponent's stack, stack distribution etc but in order to not have sims running for too long and being able to showcase many different spots I chose middling sizings. I don't believe the output would have been very different had I allowed for multiple sizings.

Player_Take 11 months ago

Hey Alex,

Could you maybe go into a little more detail about why at 11:14 in the video when nanQ goes for a 40%ish c-bet why he is a recreational? Because i noticed in a video where justin bonomo bets he usually goes in the middle. For example if PIO wanted a split between 30% c bet and a 50% c-bet he would bet in the middle and go 40%.

Could you explain to me why this is a problem in this for nanQ to bet 40% here.

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