$25k High Roller Victory: Middling Stages
Posted by Alex Theologis
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Thanks for the video, Alex. Congrats on all the crushing!
In the last hrc sim I was suprised that bb is still defending so wide by calling, my instinct would be to play tight with calls this close to the money.
Thank you for your comment, sorry for the slow response. Last sim meaning the TT hand? Your point is certainly correct, that he needs to be tighter in this spot because of the money bubble, he is still up against a very wide opening range so he can't be too tight. One thing to keep in mind about these bubble situations is that the tournament doesn't end when we reach the money, future ev/stack preservation etc are still a consideration.
Great video alex!
At 41:25 it seems wierd to have a calling rng with medium pocket pairs vs a short stack 3bet. If we face a jam on the flop it seems we face tough decisions on almost all flops.
There was a hand earlier in the video with a dry side pot. Can you please explain why you would or would not want to bluff a dry side pot? I hear conflicting advice on how to play them.
Thanks. Looking forward to more.
Thank you for your comment, sorry for the slow response. Regarding the pocket pair calling the 3bet, while your point is surely true, we need to consider the odds we're getting, the equity our hand has and our equity realization, then try to figure out how does that translate into EV and compare it to the EV of folding. In this case with TT, we only need 24% equity to call and TT surely have a lot more than that against someone capable of having bluffs in this spot. The tough postflop decisions result to us underrealizing our equity, but I don't believe it will get to the point where we realize less than 24%.
As for the dry side pots, well, in non pko tournaments we basically have almost no incentive to start bluffing as we still need to beat the guy all-in in order to win our share of the pot. Of course there are exceptions, like for example when we are still a favourite against the allin guy's range where bluffing becomes attractive but for the most part, dry side pots are to be played passively.
minute 22, AJ cbet flop 3-way, x/c turn. Why did we not lead the river when we made 2 pair? The hand after that, why is Q8s a standard open from ep? It is unbelievable how much really donkish seeming play there is from opponents in a $25K buyin online tournament. Really good video.
Thank you for your comment, sorry for the slow response. The J otr isn't a particularly good card for OOP, as IP improves a bunch to straight/2p so I don't believe our range gets to have leads in that spot. As for q8s, I'm not sure how I can respond to 'why' besides saying that it's more profitable than folding.
Greetings Alex,
On 4:09 - 9c 6s Ks board if we had 1spade like QsJx do you think is suicidal to re-raise IP ?
Would you choose stronger draws like 78xx not even better T8ss spades?
Hey, I think you got the timestamp wrong!
a) on 5:35 whats the bottom of your range that should cold 3bet Jamming ? 88+ AJs+, AQo ?
with no ICM , and with ICM TT+ AKo+ ?
b) on 33:45 BTN should cold JAM 14.5bb with 77+ AQo+ ,AJs+ vs open + flat or tighter?
a) I think the timestamp might be incorrect
b) I would think a bit wider in this spot, 66, suited broadways, ats, ajo etc
38:21 - Are you sure this is a bad turn stab? You mention he's not folding out better but imo he's folding out some pocket pairs + hands like yours w/o a flush draw that you or CO didn't bet on flop. I would think his turn size is pretty large / not representing Ax and a great hand to balance with 6x as opposed to something like 78 or 89 that are blocking both of your pocket pairs and Tx combos.
In this spot the big blind doesn't get to have any probes at all given how bad Ax is for his range. Plus, if you were to pick a sizing it would always be a small one (again, due to range disadvantage) and you would also pick higher equity hands.
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