At 15:00 against Justin, do you expect him to take that river sizing with his bluffs that you mentioned at a high frequency or would you think he would take a smaller sizing with those? Thanks and I appreciate your insight and series.

I expect that Bonomo uses the same sizings with all of his hands. I think it's a big mistake to assume he's got no bluffs to this line (or only bluffs) based on his sizing.

Very nice series Apotheosis !

thanks for the last 5mins Sir

Hey man,

You're my favorite MTT coach on ROI and out of everything I've learned from you, the last 4 minutes about variance and running like shit and your struggles in your first 1100 tournaments was the most helpful and most valuable part of a video I've watched in a long time. I can relate! I needed to hear it... Thanks for all the content you put out, brotha...

No problem guys, glad to hear it.

I should put out a word of warning though. If you have bad results, don't just chalk them up to "variance" and not worry about it. People are way too happy to do that. You should really take a good long hard look at your game.

If you look at my sharkscope, there's a pretty major turnaround after ~mtt #1300 or s (can't remember exactly where it is off the top of my head).

I essentially just lose for some large number of mtts, and have been crushing since.

Part of this is undoubtedly variance. I did not deserve to lose at -35% ROI for like 1300 mtts. I was a much better player than that. Since then, I've got w/e absurd ROI and most certainly do not deserve it. (I've played two 25ks online and have 2 cashes for ~450k). I certainly am not as good as my recent results would indicate.

That being said, part of the reason the results are the way they are is that those were my first ~1300 mtts where I was really trying to improve. I was definitely making big mistakes (ICM/Shortstack most notably as I had transitioned from cash). I've since plugged those leaks.

It's pretty likely that at the time I was winning for 5% ROI (lets just pick some number out of thin air) and that i'm currently winning for 30% ROI. The old me, needed to run below the 8th percentile to go into my downswing, and would need to run above the 99th percentile to go on my heater. The new me probably needs to run below the 1st percentile for me to go on the downswing that I started my career with, and only needs to run above the 92nd percentile to go on a heater like I'm currently on.

Hopefully the above makes sense. I guess what I'm trying to say is, if you're losing over short term, it's not the end of the world and you're certainly not destined to lose forever. That being said, continually improving can make it easier to go on heaters and tougher to go on downswings, so don't be tempted to just dismiss your losses as variance and not work on improving.

Minute 24, we semibluff bet large OTT 3-way with Q9 and an OESD. Obviously, it doesn't work out well. I wonder if it is good to be bluffing on the high board that hits the other players ranges hard.

Minute 28, you 3-bet 77. You mention that it isn't strong enough to 3-bet induce. Was the intention to 3-bet/call or 3-bet fold?

Min 24: I think its fine. I have some strong hands here as I mentioned. This is a very weird hand and we shouldnt get into this line very often.

Min 28: Call.

Practically speaking, how did you go about plugging your leaks. What was your method? What softwares did you use?

one of the best all-time series at RIO! thx for that chris

At 17:49 you say you should bet bigger because of the list of value hands you have, could you please explain this further?

Hi apotheosis Amazing video again!
At 12:31, very good discussion on bluffcatching. But one thing that i felt was, since we know that dan understands game theory as well, i really doubt that he will pull his bluffs from missed flush draws. So even though A9 with 9 of hearts be a non premium call on the turn. It becomes a better bluffcather than your hand on the river? Maybe blocking spades is worse, as he is more likely to follow through with his spade combos. Am i thinking in a wrong way?

best part of this one is the quick reference to foxen the rec around 20:48 lol