WCOOP $5k Sunday Million: Going for the Win
Posted by Lucas Greenwood
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Great series Luc!
26.00 KQs
Do you also want to have have a non-AI x/r in that spot? Under non ICM we probably have some shoves but mostly want to x/r small, but here I would opt for either jam or call if we continue.
30.45
You say 99-TT are better continues OTT. I imagine they fold and we rather call lower PPs as they unblock his bluffs (actually not sure how many PPs we have to call here, as AK and AT are plenty of combos as a bluffcatcher. He might 3b/jam AK some of the time OTF though...).
38.30
Was about to write how bad flatting KQo is with the lagtard in the BB, but European delivers... really well played by him.
48.30 Last hand
I am very curious how you construct your betting range OTT here. Under cEV you would bet your good value hand, your best draws, some of your weaker draws and some very weak hands. Under ICM, what would you do with the 2nd category, i.e KJhh or cc? Seems to me we cannot b/c these hands and if we check them our betting range becomes even more polarized and his x/r jam even worse.
1, KQs hand I think vs a smaller bet we would a smaller xr size, I think vs the 75% pot bet on such a draw heavy board we don't really get to raise fold here and since our hand doesn't play well on a lot of turns I would rather just pile it in now.
I think you are right actually, on similar board textures with LP ranges I've seen a8/a9 backdoor peel xr on these flops I think given NL_Profit opened UTG he should have enough broadways, and he can basically just continue any hand with a straight draw Q or J and have plenty of hands that get to continue. I think 99/TT should probablt x flop kind of often as well.
I think we can mix with our gutshots KJhh should mostly check ott but we can still bluff with KJ/KT/JT without a flushdraw as well as some of our total air like K9s J9s etc.
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