These sizes seem to be preferable on turns that are "blank" in general, but I do agree it's a good card for him to make 2pr combos with. I'm more concerned about keeping my value range appropriately narrow for this reason.

My exact hand, as I basically said in the video, is probably less than ideal but still an okay choice at low frequency.

I don't think you're wrong about board textures, but I think you're confusing my cbet with A6hh as a 100% cbet with 6x on JT6. I'd advocate cbetting some 6x on JT6, with A6hh being one of my favourites that will get cbet 100%. But 65o for example I would check every time.

66 may have been a decent choice to cbet on KT2, in retrospect, but I don't generally comment on my checks with hands that look default to check (while I did comment on A6 because it's taking the less standard line)

I dont understand why you favor 6x+overcard+Ahi blocker to 6x+undercard...
The latter seems to get more value from Ahi and have cleaner outs on the 2p ones (I play more 6max so on JT6 COvBB or BTNvBB I'd rather bink a 5 with 65 than an ace with A6).
Thanks :)

+1

It kinda depends how you place your assumptions - a quick check using pokerstove to calculate equity vs an estimate of his range puts me somewhere in the 89-94% ballpark, with 92% seeming pretty likely to me. If it's the conservative end of this, my bet size was pretty good, but your small overbet idea is more accurate if we're at 92%.

My general thoughts, not intended to say for sure my sizing was optimal:

-We're very deep, SPR is over 6 here, if we are suspected to be putting in all of that money with any 6x vs a range that could contain all 6 combos of KK+ (the worst case 89% scenario), he will be more likely to trap us here and less likely to feel obligated to call down accurately with bluffcatchers.

-He took a line up to this point that we can't simply put his whole preflop range into. There are hands that don't want to cbet small on the flop, or check on the turn. It's certainly up for debate how to assign this distribution of hands.

Your first question is an important one, and it really just comes down to practice and familiarity with the texture and your intended frequency. I'm not simply looking for a single blocker (ie one card gutter of the correct suit) when my frequency has to be low. When my frequency is allowed to be high (say, for example, when cbetting flop on a board where I have a strong advantage) then I'm not too careful. I don't have a great answer for how to select these things specifically, but I tell most of my students to simply come up with their own randomizer/system that they like and try their best to stick to it readless.

14:50 - I think I mentioned I wasn't thrilled to call this type of hand, but it's a bit strong for the spot and there is some relevance that 67/96 would often bluff turn. We block T6/86 so it's not a totally useless calling hand, which I might say 44 or 33 is. Keep in mind pandoras plays quite wide OOP and can easily have J4o and such.

26:30 - I choose not to worry too much about this until very far into playing against my opponents. If he shows a habit of getting out of line the way you describe, where he is putting in half his stack with hands weaker than top pair, I'm going to start checking a lot stronger to him in general and it's not going to be a good game plan anymore (I can have AA here by default to begin with, so it's pretty marginal even with a weak top pair).

These are the type of adjustments I would look at broadly, rather than in this specific situation, because I think him vbetting very thin here for an overbet is a sign that he will make similarly loose assumptions in a variety of similar spots. Certainly a piece of GTO software would tell me that in this exact spot I should call all of the bluffcatchers you described at mixed frequency to counter any possible range mixing exploit, but that's at the end of the whole iteration process and we're somewhere in the early stages here :)

4min - Yeah, basically the relative strength of a hand like mid pair is a lot higher when he cbets .25pot compared to when he cbets .75pot or something like that. With higher equity for my weakest vbet, I can size larger.

35min - TBH I don't know how important his 5% equity vs 222 is, relative to things like removal effect on bluffing combos, and lack of removal effect on 2pr combos. That said, I've always prioritized a good top pair over a weak overpair in a bluff catching situation like this, and good top pair is basically the bottom of his value range. Not to mention that he will probably be calling a bunch of draws here since turn overbets tend to have decent equity...I wonder after seeing showdowns like this if my opponent is folding even 25% of the time to my raise.