$5/$10 6-Max NLHE Hand History Review

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$5/$10 6-Max NLHE Hand History Review

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Tyler Forrester

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$5/$10 6-Max NLHE Hand History Review

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Tyler Forrester

POSTED Aug 14, 2018

Tyler Forrester aka Gogol’s Nose grabs a selection of hands from a recently played session that sees a variety of odd lines. He touches on the notion of bet sizing and its impact on MDF and a few population based exploits to make on this anonymous player pool.

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TexasFoldUmmm 6 years, 7 months ago

Great work as usual, Tyler! I thought you would maybe flat with AJs at 33:50. Wouldn't you expect him to have KK more often there since there is only 3 combos of AA left? With the J blocking some of his calling range as well if he did have Qx? What am I missing (besides everything)?

Tyler Forrester 6 years, 7 months ago

Default is to flat against bigger sizes, but the small bet size means that I won't be able to get stacks in by the river and will need to raise more aggressively. It seems more important to get value against Kc, Qc and AA, KK no club on the turn rather than to have all of those hands fold on different rivers.

Kalupso 6 years, 7 months ago

Do you have any thoughts on how the SB complete as overlimp changes when there are large ante in play and no rake impact like in MTTs. Based on a few models it looks like it should be possible to VPIP around 80% of hands but it's difficult to get enough data to know without almost 6 months of playing the strategy.

Tyler Forrester 6 years, 7 months ago

It seems that limping will become more profitable and more common. It's also likely that a mixed strategy will outperform either always limping or always raising beyond this, I've look at some models of postflop play in these spots, but I don't have a clear understanding of the best preflop equilibrium strategy.

Martin Sgrilletti 6 years, 5 months ago

Hey tyler, I really enjoy watching your videos and your honest explaining style.

Can you explain me why if he bets 40, in 40 pot we have to defend 50% of our range?
How do you got that number?

Thanks!

Tyler Forrester 6 years, 5 months ago

Thanks rioelite! I appreciate the compliment.

I often need to call enough to make his bluffs breakeven, so if he risks $40 to win $40, he wins 0 dollars with ATC if I call 50% of the time. We can think about this from his perspective, if I call 50%, he wins $40 dollars half the time (+$20), and loses $40 dollars half the time (-$20). Putting it together BetSizeFoldFrequency - BetsizeCallFrequency = 0.

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