Nice video Tyler, as always.

At 28:26 you talk about your float with T8o @ A75r BB vs BTN in a SRP. It's very interesting to me that you were honest enough to realize that, even though you could come up with an exploitative justification for your play, you actually genuinely believe that the motive was rather emotional, caused by recent losses in big pots. That's actually something Nick Howard has been talking about a lot recently, and it really got my attention.

From what I understand of his ideas, he believes that we should be avoiding making large investments in "grey zone" spots - spots where you can't make a good estimation of the EVs of the multiple strategic options in a given situation, for many different reasons - because those investments will have an impact on our mindset and most likely generate a negative effect on how we play future pots. And thats exactly what happened here to you in the ATdd hand @ 9:55, followed some time later for this T8o hand, where again you made an investment that can't be proved as +EV without specific circumstances. So the ATdd shove not only is an investment that you cannot prove to be good, but it also makes you play worse in the future.

I already knew that what Nick was saying was very powerful, because I trust him enough to assume that what he says is most likely true. However, witnessing it happening to a player like you, who has proved to be amongst the biggest winners in midstakes games, is even more eye opening.

What is your opinion on this "grey zone" investment concept I've just explained, considering the example from your video? Do you think the poker industry often pretends that technical ability is the only thing that matter for achiveing succes in poker? And how do you feel about developing a methodology that contemplates one's mindset as key a component for arriving at solutions for poker hands/decisions?

Thank you in advance

amazing video. really enjoy the slower paced in-depth analysis on these seemingly innocuous spots-such as facing the bet on Axx- that suddenly turn in to sick, potentially high EV spots for us if we are conscious of how the population are playing.

that final hand with the K5 I agree that at equilibrium he should be mixing with hands such as AA/KK of course, but that river is the best card in the deck for our range. you x raised K5o, which is 16 combinations, so even if this is low frequency that's still a lot of combos. then we have our A5 which are mixing call/fold, our 65,75,85s,95s,T5s etc. so we have more than 50 combinations of 5x that are potential flop x raises, and yeah you mentioned a couple of combinations such as Q7hh/Q7ss/Q2cc etc but

1-these are all suited combos so they are much less frequent
2-they will have to give up a lot on the turn as they block IP floats (such as 2 overs with bdfd) and don't really turn well unless they hit a FD. and even that FD is gonna end up dominated a bunch as 98cc type hands are always bet folding and AKcc type hands are bet folding 0% of the time and always calling vs the xr. so with the Q7cc type hands they play much poorer ott and thus we are gonna have to either barrel with little equity or x fold.

so when we arrive on this river we end up with a disproportionate number of 5x hands, and some random air hands, like the aforementioned Q2cc, but even if IP is over folding a bunch, when he calls he is gonna select hands to call with that unblock FD's so these hands aren't even particularly amazing to bluff with. for example QQ no c. you did name a couple of combos for bluffs, but, being honest, it was far harder to come up with these Q7ss type hands than the 5x flop x raises.

so sure, our Q7ss type hands should be printing on this river, but we need to come up with 33% bluffs and I feel like this is practically impossible on this run out unless we are a bot. so I think IP can just exploit us and only call boats, and then our river jams with worse than a boat are now -EV.

in game I would strongly consider blocking, because that allows us to have a much lower frequency of bluffs in our range, which we definitely have, and get more value from over pairs which can exploit our under-bluffing by folding vs jams always on rivers such as a 2 or a 7, and mix at MDF frequencies on brick rivers such as a T. and even with our bluffs such as Q7ss, we should still be making money as all of his FD's still have to fold, and almost all of them are better than Q high.

Thanks DemonDoInk!

I agree. I think you've made a strong argument that we need some combos of surprising air in our range on this type of run out to make overfolding from in position less profitable and we definitely need to going allin with hand like A2o and K2o.

As side note, if he always folds to a jam, he should always fold to the small bet too (this doesn't happen often in practice). Essentially we would always bet our air all-in (gain the pot) and bet our value small (gain pot + some EV from mdf defense), which is of course greater than always folding.

Ultimately jamming the river on a T is something i need to do,
because 24$ ultimately still buys several meals at MC Donalds.

Made my day :D

Great video. You would have a range equity advantage at 13:06 with the A6o on that board texture nonetheless, wouldn't you? Love seeing +BigMac plays out of you.

Because you have all the AA, KK, AK; etc? Polarizing bet sizes aren't the trend anymore with nut advantage as much, are they? I'm trying to learn this stuff. Feel like I'm in Cal 2 again. LOL.

Makes sense. Again, great video and looking forward to more! You're truly a gifted teacher with copious amounts of knowledge. Appreciate you, Tyler!

Hi Tyler, great video again.

At the start of the video you talk about constructing a GTO xb range including Q9 in the bvb spot on QJ6r. Do you have any advice for constructing xb ranges in these spots compared to just betting our stronger top pairs for value? I feel like when checked to here bvb Q9 would always fall into our flop blockering range but I’m unsure of how I should be constructing my checking range here IP.

Cheers

Hey Tyler,

Great video. At 32:00, you ch/ra the K5o on 344r. Can you give us examples of other hands we should be ch/ra this flop with that aren't open ended straight draws? Are you ch/ra hands such as T7o T7s (with the bdfd) J7o Q6o etc that can turn gutshots? Thanks

Thanks, last question about this 344r hand. At 32:00, let's say we ch/ra flop with 67 and the villain calls. If the turn and river brick out (let's say turn is a 9 and riv is a 10, rainbow board), are we firing turn and riv with every 67 combo in our range? If so, whats our sizing? In these spots after ch/ra flop, I'm unsure how to proceed with all of our oesd and gutshot straight draws on the turn and riv when we brick. If we are triple barreling all of our combos, are we overbluffing? Do we double barrel some combos and give up river? Thanks Tyler!