hey Akira, 08:50 you mentioned BTN shoving K6s is a bad shove, however, in Nash it shows +0.15 profit, and with player's actual tighter over calling range, it should be more profitable. Is there another reason other than Nash range to make it a bad shove? Thanx!
Nash says it is .15 profit which is +75 chips ev (more with actual calling ranges). I am not saying it is unprofitable but personally think it is a bad jam as it is a very marginal spot on a very soft table.
In a normal freezeout I would do as you say and open raise confidentaly. In a PKO structure where most players cover us, I prefer to open jam as a raise will result in a multi way pot far too often, hands like 77 do not fair well multi way.
Regarding our range being capped, I would likely be open jamming up to JJ and AK so although our jam range is missing key hands (QQ-AA), it is still quite hard for opponents to exploit such a strong range.
Population tendency usually wouldnt bluff here as most people would just pick it off on this dry run out. I also think the river bet is not sized up as it is only slightly over half pot. If we are hero calling 33 here, we are essentially calling with every hand including ace high which is too wide. I would leave the calls to all Jx and pairs that block Kx such as Q5s, T5s.
~36:00 top right, KTo seems like a decent shove with 13-14BB you had. Why are you putting in a raise there with 2 reshove stacks? Its obvious we are not open/calloffing KTo for value there and there are way too many "good" hands to be turning into a bluff for balance there.
Same with A5s from CO earlier with ~15BBs @party top left.
24:30 - dont u think KJo 9bb deep on MP must be a shove there? I guess KTo, from a Nash Perspective, is close in that scenario, but KJo might be way too strong to fold even in a softer table.
34:50 - when u have 77 on A96r... in this spot can't we cbet 1/3 with entire range? We have a big range advantage on this board.. SB range has a lot of brodway-type hands that won't float to much OOP in a 3-way pot. Also 77 is hand that needs a lot of protection, so if we check back it until river we give a lot of free equity to over cards against 2 players.
I agree at that stack depth we dont really have any edge to be had so following suit with nash ranges would be the best. I also agree that a cb would be better with your reasoning. Thanks.
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hey Akira, 08:50 you mentioned BTN shoving K6s is a bad shove, however, in Nash it shows +0.15 profit, and with player's actual tighter over calling range, it should be more profitable. Is there another reason other than Nash range to make it a bad shove? Thanx!
Nash says it is .15 profit which is +75 chips ev (more with actual calling ranges). I am not saying it is unprofitable but personally think it is a bad jam as it is a very marginal spot on a very soft table.
Thank you for one more video!
Akira, 39:00 you had 18BB and open shoved 77 from MP. Do you think open shoving 77 in this spot is better than open raising?
If we have a range for open shoving and open raising in this spot, doesn't this play make our range capped and exploitable?
In a normal freezeout I would do as you say and open raise confidentaly. In a PKO structure where most players cover us, I prefer to open jam as a raise will result in a multi way pot far too often, hands like 77 do not fair well multi way.
Regarding our range being capped, I would likely be open jamming up to JJ and AK so although our jam range is missing key hands (QQ-AA), it is still quite hard for opponents to exploit such a strong range.
Hi,
With the 33 at 19min. You folded because you thought he had a King.
What about the 10 9/8, Q 10/9, 8 9/7, hands that need to bluff here?
Also why would he size up if he had a king?
Population tendency usually wouldnt bluff here as most people would just pick it off on this dry run out. I also think the river bet is not sized up as it is only slightly over half pot. If we are hero calling 33 here, we are essentially calling with every hand including ace high which is too wide. I would leave the calls to all Jx and pairs that block Kx such as Q5s, T5s.
~36:00 top right, KTo seems like a decent shove with 13-14BB you had. Why are you putting in a raise there with 2 reshove stacks? Its obvious we are not open/calloffing KTo for value there and there are way too many "good" hands to be turning into a bluff for balance there.
Same with A5s from CO earlier with ~15BBs @party top left.
Agreed with those stacks a jam would have been better
Nice session Akira, just two more questions:
24:30 - dont u think KJo 9bb deep on MP must be a shove there? I guess KTo, from a Nash Perspective, is close in that scenario, but KJo might be way too strong to fold even in a softer table.
34:50 - when u have 77 on A96r... in this spot can't we cbet 1/3 with entire range? We have a big range advantage on this board.. SB range has a lot of brodway-type hands that won't float to much OOP in a 3-way pot. Also 77 is hand that needs a lot of protection, so if we check back it until river we give a lot of free equity to over cards against 2 players.
I agree at that stack depth we dont really have any edge to be had so following suit with nash ranges would be the best. I also agree that a cb would be better with your reasoning. Thanks.
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